Polymarket United Kingdom Prediction Markets

Polymarket United Kingdom markets track the central questions in British politics: the next general election, who becomes Prime Minister, party leadership contests, by-elections and Bank of England rate moves. Prices are set in real time by order-book depth.

Activity spikes around key dates - polling day, leadership ballots and major economic announcements. The traded volume mirrors international interest in UK politics.

16 active markets
Bank of England decision in September?Bank of England decision in September?
No change93%YesNo
25 bps increase6%YesNo
$1.7K Volume 17/09
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
John HealeyJohn Healey13%YesNo
Miatta FahnbullehMiatta Fahnbulleh10%YesNo
$75.1K Volume 31/12
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?
3%
chance
Yes No
$70.3K Volume 30/09
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
1-2%87%YesNo
0-1%7%YesNo
$80.5K Volume 12/02
Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?
Alfred CannanAlfred Cannan36%YesNo
Chris ThomasChris Thomas21%YesNo
$37.4K Volume 24/09
UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
0.4–0.5%25%YesNo
0.2–0.3%23%YesNo
$100 Volume 12/11
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
640%YesNo
≤529%YesNo
$24.7K Volume 31/12
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record? Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?
86%
chance
Yes No
$782 Volume 01/10
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
3%
chance
Yes No
$11.9K Volume 31/12
UK Recession in 2026? UK Recession in 2026?
11%
chance
Yes No
$8.7K Volume 31/03
Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027? Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?
9%
chance
Yes No
$856 Volume
Another Clacton by-election called in 2026? Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?
54%
chance
Yes No
$1 Volume 31/12
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?
December 31, 202615%
March 31, 202723%
$246K Volume 01/04
How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
286%YesNo
315%YesNo
$116K Volume 31/12
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?
August 311%
December 316%
$4.2K Volume 01/01
Next UK by-election called by…?Next UK by-election called by…?
September 3020%
December 3164%
$4.7K Volume 01/01
Load more on Polymarket →

UK Markets FAQ

Which UK markets exist on Polymarket?

Next general election timing and winner, next Prime Minister, party leadership races, by-elections and Bank of England rate decisions. Both binary and multi-outcome contracts.

What moves prices in UK markets?

Opinion polls, leadership announcements, government votes and economic news. Prices react within minutes to significant developments.

How are the odds set?

Prices come from real orders in the book, not a bookmaker. Each contract's price reflects the market's live estimate of that outcome.

Start Polymarket Training For Free
Trade prediction markets with virtual money. Real prices, zero risk. Compete on the leaderboard.
$1K
Virtual Cash
500+
Markets
$0
Real Risk
Learn more
Real prices Zero risk Leaderboard