Marchés de Prédiction Politique

Les marchés politiques sont parmi les plus profonds de Polymarket — élections américaines (président, Congrès), Israël, Royaume-Uni, Allemagne, France et Brésil. Également les crises gouvernementales, les votes de défiance, les mises en accusation et les nominations ministérielles.

Les sondages sont une des nombreuses entrées — les marchés de prédiction agrègent les sondages, les connaissances des électeurs, les données sociales et les prévisions d'experts en un seul prix. Souvent plus précis que n'importe quel sondage unique.

150 marchés actifs
Décision de la Fed en juillet ?Décision de la Fed en juillet ?
No changeNo change74%OuiNon
25 bps increase25 bps increase26%OuiNon
$3.9M Vol 6 jours restants
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%OuiNon
Marco RubioMarco Rubio14%OuiNon
$669.5M Vol 07/11
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom20%OuiNon
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%OuiNon
$1.25B Vol 07/11
Iran leader end of 2026?Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei74%OuiNon
No Head of State6%OuiNon
$34.2M Vol 31/12
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva61%OuiNon
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro24%OuiNon
$115.2M Vol 04/10
Nombre de tweets d'Elon Musk 17 juillet - 24 juillet, 2026 ?Nombre de tweets d'Elon Musk 17 juillet - 24 juillet, 2026 ?
180-19956%OuiNon
160-17928%OuiNon
$768.4K Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%OuiNon
Marco RubioMarco Rubio28%OuiNon
$678.2M Vol 07/11
Le trafic dans le détroit d'Ormuz reviendra-t-il à la normale d'ici le 31 juillet ? Le trafic dans le détroit d'Ormuz reviendra-t-il à la normale d'ici le 31 juillet ?
1%
de chance
Oui Non
$539.6K Vol 31/07
Trump out as President by July 31? Trump out as President by July 31?
1%
de chance
Oui Non
$318K Vol 31/07
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 3136%OuiNon
September 3024%OuiNon
$7.3M Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
Décision de la Fed en septembre ?Décision de la Fed en septembre ?
25 bps increase25 bps increase51%OuiNon
No changeNo change42%OuiNon
$3.9M Vol 16/09
Israel closes its airspace by...?Israel closes its airspace by...?
August 3142%OuiNon
August 1539%OuiNon
$24M Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
31%
de chance
Oui Non
$218.3K Vol 31/12
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen31%OuiNon
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe27%OuiNon
$115.7M Vol 30/04
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
46%
de chance
Oui Non
$669.7K Vol 03/01
Nombre de tweets d'Elon Musk 21 juillet - 28 juillet, 2026 ?Nombre de tweets d'Elon Musk 21 juillet - 28 juillet, 2026 ?
180-19921%OuiNon
200-21920%OuiNon
$768.4K Vol 5 jours restants
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
37%
de chance
Oui Non
$2.4M Vol 01/01
Le trafic dans le détroit d'Ormuz reviendra-t-il à la normale d'ici le 31 août ? Le trafic dans le détroit d'Ormuz reviendra-t-il à la normale d'ici le 31 août ?
13%
de chance
Oui Non
$539.6K Vol 31/08
Putin out as President of Russia by...?Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 202717%OuiNon
December 31, 20269%OuiNon
$102.9K Vol 30/06
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot48%OuiNon
Benjamin Netanyahu38%OuiNon
$29M Vol 31/12
Iran leadership change by...?Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202740%OuiNon
December 3126%OuiNon
$20.3M Vol 31/12
Iran leadership change by...?Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202740%OuiNon
December 3126%OuiNon
$20.3M Vol 31/12
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 1519%OuiNon
July 319%OuiNon
$7.9M Vol 31/07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
August 3146%OuiNon
August 1528%OuiNon
$736.6K Vol 31/08
Nombre de tweets d'Elon Musk 24 juillet - 31 juillet, 2026 ?Nombre de tweets d'Elon Musk 24 juillet - 31 juillet, 2026 ?
180-19917%OuiNon
140-15916%OuiNon
$768.4K Vol 31/07
Le régime iranien tombera-t-il avant 2027 ? Le régime iranien tombera-t-il avant 2027 ?
