Rynki predykcyjne polityki

Rynki polityczne należą do najgłębszych na Polymarket: wybory w USA (prezydent, Kongres), Izrael, Wielka Brytania, Niemcy, Francja i Brazylia. Także kryzysy rządowe, wnioski o wotum nieufności, impeachmenty i nominacje rządowe.

Sondaże to tylko jeden z wielu wkładów: rynki predykcyjne łączą sondaże, wiedzę wyborców, dane społecznościowe i prognozy ekspertów w jedną cenę. Często są dokładniejsze niż jakikolwiek pojedynczy sondaż.

150 aktywne rynki
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
Starmer - UK PM98%TakNie
Putin - Russia President1%TakNie
$59.4M Wolumen 31/12
Decyzja Fed w lipca?Decyzja Fed w lipca?
No changeNo change82%TakNie
25 bps increase25 bps increase18%TakNie
$2.1M Wolumen 29/07
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance41%TakNie
Marco RubioMarco Rubio25%TakNie
$670.9M Wolumen 07/11
Iran leader end of 2026?Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei83%TakNie
Reza Pahlavi3%TakNie
$19.9M Wolumen 31/12
Elon Musk # tweets July 3 - July 10, 2026?Elon Musk # tweets July 3 - July 10, 2026?
160-17950%TakNie
180-19928%TakNie
$1.7M Wolumen Pozostało 2 dni
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%TakNie
Marco RubioMarco Rubio14%TakNie
$652.8M Wolumen 07/11
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom18%TakNie
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%TakNie
$1.23B Wolumen 07/11
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage90%TakNie
Count BinfaceCount Binface8%TakNie
$988.9K Wolumen 30/06
Putin out as President of Russia by...?Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 202718%TakNie
December 31, 20269%TakNie
$545.1K Wolumen 30/06
Elon Musk # tweets July 7 - July 14, 2026?Elon Musk # tweets July 7 - July 14, 2026?
200-21921%TakNie
220-23920%TakNie
$1.7M Wolumen Pozostało 6 dni
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
June 30, 202759%TakNie
December 3129%TakNie
$2.1M Wolumen 31/12
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen27%TakNie
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe26%TakNie
$110.6M Wolumen 30/04
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva62%TakNie
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro23%TakNie
$111.3M Wolumen 04/10
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 1525%TakNie
July 3117%TakNie
$3.6M Wolumen 31/07
Israel closes its airspace by...?Israel closes its airspace by...?
August 3121%TakNie
July 3110%TakNie
$21.4M Wolumen Kończy się dzisiaj
US announces blockade on Iran by...?US announces blockade on Iran by...?
December 3147%TakNie
August 3137%TakNie
$1.4M Wolumen 31/12
Czy ruch w cieśnina Ormuz wróci do normy do 31 lipca? Czy ruch w cieśnina Ormuz wróci do normy do 31 lipca?
5%
szansa
Tak Nie
$699.5K Wolumen 31/07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
17%
szansa
Tak Nie
$298.3K Wolumen 31/12
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
July 3141%TakNie
July 1715%TakNie
$239.8K Wolumen 31/07
Decyzja Fed w września?Decyzja Fed w września?
No changeNo change58%TakNie
25 bps increase25 bps increase37%TakNie
$2.1M Wolumen 16/09
Czy ruch w cieśnina Ormuz wróci do normy do 15 lipca? Czy ruch w cieśnina Ormuz wróci do normy do 15 lipca?
1%
szansa
Tak Nie
$699.5K Wolumen Pozostało 6 dni
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)55%TakNie
New People (NL)New People (NL)39%TakNie
$14.9M Wolumen 20/09
Czy ruch w cieśnina Ormuz wróci do normy do 31 grudnia? Czy ruch w cieśnina Ormuz wróci do normy do 31 grudnia?
