Polymarket United Kingdom Prediction Markets

Polymarket United Kingdom markets track the central questions in British politics: the next general election, who becomes Prime Minister, party leadership contests, by-elections and Bank of England rate moves. Prices are set in real time by order-book depth.

Activity spikes around key dates - polling day, leadership ballots and major economic announcements. The traded volume mirrors international interest in UK politics.

15 active markets
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage90%YesNo
Count BinfaceCount Binface7%YesNo
$904.3K Volume 30/06
How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
283%YesNo
314%YesNo
$59.9K Volume 31/12
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface91%YesNo
Tony MackTony Mack5%YesNo
$15.8K Volume 30/06
Next UK Defence Secretary in 2026?Next UK Defence Secretary in 2026?
No next Defence Secretary in 202643%YesNo
John HealeyJohn Healey32%YesNo
$13.5K Volume 31/12
Candidates in next Labour leadership election?Candidates in next Labour leadership election?
Andy Burnham99%YesNo
Al Carns2%YesNo
$139.7K Volume 31/12
Next UK Culture Secretary in 2026?Next UK Culture Secretary in 2026?
Lucy PowellLucy Powell14%YesNo
Angela RaynerAngela Rayner14%YesNo
$14.8K Volume 31/12
Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?
Ed MilibandEd Miliband56%YesNo
Yvette CooperYvette Cooper11%YesNo
$700.5K Volume 31/12
Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %
Farage 70–80%33%YesNo
Farage 80%+29%YesNo
$5.9K Volume 30/06
Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner By-Election WinnerNorfolk Police and Crime Commissioner By-Election Winner
Colin SuttonColin Sutton89%YesNo
Beth JonesBeth Jones5%YesNo
$13.2K Volume 16/07
Bank of England decision in September?Bank of England decision in September?
No change76%YesNo
25 bps increase23%YesNo
$9.5K Volume 17/09
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
19%
chance
Yes No
$205.6K Volume 31/12
Starmer officially leaves office by…?Starmer officially leaves office by…?
July 3193%YesNo
July 172%YesNo
$101.8K Volume 31/07
Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton? Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?
88%
chance
Yes No
$3.8K Volume 30/06
Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?
Shabana MahmoodShabana Mahmood97%YesNo
Ed MilibandEd Miliband97%YesNo
$30.4K Volume 31/12
Next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?Next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?
Wes StreetingWes Streeting38%YesNo
No next Foreign Secretary in 2026No next Foreign Secretary in 202635%YesNo
$159.4K Volume 31/12
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UK Markets FAQ

Which UK markets exist on Polymarket?

Next general election timing and winner, next Prime Minister, party leadership races, by-elections and Bank of England rate decisions. Both binary and multi-outcome contracts.

What moves prices in UK markets?

Opinion polls, leadership announcements, government votes and economic news. Prices react within minutes to significant developments.

How are the odds set?

Prices come from real orders in the book, not a bookmaker. Each contract's price reflects the market's live estimate of that outcome.

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