10%
de chance
Oui Non
$104.6K Vol 31/12
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
7%
de chance
Oui Non
$197.6K Vol 31/12
Le trafic dans le détroit d'Ormuz reviendra-t-il à la normale d'ici le 31 décembre ? Le trafic dans le détroit d'Ormuz reviendra-t-il à la normale d'ici le 31 décembre ?
50%
de chance
Oui Non
$539.6K Vol 31/12
Who will Trump meet with in July?Who will Trump meet with in July?
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu51%OuiNon
Elon MuskElon Musk15%OuiNon
$56.4K Vol 31/07
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
August 3139%OuiNon
July 317%OuiNon
$54K Vol 31/07
Le régime iranien tombera-t-il d'ici le 30 septembre ? Le régime iranien tombera-t-il d'ici le 30 septembre ?
4%
de chance
Oui Non
$104.6K Vol 30/09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 316%OuiNon
September 303%OuiNon
$63.5M Vol 31/12
Nombre de tweets d'Elon Musk 23 juillet - 25 juillet, 2026 ?Nombre de tweets d'Elon Musk 23 juillet - 25 juillet, 2026 ?
40-6446%OuiNon
<4031%OuiNon
$48.9K Vol 2 jours restants
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 202689%OuiNon
September 30, 202674%OuiNon
$8.2M Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone68%OuiNon
Ralph NormanRalph Norman21%OuiNon
$343.4K Vol 11/08
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3190%OuiNon
September 3083%OuiNon
$127.6K Vol
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)57%OuiNon
New People (NL)New People (NL)37%OuiNon
$15.9M Vol 20/09
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro81%OuiNon
Delcy Rodríguez12%OuiNon
$94.1M Vol 31/12
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?
August 3169%OuiNon
July 3154%OuiNon
$280.8K Vol 2 jours restants
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro71%OuiNon
Renan SantosRenan Santos18%OuiNon
$4.2M Vol 04/10
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland24%OuiNon
Arabie Saoudite16%OuiNon
$27.3K Vol 31/12
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20268%OuiNon
September 30, 2026September 30, 20263%OuiNon
$6.1M Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
California Governor Election WinnerCalifornia Governor Election Winner
Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra93%OuiNon
Steve HiltonSteve Hilton7%OuiNon
$40.4M Vol 03/11
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
Illegal / Illegals99%OuiNon
Alien99%OuiNon
$25.2K Vol 31/07
Sweden Parliamentary Election WinnerSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)98%OuiNon
Sweden Democrats (SD)Sweden Democrats (SD)2%OuiNon
$1.3M Vol 13/09
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?
July 3115%
August 3138%
$34K Vol 31/08
Berlin State Election WinnerBerlin State Election Winner
LinkeLinke35%OuiNon
CDUCDU28%OuiNon
$3.1M Vol 20/09
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya11%OuiNon
UNRWAUNRWA9%OuiNon
$22.9M Vol 10/10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 3136%OuiNon
October 3123%OuiNon
$5.6M Vol 31/12
Quel parti remportera la Chambre des représentants en 2026 ?Quel parti remportera la Chambre des représentants en 2026 ?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%OuiNon
Republican PartyRepublican Party15%OuiNon
$21.9K Vol 03/11
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
48%
de chance
Oui Non
$704.1K Vol 20/08
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 3027%OuiNon
Suisse23%OuiNon
$20.5K Vol 30/09
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
8%
de chance
Oui Non
$318K Vol 31/12
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 3124%OuiNon
July 318%OuiNon
$1.1M Vol 31/07
Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd PlaceKazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place
AuylAuyl51%OuiNon
Aq JolAq Jol23%OuiNon
$28.8K Vol 23/08
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
2%
de chance
Oui Non
$40.2K Vol 30/09
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface74%OuiNon
William CloustonWilliam Clouston10%OuiNon
$231.7K Vol 30/06
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage96%OuiNon
Count BinfaceCount Binface4%OuiNon
$2.7M Vol 30/06
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed79%OuiNon
Haley StevensHaley Stevens21%OuiNon
$1.2M Vol 04/08
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%
de chance
Oui Non
$40.2K Vol 31/12
Next Prime Minister of Romania?Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Alexandru NazareAlexandru Nazare35%OuiNon
Sorin GrindeanuSorin Grindeanu14%OuiNon
$3.2M Vol 31/12
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
10%
de chance
Oui Non
$15.5K Vol 31/12
Netanyahu hors de ses fonctions d'ici... ?Netanyahu hors de ses fonctions d'ici... ?