62%
szansa
Tak Nie
$699.5K Wolumen 31/12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 317%TakNie
September 304%TakNie
$62.1M Wolumen 31/12
Czy reżim irański upadnie do 30 września? Czy reżim irański upadnie do 30 września?
2%
szansa
Tak Nie
$186.8K Wolumen 30/09
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot40%TakNie
Benjamin Netanyahu37%TakNie
$26.3M Wolumen 31/12
Elon Musk # tweets July 10 - July 17, 2026?Elon Musk # tweets July 10 - July 17, 2026?
160-17916%TakNie
180-19916%TakNie
$1.7M Wolumen 17/07
Czy reżim irański upadnie przed 2027? Czy reżim irański upadnie przed 2027?
9%
szansa
Tak Nie
$186.8K Wolumen 31/12
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 3130%TakNie
July 3116%TakNie
$304.4K Wolumen 31/07
Iran leadership change by...?Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202726%TakNie
December 3117%TakNie
$19.3M Wolumen 31/12
Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?
680-71910%TakNie
720-75910%TakNie
$65K Wolumen 01/08
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
58%
szansa
Tak Nie
$345K Wolumen 20/08
Elon Musk # tweets July 9 - July 11, 2026?Elon Musk # tweets July 9 - July 11, 2026?
40-6451%TakNie
65-8927%TakNie
$288.1K Wolumen Pozostało 3 dni
Czy ruch w cieśnina Ormuz wróci do normy do 31 sierpnia? Czy ruch w cieśnina Ormuz wróci do normy do 31 sierpnia?
18%
szansa
Tak Nie
$699.7K Wolumen 31/08
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 3123%TakNie
September 3013%TakNie
$5.5M Wolumen Kończy się dzisiaj
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election WinnerMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfDAfD80%TakNie
SPDSPD20%TakNie
$392.7K Wolumen 20/09
Ukraine coup attempt by...?Ukraine coup attempt by...?
December 319%
June 301%
$122.6K Wolumen 31/12
Which party will win the House in 2026?Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party84%TakNie
Republican PartyRepublican Party16%TakNie
$41.4K Wolumen 03/11
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
69%
szansa
Tak Nie
$233.2K Wolumen 03/01
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro79%TakNie
Delcy Rodríguez15%TakNie
$93.3M Wolumen 31/12
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
IrelandIreland86%TakNie
NiemcyNiemcy51%TakNie
$35.7K Wolumen 31/12
Trump out as President by July 31? Trump out as President by July 31?
1%
szansa
Tak Nie
$39.2K Wolumen 31/07
Maine Senate Election WinnerMaine Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat63%TakNie
RepublicanRepublican37%TakNie
$960.9K Wolumen 03/11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 3141%TakNie
October 3125%TakNie
$5.4M Wolumen 31/12
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro81%TakNie
Renan SantosRenan Santos10%TakNie
$4M Wolumen 04/10
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
Szwajcaria28%TakNie
Pakistan18%TakNie
$28.5K Wolumen 30/09
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-Sayed78%TakNie
Haley Stevens23%TakNie
$847.9K Wolumen 04/08
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 3112%TakNie
September 305%TakNie
$28.4M Wolumen 31/12
Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?
Ed MilibandEd Miliband63%TakNie
Yvette CooperYvette Cooper9%TakNie
$718.8K Wolumen 31/12
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
UNRWAUNRWA11%TakNie
Volodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy8%TakNie
$22.3M Wolumen 10/10
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
7%
szansa
Tak Nie
$23.4K Wolumen 31/12
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
1%
szansa
Tak Nie
$22.1K Wolumen 31/07
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 202693%TakNie
September 30, 202684%TakNie
$7.5M Wolumen Kończy się dzisiaj
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep44%TakNie
R Senate, D House41%TakNie
$8.4M Wolumen 03/11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 3115%TakNie
October 319%TakNie
$17.2M Wolumen 31/12
Czy Netanyahu odejdzie ze stanowiska do...?Czy Netanyahu odejdzie ze stanowiska do...?
