BTC $113,247 ▲2.31% ETH $3,847 ▲1.84% SOL $284 ▲4.12% SPX 5,847 ▼0.43% TRUMP-PARDON-HUNTER 67¢ +4 BTC-120K-EOY 43¢ −2 FED-50BP-Q3 64¢ +8 NBA-FINALS Game 7 Thunder 42¢ HAMAS-CEASEFIRE-Q3 31¢ +1 NEWSOM-2028 54¢ +13 IRAN-ISRAEL-DIRECT 18¢ +11 ETH-ETF-STAKING 71¢ +3 BTC $113,247 ▲2.31% ETH $3,847 ▲1.84% SOL $284 ▲4.12% SPX 5,847 ▼0.43% TRUMP-PARDON-HUNTER 67¢ +4 BTC-120K-EOY 43¢ −2 FED-50BP-Q3 64¢ +8 NBA-FINALS Game 7 Thunder 42¢ HAMAS-CEASEFIRE-Q3 31¢ +1 NEWSOM-2028 54¢ +13
China · Politics · World

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

$1.9M Volume
31/12/2027 00:00
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Yes
$688.5K Volume
15%

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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