December 3144%OuiNon
July 311%OuiNon
$15.3K Vol 31/12
Andrew Tate released from custody by...?Andrew Tate released from custody by...?
July 312%
December 3129%
$77.9K Vol 31/12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
de chance
Oui Non
$12.8K Vol 31/12
What will happen before GTA VI?What will happen before GTA VI?
New Rihanna Album52%OuiNon
New Playboi Carti Album51%OuiNon
$23.4M Vol 31/07
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
24%
de chance
Oui Non
$13.8K Vol 31/12
Zambia Presidential Election WinnerZambia Presidential Election Winner
Hakainde HichilemaHakainde Hichilema90%OuiNon
Brian MundubileBrian Mundubile12%OuiNon
$102.4K Vol 14/08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 3114%OuiNon
October 317%OuiNon
$17.4M Vol 31/12
Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionLos Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen BassKaren Bass63%OuiNon
Nithya RamanNithya Raman38%OuiNon
$13M Vol 31/12
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
June 30, 20261%
December 31, 20268%
$3.5M Vol 31/12
US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?
October 3147%OuiNon
December 3146%OuiNon
$18.2K Vol 31/12
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Inflation 20+ times87%OuiNon
Balance Sheet84%OuiNon
$11.1K Vol 7 jours restants
Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?
760-79926%OuiNon
720-75925%OuiNon
$11.1K Vol 01/08
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 3114%OuiNon
September 307%OuiNon
$28.6M Vol 31/12
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
15%
de chance
Oui Non
$3.2M Vol 31/12
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026No Return to Normal Traffic in 202651%OuiNon
December16%OuiNon
$117.9K Vol 31/12
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election WinnerGreater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Bev CraigBev Craig97%OuiNon
Sian AstleySian Astley1%OuiNon
$344.6K Vol 30/07
Le trafic dans le détroit d'Ormuz reviendra-t-il à la normale d'ici le 30 septembre ? Le trafic dans le détroit d'Ormuz reviendra-t-il à la normale d'ici le 30 septembre ?
22%
de chance
Oui Non
$534.9K Vol 30/09
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa2%OuiNon
Mohammed bin Salman2%OuiNon
$2M Vol 01/08
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
21%
de chance
Oui Non
$8.8K Vol 31/12
MN-02 House Election WinnerMN-02 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party90%OuiNon
Republican PartyRepublican Party9%OuiNon
$8.9K Vol 04/11
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)98%OuiNon
New People (NL)New People (NL)1%OuiNon
$2.8M Vol 20/09
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
December 3110%
June 301%
$3.5M Vol 31/12
Florida Governor Republican Primary Second PlaceFlorida Governor Republican Primary Second Place
Jay CollinsJay Collins63%OuiNon
James FishbackJames Fishback23%OuiNon
$11.3K Vol 18/08
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%28%OuiNon
↑ 4.5%16%OuiNon
$1.7M Vol 31/12
What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?
Fake News86%OuiNon
Sleepy54%OuiNon
$15.4K Vol 2 jours restants
Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron DonaldsByron Donalds96%OuiNon
James FishbackJames Fishback3%OuiNon
$2.1M Vol 18/08
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31December 3139%OuiNon
September 30September 3012%OuiNon
$943.2K Vol 31/12
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %
Binface <10%35%OuiNon
Binface 10–20%31%OuiNon
$121.6K Vol 30/06
White House # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?White House # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
180-19972%OuiNon
200+15%OuiNon
$9.5K Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
Latvian Parliamentary Election WinnerLatvian Parliamentary Election Winner
LPV39%OuiNon
AS37%OuiNon
$158.9K Vol 03/10
MI-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Callie BarrCallie Barr70%OuiNon
Kyle BlomquistKyle Blomquist28%OuiNon
$12.9K Vol 04/08
WI-07 Republican Primary WinnerWI-07 Republican Primary Winner
Michael AlfonsoMichael Alfonso82%OuiNon
Kevin HermeningKevin Hermening9%OuiNon
$6.5K Vol 11/08
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?