December 3131%TakNie
July 311%TakNie
$19.5K Wolumen 31/12
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
December 3142%TakNie
July 313%TakNie
$786K Wolumen
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%
szansa
Tak Nie
$23.8K Wolumen 31/12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5%
szansa
Tak Nie
$17.8K Wolumen 31/12
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom18%TakNie
Kamala HarrisKamala Harris16%TakNie
$818.9K Wolumen 31/12
What will happen before GTA VI?What will happen before GTA VI?
GPT-6 releasedGPT-6 released52%TakNie
Another Pandemic51%TakNie
$23.2M Wolumen 31/07
Peru Presidential Election Invalidated? Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?
1%
szansa
Tak Nie
$51.1K Wolumen 31/07
Next UK Defence Secretary in 2026?Next UK Defence Secretary in 2026?
No next Defence Secretary in 202643%TakNie
John HealeyJohn Healey42%TakNie
$16.4K Wolumen 31/12
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface87%TakNie
Nigel FarageNigel Farage7%TakNie
$17.1K Wolumen 30/06
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
Andy BurnhamAndy Burnham99%TakNie
Nigel FarageNigel Farage1%TakNie
$16.2M Wolumen 31/12
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)96%TakNie
New People (NL)New People (NL)2%TakNie
$1.7M Wolumen 20/09
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election WinnerGreater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Bev CraigBev Craig94%TakNie
Sian AstleySian Astley6%TakNie
$243.7K Wolumen 30/07
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election WinnerSachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner
AfDAfD98%TakNie
CDUCDU2%TakNie
$839.5K Wolumen 06/09
Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron Donalds96%TakNie
James Fishback3%TakNie
$1.9M Wolumen 18/08
Who will Trump speak to in July?Who will Trump speak to in July?
Friedrich MerzFriedrich Merz95%TakNie
Mark CarneyMark Carney92%TakNie
$12.1K Wolumen 31/07
São Paulo Governor Election WinnerSão Paulo Governor Election Winner
Tarcísio de FreitasTarcísio de Freitas91%TakNie
Fernando HaddadFernando Haddad3%TakNie
$225.4K Wolumen 04/10
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?
July 31July 3110%TakNie
February 28February 281%TakNie
$425K Wolumen Kończy się dzisiaj
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)33%TakNie
Dilution of Iran's UraniumDilution of Iran's Uranium33%TakNie
$287K Wolumen 31/12
Will any country leave NATO by...?Will any country leave NATO by...?
December 31, 202550%TakNie
December 31, 20264%TakNie
$1.3M Wolumen 31/12
Czy ruch w cieśnina Ormuz wróci do normy do 30 września? Czy ruch w cieśnina Ormuz wróci do normy do 30 września?
32%
szansa
Tak Nie
$704.2K Wolumen 30/09
Who will Trump meet with in July?Who will Trump meet with in July?
Joseph AounJoseph Aoun95%TakNie
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu50%TakNie
$15.8K Wolumen 31/07
White House # posts July 7 - July 14, 2026?White House # posts July 7 - July 14, 2026?
200+69%TakNie
180-19924%TakNie
$13.4K Wolumen Pozostało 6 dni
2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate
Marine Le Pen93%TakNie
Jordan Bardella6%TakNie
$215.3K Wolumen 23/04
Candidates in next Labour leadership election?Candidates in next Labour leadership election?
Andy Burnham99%TakNie
Angela Rayner3%TakNie
$140.4K Wolumen 31/12
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
540%TakNie
440%TakNie
$9.5K Wolumen 31/12
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
July 3193%TakNie
July 1777%TakNie
$71K Wolumen 31/07
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by...?Will Russia capture Pokrovka by...?
