🌍 Middle East Markets

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

April 15

Yes 99¢No 1¢

June 30

Yes 99¢No 1¢

$70.5M Volume Ends today

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

April 22

Yes 24¢No 76¢

$10.7M Volume Ends today

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

1%

chance

Yes 1¢ No 99¢

$2.6M Volume 7 days left

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

May 31

Yes 76¢No 24¢

April 30

Yes 28¢No 72¢

$5.2M Volume 7 days left

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

3%

chance

Yes 3¢ No 97¢

$2.6M Volume 31/05

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 31

Yes 41¢No 59¢

June 30

Yes 33¢No 67¢

$3.7M Volume 31/12

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

31%

chance

Yes 31¢ No 69¢

$645.7K Volume 31/12

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

June 30

Yes 69¢No 31¢

May 31

Yes 52¢No 48¢

$32.5M Volume 30/06

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

8%

chance

Yes 8¢ No 92¢

$2.6M Volume 30/06

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31

Yes 44¢No 56¢

June 30

Yes 7¢No 93¢

$166.4K Volume 31/12

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

December 31

Yes 14¢No 86¢

June 30

Yes 7¢No 93¢

$16M Volume 30/06

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Pakistan

Yes 5¢No 95¢

India

Yes 4¢No 96¢

$3M Volume 7 days left

Israel military action against Iran by...?

April 141%

April 211%

$3.1M Volume Ends today

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

14%

chance

Yes 14¢ No 86¢

$81.9K Volume 7 days left

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

UAE

Yes 5¢No 95¢

Saudi Arabia

Yes 4¢No 96¢

$67.3K Volume 7 days left

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

11%

chance

Yes 11¢ No 89¢

$69.2K Volume 7 days left

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

13%

chance

Yes 13¢ No 87¢

$501.7K Volume 30/06

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?

April 151%

April 306%

$2M Volume 7 days left

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

June 30

Yes 29¢No 71¢

April 30

Yes 1¢No 99¢

$36.2K Volume Ends today

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

April 306%

April 151%

$1.1M Volume 7 days left

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Bahrain

Yes 21¢No 79¢

Qatar

Yes 16¢No 84¢

$29.7K Volume 7 days left

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

10+

Yes 76¢No 24¢

8–9

Yes 18¢No 82¢

$28.4K Volume 7 days left

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

5%

chance

Yes 5¢ No 95¢

$126.2K Volume 7 days left

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?

April 30

Yes 9¢No 91¢

$21.5K Volume Ends today