This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
Yes is the outsider here at 2%, while No trades at 98%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 2%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Jul 2026 (22 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
Total turnover stands at $4.4K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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