July 311%
September 3013%
$100.9K Vol 30/09
Netanyahu arrested by…?Netanyahu arrested by…?
December 316%OuiNon
September 303%OuiNon
$13.9K Vol 31/12
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
July 2492%OuiNon
July 2391%OuiNon
$6.1K Vol 31/07
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?
December 31, 202616%
December 31, 202743%
$6.1K Vol 31/12
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?
16%
de chance
Oui Non
$42.2K Vol 30/09
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep44%OuiNon
R Senate, D House41%OuiNon
$8.8M Vol 03/11
Argentina Presidential Election WinnerArgentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier MileiJavier Milei49%OuiNon
Axel KicillofAxel Kicillof47%OuiNon
$364.6K Vol 24/10
FL-02 Republican Primary WinnerFL-02 Republican Primary Winner
Keith GrossKeith Gross53%OuiNon
Evan PowerEvan Power26%OuiNon
$6K Vol 18/08
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Renan SantosRenan Santos71%OuiNon
Ronaldo CaiadoRonaldo Caiado16%OuiNon
$469.8K Vol 04/10
WI-07 Democratic Primary WinnerWI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Fred ClarkFred Clark85%OuiNon
Chris ArmstrongChris Armstrong3%OuiNon
$5.8K Vol 11/08
Georgia Senate Election WinnerGeorgia Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat87%OuiNon
RepublicanRepublican14%OuiNon
$76.5K Vol 03/11
CZ # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?CZ # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
20-3999%OuiNon
40-591%OuiNon
$9.2K Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
Pernambuco Governor Election WinnerPernambuco Governor Election Winner
João Campos58%OuiNon
Raquel Lyra40%OuiNon
$16.9K Vol 04/10
NY-15 House Election WinnerNY-15 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%OuiNon
Republican Party3%OuiNon
$39.6K Vol 03/11
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
PHPH63%OuiNon
BNBN34%OuiNon
$9.7K Vol 01/08
WI-01 Democratic Primary WinnerWI-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Mitchell BermanMitchell Berman88%OuiNon
Lorenzo SantosLorenzo Santos6%OuiNon
$5.3K Vol 11/08
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
December 3129%OuiNon
October 3117%OuiNon
$201.7K Vol 31/12
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Cori BushCori Bush57%OuiNon
Wesley BellWesley Bell45%OuiNon
$86K Vol 04/08
What will Trump say this week? (July 20 - July 26)What will Trump say this week? (July 20 - July 26)
Bibi / Netanyahu94%OuiNon
Champion78%OuiNon
$5.1K Vol 4 jours restants
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
90%
de chance
Oui Non
$6.8K Vol 31/12
Maine Senate Election WinnerMaine Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat68%OuiNon
RepublicanRepublican33%OuiNon
$1.1M Vol 03/11
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
8%
de chance
Oui Non
$10.5M Vol 31/12
2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner
UBJP77%OuiNon
BFP21%OuiNon
$29.8K Vol 14/09
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Pete ButtigiegPete Buttigieg14%OuiNon
Don LemonDon Lemon13%OuiNon
$895.3K Vol 31/12
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary WinnerWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Francesca Hong78%OuiNon
Mandela Barnes11%OuiNon
$211.5K Vol 11/08
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
120-13963%OuiNon
140-15920%OuiNon
$9.2K Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?
June 301%
November 228%
$29.5K Vol 31/12
Iran Nuke before 2027? Iran Nuke before 2027?
6%
de chance
Oui Non
$4.4K Vol 31/12
Zelenskyy # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?Zelenskyy # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
80-9982%OuiNon
60-7910%OuiNon
$7.5K Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
Quel parti remportera le Sénat en 2026 ?Quel parti remportera le Sénat en 2026 ?
