A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Brazil
· World
· Politics
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Renan Santos
$76K Volume
43%
Romeu Zema
$12.6K Volume
21%
Ronaldo Caiado
$20.9K Volume
12%
Flávio Bolsonaro
$9.4K Volume
6%
Fernando Haddad
$16K Volume
3%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$6.5K Volume
2%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$5.8K Volume
2%
Camilo Santana
$7.8K Volume
1%
Ratinho Júnior
$95.7K Volume
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$4.8K Volume
1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$40.8K Volume
1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$4.8K Volume
1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$4.9K Volume
1%
Aldo Rebelo
$5.2K Volume
1%
Tereza Cristina
$1.6K Volume
1%
Eduardo Leite
$3.7K Volume
1%
Helder Barbalho
$1.3K Volume
1%
Person N
50%
Person O
50%
Person T
50%
Person V
50%
Person X
50%
Person Z
50%
Person S
50%
Person U
50%
Person Y
50%
Person M
50%
Person P
50%
Person Q
50%
Person R
50%
Person W
50%
Other
50%
About This Market
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Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaYes 41¢No 59¢
Flávio BolsonaroYes 28¢No 72¢
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroYes 63¢No 37¢
Renan SantosYes 19¢No 81¢
Bank of Brazil Decision in June?
No Change
Yes 62¢No 38¢
Decrease
Yes 34¢No 66¢
São Paulo Governor Election Winner
Tarcísio de FreitasYes 79¢No 21¢
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Bank of Brazil decision in August?
No Change
Yes 86¢No 14¢
25 bps decrease
Yes 12¢No 88¢
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaYes 79¢No 21¢
Flavio BolsonaroYes 63¢No 37¢