December 31December 3150%TakNie
July 31July 3116%TakNie
$149.4K Wolumen 31/12
SC-04 House Election WinnerSC-04 House Election Winner
Republican Party91%TakNie
Democratic Party10%TakNie
$27.2K Wolumen 03/11
Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner By-Election WinnerNorfolk Police and Crime Commissioner By-Election Winner
Colin SuttonColin Sutton72%TakNie
Beth JonesBeth Jones10%TakNie
$17.5K Wolumen 16/07
Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %
Farage 70–80%32%TakNie
Farage 80%+30%TakNie
$8.4K Wolumen 30/06
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by...?Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by...?
June 301%
July 3177%
$723.9K Wolumen 31/07
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027? Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
15%
szansa
Tak Nie
$8.5K Wolumen 31/12
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
December 3111%
June 301%
$2.7M Wolumen 31/12
Maduro Prison Time?Maduro Prison Time?
No prison time35%TakNie
60+30%TakNie
$618.5K Wolumen 31/12
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 313%TakNie
August 311%TakNie
$6.2M Wolumen 31/12
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 3134%TakNie
June 301%TakNie
$2M Wolumen Kończy się dzisiaj
Israeli parliament dissolved by...?Israeli parliament dissolved by...?
July 3178%TakNie
July 158%TakNie
$1.9M Wolumen Kończy się dzisiaj
2026 Johor General Election Winner2026 Johor General Election Winner
BNBN92%TakNie
PHPH7%TakNie
$36.8K Wolumen Pozostało 3 dni
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva96%TakNie
Flavio BolsonaroFlavio Bolsonaro80%TakNie
$421K Wolumen 04/10
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
December 3114%TakNie
July 312%TakNie
$613.4K Wolumen Kończy się dzisiaj
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
December 3113%TakNie
July 312%TakNie
$613.4K Wolumen Kończy się dzisiaj
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
30%
szansa
Tak Nie
$41K Wolumen 31/12
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 316%TakNie
March 311%TakNie
$6.6K Wolumen 31/12
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
22%
szansa
Tak Nie
$116.2K Wolumen 31/12
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027No meeting before 202788%TakNie
TurcjaTurcja3%TakNie
$6.5K Wolumen 31/12
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
July 1195%TakNie
July 2894%TakNie
$6.4K Wolumen 31/07
Next UK Culture Secretary in 2026?Next UK Culture Secretary in 2026?
Lucy PowellLucy Powell14%TakNie
Angela RaynerAngela Rayner14%TakNie
$15.4K Wolumen 31/12
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...? Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
July 3146%TakNie
July 1536%TakNie
$6.5K Wolumen Kończy się dzisiaj
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom18%TakNie
Kamala HarrisKamala Harris16%TakNie
$819.2K Wolumen 31/12
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31December 3147%TakNie
September 30September 3015%TakNie
$759.8K Wolumen 31/12
Quebec General Election WinnerQuebec General Election Winner
PQPQ69%TakNie
CAQCAQ20%TakNie
$645.2K Wolumen 05/10
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3163%TakNie
ChinaChina13%TakNie
$5.9K Wolumen 31/12
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
DemocraticDemocratic59%TakNie
RepublicanRepublican41%TakNie
$1.9M Wolumen 07/11
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%19%TakNie
↓ 3.25%16%TakNie
$1.6M Wolumen 31/12
Czy Iran zgodzi się zakończyć wzbogacanie uranu do 31 grudnia? Czy Iran zgodzi się zakończyć wzbogacanie uranu do 31 grudnia?
22%
szansa
Tak Nie
$10.3K Wolumen 31/12
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin SalmanMohammed bin Salman74%TakNie
Delcy RodríguezDelcy Rodríguez37%TakNie
$15.8K Wolumen 31/12
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yoon out of custody before 2027?
10%
szansa
Tak Nie
$5.2K Wolumen 31/12
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
December 31December 316%TakNie
March 31March 311%TakNie
$928.6K Wolumen Kończy się dzisiaj
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 3 - July 10, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 3 - July 10, 2026?
