Science & Tech Prediction Markets
Trade the biggest open questions in science and technology on Polymarket. This category tracks live prediction markets across space (SpaceX launch counts, lunar missions), climate (record temperatures, hurricane landfalls), natural events (major earthquakes, meteor strikes) and health (disease case counts, FDA approvals). Each market shows the crowd's real-time probability, updated as new data lands.
SpaceX65%YesNo
Anthropic28%YesNo
December 314%YesNo
October 311%YesNo
070%YesNo
115%YesNo
↑5k99%YesNo
↑5.5k97%YesNo
December 31, 202767%YesNo
September 30, 202737%YesNo
November 30, 202676%YesNo
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?69%YesNo
3.56M–3.59M37%YesNo
3.53M–3.56M35%YesNo
1st hottest93%YesNo
2nd hottest4%YesNo
December 3186%
June 3092%
December 31, 202839%YesNo
December 31, 202718%YesNo
December 31, 202764%YesNo
December 31, 202630%YesNo
December 31, 202753%YesNo
December 31, 202614%YesNo
<569%YesNo
5-626%YesNo
60-95mm33%YesNo
35-60mm31%YesNo
20 to 3470%YesNo
35 to 4928%YesNo
December 31, 202746%YesNo
June 30, 202715%YesNo
30-45mm54%YesNo
55-65mm32%YesNo
Ramsey Number R(5,5)30%YesNo
Yang-Mills29%YesNo
100mm+37%YesNo
50-60mm30%YesNo
December 31, 202728%YesNo
December 31, 202613%YesNo
June 30, 2027?76%
March 31, 202754%
No solution by Dec 31, 202738%YesNo
Yang-Mills21%YesNo
2-3"40%YesNo
3.5-4.25"35%YesNo
5.75-6.75"29%YesNo
4.5-5"28%YesNo
OpenAI56%
Anthropic44%
5000+99%YesNo
5600+79%YesNo
<1384%YesNo
16+12%YesNo
140-15973%YesNo
120-13927%YesNo
51.0+91%YesNo
51.5+86%YesNo
December 31, 20262%
December 31, 202711%
December 315%
June 3030%
December 31, 202840%YesNo
December 31, 202714%YesNo
November 301%
December 312%
October 31, 20261%
December 31, 202613%
August 3050%YesNo
December 3114%YesNo
SpaceX81%
OpenAI19%
Science & tech markets FAQ
What science markets can I trade on Polymarket?
Active markets span space (SpaceX launch totals, lunar missions), climate and weather records, major earthquakes and natural disasters, and public-health questions like disease case counts and FDA drug approvals.
How do science and climate markets resolve?
Each market resolves against a named authoritative source - USGS for earthquakes, CDC or WHO for disease case counts, NOAA for temperature and hurricane records, and official launch manifests for space missions. The resolution source is listed on every market page.
Are science prediction markets accurate?
Prices reflect the crowd's live probability, weighted by real money at stake, so they move as new data arrives from launch schedules, weather models and case reports. They are a fast probability estimate, not a forecast guarantee - always check the resolution source and timeframe before trading.
