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Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

April 15

Yes 99¢No 1¢

June 30

Yes 99¢No 1¢

$70.5M Volume Ends today

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

June 30

Yes 59¢No 41¢

May 31

Yes 36¢No 64¢

$41.7M Volume 31/05

Fed decision in April?

No change

Yes 99¢No 1¢

25 bps decrease

Yes 1¢No 99¢

$5M Volume 6 days left

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

April 22

Yes 24¢No 76¢

$10.7M Volume Ends today

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

Yes 26¢No 74¢

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Yes 8¢No 92¢

$1091M Volume 07/11

Elon Musk # tweets April 17 - April 24, 2026?

220-239

Yes 41¢No 59¢

200-219

Yes 31¢No 69¢

$3.4M Volume 2 days left

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Keiko Fujimori

Yes 64¢No 36¢

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

Yes 24¢No 76¢

$42.5M Volume 07/06

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

Yes 39¢No 61¢

Marco Rubio

Yes 19¢No 81¢

$578M Volume 07/11

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

1%

chance

Yes 1¢ No 99¢

$2.6M Volume 7 days left

Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?

1120-1159

Yes 23¢No 77¢

1080-1119

Yes 19¢No 81¢

$1.7M Volume 01/05

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

May 15

Yes 68¢No 32¢

May 5

Yes 60¢No 40¢

$1.3M Volume 7 days left

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

Yes 95¢No 5¢

Judy Shelton

Yes 1¢No 99¢

$36.2M Volume 31/10

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

Yes 18¢No 82¢

Gavin Newsom

Yes 17¢No 83¢

$549.3M Volume 07/11

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by...?

April 30

Yes 99¢No 1¢

$1.1M Volume 7 days left

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

May 31

Yes 76¢No 24¢

April 30

Yes 28¢No 72¢

$5.2M Volume 7 days left

Elon Musk # tweets April 21 - April 28, 2026?

240-259

Yes 19¢No 81¢

260-279

Yes 17¢No 83¢

$3.4M Volume 6 days left

Next French Presidential Election

Édouard Philippe

Yes 22¢No 78¢

Jordan Bardella

Yes 21¢No 79¢

$49.4M Volume 30/04

California Governor Election Winner

Tom Steyer

Yes 36¢No 64¢

Xavier Becerra

Yes 31¢No 69¢

$12.8M Volume 03/11

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

3%

chance

Yes 3¢ No 97¢

$2.6M Volume 31/05

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 31

Yes 41¢No 59¢

June 30

Yes 33¢No 67¢

$3.7M Volume 31/12

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

31%

chance

Yes 31¢ No 69¢

$645.7K Volume 31/12

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Yes 39¢No 61¢

Flávio Bolsonaro

Yes 39¢No 61¢

$56.5M Volume 04/10

Colombia Presidential Election

Iván Cepeda Castro

Yes 35¢No 65¢

Paloma Valencia

Yes 34¢No 66¢

$23.4M Volume 21/06

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Chong Won-oh

Yes 88¢No 12¢

Oh Se-hoon

Yes 9¢No 91¢

$29.2M Volume 03/06