This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Middle East
· Litani
· Politics
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
Yes
$350 Volume
6%
No
$1K Volume
13%
About This Market
Similar Markets

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
July 31
Yes 54¢No 46¢
June 30
Yes 35¢No 65¢

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
Yes 37¢No 63¢
July 31
Yes 21¢No 79¢

Israel military action against Yemen by...?
June 30
Yes 20¢No 80¢

Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei
Yes 70¢No 30¢
Reza Pahlavi
Yes 6¢No 94¢

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Benjamin Netanyahu
Yes 34¢No 66¢
Gadi Eizenkot
Yes 29¢No 71¢