Iran · toll

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

$545.7K Volume
31/12/2026 23:59
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July 31
$152.8K Volume
3%
July 17
$289.2K Volume
1%
August 31
$59.4K Volume
7%
December 31
$44.2K Volume
11%

This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".

Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.

The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.

The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for US charges Hormuz fees by?
The field is wide open: December 31 tops it at just 11%, with August 31 close behind at 6%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for US charges Hormuz fees by?
No strong consensus yet: December 31 tops the implied probabilities at just 11%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the US charges Hormuz fees by market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (171 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on US charges Hormuz fees by?
Total turnover stands at $545.7K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade US charges Hormuz fees by on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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