Brazil · Politics

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

$4.2M Volume
04/10/2026 00:00
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Flávio Bolsonaro
$186.4K Volume
80%
Renan Santos
$1M Volume
12%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$133.9K Volume
8%
Ronaldo Caiado
$336.9K Volume
1%
Romeu Zema
$286.3K Volume
1%
Fernando Haddad
$682.4K Volume
1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$116.2K Volume
1%
Camilo Santana
$83.5K Volume
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$159K Volume
1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$109.6K Volume
1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$91.9K Volume
1%
Ratinho Júnior
$662K Volume
1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$144.7K Volume
1%
Aldo Rebelo
$52.4K Volume
1%
Eduardo Leite
$61.7K Volume
1%
Tereza Cristina
$25.9K Volume
1%
Helder Barbalho
$21K Volume
1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place?
Flávio Bolsonaro leads the field at 80%, with Renan Santos next at 12%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place?
Traders lean toward Flávio Bolsonaro, pricing it at 80%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 4 Oct 2026 (74 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place?
Total turnover stands at $4.2M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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