200+99%TakNie
180-1991%TakNie
$8.2K Wolumen Pozostało 2 dni
CA-24 House Election WinnerCA-24 House Election Winner
Democratic Party93%TakNie
Republican Party8%TakNie
$25.1K Wolumen 03/11
Czy Iran zgodzi się zakończyć wzbogacanie uranu do 31 lipca? Czy Iran zgodzi się zakończyć wzbogacanie uranu do 31 lipca?
2%
szansa
Tak Nie
$10.3K Wolumen 31/07
Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?
PNLPNL36%TakNie
Independent/Technocrat33%TakNie
$149.7K Wolumen 31/12
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Republican PartyRepublican Party54%TakNie
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party47%TakNie
$3.1M Wolumen 03/11
Sweden Parliamentary Election WinnerSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)96%TakNie
Sweden Democrats (SD)Sweden Democrats (SD)3%TakNie
$1.2M Wolumen 13/09
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
July 3129%TakNie
April 301%TakNie
$6.3M Wolumen Kończy się dzisiaj
California Governor Election WinnerCalifornia Governor Election Winner
Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra94%TakNie
Steve HiltonSteve Hilton6%TakNie
$40.2M Wolumen 03/11
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Jordania16%TakNie
Somaliland16%TakNie
$4.8K Wolumen 31/12
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
13%
szansa
Tak Nie
$3.1M Wolumen 31/12
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
13%
szansa
Tak Nie
$4.7K Wolumen 31/12
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
33%
szansa
Tak Nie
$3.5M Wolumen 03/11
New Zealand Election: 2nd PlaceNew Zealand Election: 2nd Place
National PartyNational Party68%TakNie
Labour PartyLabour Party28%TakNie
$11.2K Wolumen 07/11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31? Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
3%
szansa
Tak Nie
$4.5K Wolumen 31/07
Paraná Governor Election WinnerParaná Governor Election Winner
Sergio Moro88%TakNie
Requião Filho11%TakNie
$13.9K Wolumen 05/10
VA-01 Democratic Primary WinnerVA-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Shannon Taylor98%TakNie
Salaam Bhatti2%TakNie
$11.9K Wolumen 04/08
2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Assembly By-Election Winner2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Assembly By-Election Winner
Tayte WillowsTayte Willows55%TakNie
Caley McDonaldCaley McDonald25%TakNie
$24.6K Wolumen Pozostało 5 dni
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
8%
szansa
Tak Nie
$89.8K Wolumen 04/10
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
45%
szansa
Tak Nie
$1.6M Wolumen 01/01
Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?
Zohran MamdaniZohran Mamdani40%TakNie
Keir StarmerKeir Starmer39%TakNie
$4.1K Wolumen 31/07
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
October 3148%TakNie
August 3143%TakNie
$144.8K Wolumen 31/12
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
8%
szansa
Tak Nie
$39.2K Wolumen 31/12
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
22%
szansa
Tak Nie
$5.6K Wolumen 31/12
AZ-05 Republican Primary WinnerAZ-05 Republican Primary Winner
Mark Lamb71%TakNie
Daniel Keenan28%TakNie
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Czy rynki predykcyjne są dokładniejsze niż sondaże?

Często tak. Łączą różnorodne informacje (sondaże, wiedzę wewnętrzną, analizy) w jedną cenę. Nie są jednak idealne: traktuj je jako kluczowe narzędzie, a nie jedyne.

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Prezydenckie i do Kongresu w USA, rządy europejskie i azjatyckie, kluczowe wyścigi lokalne oraz prawybory partyjne. Każda duża demokracja ma znaczące pokrycie.

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Śledź standardowe sondaże, ale unikaj rynków o niskiej płynności. Zabezpieczanie wokół debat lub ważnych wywiadów może zmniejszyć ryzyko skoncentrowanych pozycji.

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