A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Brazil
World
Politics
Global Elections
Yes Probability
1%
No Probability
99%
Trading Volume
$224.6K
Time Remaining
165 days left
Ronaldo Caiado
$10.3K Volume
33%
Renan Santos
$40.1K Volume
28%
Romeu Zema
$4.7K Volume
25%
Fernando Haddad
$12.6K Volume
4%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$3.3K Volume
1%
Ratinho Júnior
$91.3K Volume
1%
Flávio Bolsonaro
$2.9K Volume
1%
Camilo Santana
$5K Volume
1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$39.1K Volume
1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$2.4K Volume
1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$3.2K Volume
1%
Eduardo Leite
$1.9K Volume
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$3.2K Volume
1%
Aldo Rebelo
$2K Volume
1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$2.6K Volume
1%
Person K
50%
Person N
50%
Person O
50%
Person T
50%
Person V
50%
Person X
50%
Person Z
50%
Person S
50%
Person U
50%
Person Y
50%
Person L
50%
Person M
50%
Person P
50%
Person Q
50%
Person R
50%
Person W
50%
Other
50%