Middle East Prediction Markets
Middle East prediction markets price the region's biggest questions - ceasefires, sanctions, nuclear talks, elections and conflict - as live probabilities that update with every headline.
On Polymarket these markets often carry deep liquidity around news events and run for weeks or months. Polymarkets tracks the real prices and odds for Israel, Iran, Gaza and Gulf markets, so you can read the crowd's view in real time, compare scenarios, and practice risk-free in training mode before trading on Polymarket.
October 3175%YesNo
November 272%YesNo
Gadi Eizenkot43%YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu35%YesNo
Gadi Eizenkot92%YesNoBenjamin Netanyahu8%YesNo
December 31, 202721%YesNo
December 31, 202612%YesNo
Mojtaba Khamenei84%YesNo
No Head of State4%YesNo
December 3131%YesNo
November 3017%YesNo
8+97%YesNo
73%YesNo
December 3114%YesNo
November 309%YesNo
December 316%YesNo
July 311%YesNo
June 30, 202744%YesNo
March 31, 202728%YesNo
December 314%YesNo
June 301%YesNo
December 3122%YesNo
September 231%YesNo
January 31, 202770%YesNo
December 31, 202655%YesNo
December 3114%YesNo
September 301%YesNo
Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken70%YesNo
No Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken24%YesNo
No government formed46%YesNo
Other24%YesNo
October 299%YesNo
October 399%YesNo
December 314%YesNo
March 311%YesNo
December 3112%YesNo
October 311%YesNo
December 3149%YesNo
November 3036%YesNo
December 3131%YesNo
November 3018%YesNo
<5837%YesNo
64-6620%YesNo
No Next Minister by Feb 2845%YesNo
Gadi Eizenkot13%YesNo
No Next Minister by Feb 2844%YesNo
Avigdor Lieberman7%YesNoNo Next Minister by Feb 2846%YesNo
Yoram Cohen15%YesNo
Lebanon7%YesNo
Venezuela7%YesNo
November 3050%YesNo
October 311%YesNo
December 3111%YesNo
November 309%YesNo
No Next Minister by Feb 2846%YesNo
Orit Farkash-Hacohen15%YesNo
December 31, 202768%YesNo
March 31, 202746%YesNo
No Next Minister by Feb 2845%YesNo
Yair Lapid20%YesNo
October 3150%YesNo
December 3150%YesNo
December 3130%YesNo
October 312%YesNo
No Next Minister by Feb 2845%YesNo
Yoram Cohen24%YesNo
Yair Lapid41%YesNo
Miki Zohar23%YesNoDem sweep; No Phase II54%YesNo
No Dem sweep; No Phase II24%YesNo
October 596%YesNo
October 495%YesNo
Middle East markets FAQ
What do Middle East markets cover?
Israel and Iran developments, Gaza and regional ceasefires, sanctions, nuclear-deal negotiations, elections and broader conflict outcomes - each as a yes/no or multi-outcome market with a live probability.
How do the odds work?
Each outcome trades between 1¢ and 99¢; the price is the market's implied probability. Prices move in real time as traders react to news, so they reflect the current consensus rather than a fixed line.
Can I follow or test these without risk?
Yes. Polymarkets's free training mode lets you paper-trade any market with live prices and $1,000 in practice money - no card, no risk - before going to Polymarket.
