This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
July 31
$240.7K Volume
2%
August 31
$105 Volume
15%
December 31
$202.1K Volume
35%
Resolved 2
June 15
$883 Volume
No
June 30
$481.8K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by?
The field is wide open: December 31 tops it at just 35%, with August 31 close behind at 10%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by?
No strong consensus yet: December 31 tops the implied probabilities at just 35%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
How much money is trading on Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by?
Total turnover stands at $925.7K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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