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%OuiNon
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%OuiNon
$3.3M Vol 03/11
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 3161%OuiNon
September 3040%OuiNon
$211.7K Vol 31/12
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Dilution of Iran's UraniumDilution of Iran's Uranium31%OuiNon
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)29%OuiNon
$378.2K Vol 31/12
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
1%
de chance
Oui Non
$4.3K Vol 31/07
Next Mayor of Johannesburg?Next Mayor of Johannesburg?
Frank ChikaneFrank Chikane46%OuiNon
Helen ZilleHelen Zille44%OuiNon
$73.1K Vol 05/11
AZ-01 Republican Primary Margin of VictoryAZ-01 Republican Primary Margin of Victory
Feely 10–15%97%OuiNon
Feely 20–25%10%OuiNon
$22.4K Vol 04/08
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Washtenaw County (Ann Arbor) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Washtenaw County (Ann Arbor) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed94%OuiNon
Haley StevensHaley Stevens4%OuiNon
$6K Vol 04/08
NYC Mayor # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?NYC Mayor # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
40-5989%OuiNon
20-3912%OuiNon
$6.3K Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
Russia Parliamentary Election: TurnoutRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
53-56%29%OuiNon
50-53%19%OuiNon
$30.3K Vol 20/09
Jusqu'où montera l'inflation en 2026 ?Jusqu'où montera l'inflation en 2026 ?
Above 4.5%24%OuiNon
Above 5%15%OuiNon
$1.3M Vol 31/12
Next Prime Minister of SwedenNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson80%OuiNon
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson17%OuiNon
$3.3M Vol 13/09
New Zealand Election: TurnoutNew Zealand Election: Turnout
76-78%76-78%33%OuiNon
78-80%78-80%33%OuiNon
$10.6K Vol 07/11
Hawaii Governor Republican Primary WinnerHawaii Governor Republican Primary Winner
Gary CorderyGary Cordery81%OuiNon
Ken FujiyamaKen Fujiyama10%OuiNon
$3.8K Vol 08/08
Kansas Democratic Senate Primary WinnerKansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Adam HamiltonAdam Hamilton94%OuiNon
Sandy Spidel NeumannSandy Spidel Neumann3%OuiNon
$162.6K Vol 04/08
Dharmendra Pradhan out as Minister of Education of India by...?Dharmendra Pradhan out as Minister of Education of India by...?
December 3161%OuiNon
September 3045%OuiNon
$5.9K Vol 31/12
FL-05 Republican Primary WinnerFL-05 Republican Primary Winner
John RutherfordJohn Rutherford93%OuiNon
Mark KayeMark Kaye3%OuiNon
$3.8K Vol 18/08
Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %
Farage 60–70%38%OuiNon
Farage 70–80%27%OuiNon
$84K Vol 30/06
L'Iran acceptera-t-il d'arrêter l'enrichissement d'uranium d'ici le 31 juillet ? L'Iran acceptera-t-il d'arrêter l'enrichissement d'uranium d'ici le 31 juillet ?
1%
de chance
Oui Non
$7.2K Vol 31/07
Nombre de tweets d'Elon Musk 25 juillet - 27 juillet, 2026 ?Nombre de tweets d'Elon Musk 25 juillet - 27 juillet, 2026 ?
40-6446%OuiNon
65-8925%OuiNon
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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of VictoryBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Lula da Silva 5-10%Lula da Silva 5-10%37%OuiNon
Lula da Silva 10-15%Lula da Silva 10-15%31%OuiNon
$291.1K Vol 04/10
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3172%OuiNon
ChinaChina14%OuiNon
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Hawaii Governor Democratic Primary WinnerHawaii Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Josh GreenJosh Green97%OuiNon
David BourgoinDavid Bourgoin1%OuiNon
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US charges Hormuz fees by...?US charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 318%OuiNon
August 312%OuiNon
$848.7K Vol 31/12
Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…?Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…?
November 13, 202626%
March 13, 202737%
$3.2K Vol 13/03
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
10%
de chance
Oui Non
$40.2K Vol 30/06
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
None before 202734%OuiNon
Netanyahu - Israel PM32%OuiNon
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AZ-01 House Election WinnerAZ-01 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party66%OuiNon
Republican PartyRepublican Party30%OuiNon
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FAQ sur les Marchés Politique

Les marchés de prédiction sont-ils plus précis que les sondages ?

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