This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Past
July 7
$10.3K Volume
20%
July 9
$4.2K Volume
92%
July 10
$1.3K Volume
95%
July 11
$920 Volume
96%
July 12
$3.7K Volume
92%
July 13
$194 Volume
93%
July 14
$831 Volume
92%
July 15
$327 Volume
92%
July 16
$291 Volume
92%
July 17
$243 Volume
93%
July 18
$367 Volume
92%
July 19
$850 Volume
92%
July 20
$348 Volume
91%
July 21
$420 Volume
91%
July 22
$422 Volume
91%
July 23
$384 Volume
91%
July 24
$2.7K Volume
92%
July 25
92%
July 26
$252 Volume
92%
July 27
$23 Volume
93%
July 28
$2.1K Volume
95%
July 29
$297 Volume
93%
July 30
$113 Volume
91%
July 31
$237 Volume
93%
Resolved 7
July 1
$21.5K Volume
Yes
July 2
$13.9K Volume
Yes
July 3
$18.6K Volume
Yes
July 4
$15.7K Volume
Yes
July 5
$15.5K Volume
Yes
July 6
$18K Volume
Yes
July 8
$9.1K Volume
Yes
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Trump publicly insult someone on?
At 95%, July 11 has pulled far clear of July 28 (94%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Will Trump publicly insult someone on?
With 95% implied for July 11, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Will Trump publicly insult someone on market resolve?
Mark 31 Jul 2026 (23 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Will Trump publicly insult someone on?
Total turnover stands at $4.8K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will Trump publicly insult someone on on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
August 1524%YesNo
July 3117%YesNo
July 3142%YesNo
July 1714%YesNo
December 3146%YesNo
August 3141%YesNo
August 3130%YesNo
July 3114%YesNo
Nicolás Maduro79%YesNo
Delcy Rodríguez15%YesNo
