A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Renan Santos
$147.9K Volume
64%
Ronaldo Caiado
$34.5K Volume
17%
Romeu Zema
$18.9K Volume
6%
Flávio Bolsonaro
$20.8K Volume
6%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$9.8K Volume
2%
Ratinho Júnior
$99.8K Volume
2%
Fernando Haddad
$18.3K Volume
1%
Tereza Cristina
$4.1K Volume
1%
Helder Barbalho
$3.5K Volume
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$7.1K Volume
1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$7.2K Volume
1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$11.2K Volume
1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$43.8K Volume
1%
Camilo Santana
$11.5K Volume
1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$8.4K Volume
1%
Aldo Rebelo
$8.5K Volume
1%
Eduardo Leite
$8.2K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place?
It's a genuine race: Renan Santos edges the field at 64%, barely ahead of Ronaldo Caiado at 17%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place?
At 64% implied for Renan Santos, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place market resolve?
Mark 4 Oct 2026 (74 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place?
$463.7K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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