A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Brazil
Politics
World
Global Elections
Elections
Yes Probability
7%
No Probability
93%
Trading Volume
$3.2M
Time Remaining
165 days left
Flávio Bolsonaro
$32.8K Volume
67%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$37.8K Volume
15%
Renan Santos
$972.7K Volume
6%
Romeu Zema
$229.4K Volume
2%
Fernando Haddad
$637.1K Volume
3%
Ronaldo Caiado
$274K Volume
1%
Camilo Santana
$42.9K Volume
1%
Ratinho Júnior
$626.8K Volume
1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$102.7K Volume
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$86.2K Volume
1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$37.1K Volume
1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$58.5K Volume
1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$25.4K Volume
1%
Aldo Rebelo
$15K Volume
1%
Eduardo Leite
$14.9K Volume
1%
Person Q
50%
Person L
50%
Person S
50%
Person P
50%
Person R
50%
Person U
50%
Person W
50%
Person Y
50%
Other
50%
Person K
50%
Person M
50%
Person N
50%
Person O
50%
Person T
50%
Person V
50%
Person X
50%
Person Z
50%