PolyMarketsCoil
Daily news, analyses and guides on Polymarket prediction markets - politics, economy, Bitcoin, the Middle East and sports. Includes a free training mode with $1,000 virtual to practice risk-free.
Training mode: practice risk-free with $1,000 in virtual money - learn how Polymarket works before trading real USDC.
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
France
18%
Spain
16%
England
11%
Brazil
9%
France
18%
Spain
16%
England
11%
Brazil
9%
+54 more options
Eurovision Winner 2026
Finland
43%
Greece
22%
Denmark
11%
France
6%
Finland
43%
Greece
22%
Denmark
11%
France
6%
+46 more options
All markets
Browse by topic
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
FranceYes 18¢No 82¢
SpainYes 16¢No 84¢
Epstein suicide note released by...?
May 81%
May 3113%
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by December 31, 2026
Yes 10¢No 90¢
by June 30, 2026
Yes 1¢No 99¢
Eurovision Winner 2026
FinlandYes 43¢No 57¢
GreeceYes 22¢No 78¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 31
Yes 69¢No 31¢
June 30
Yes 39¢No 61¢
Will Trump visit China by...?
June 30
Yes 99¢No 1¢
May 31
Yes 99¢No 1¢
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin WarshYes 99¢No 1¢
Judy SheltonYes 1¢No 99¢
2026 NBA Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
Yes 63¢No 37¢
San Antonio Spurs
Yes 18¢No 82¢
Elon Musk # tweets May 5 - May 12, 2026?
100-119
Yes 60¢No 40¢
120-139
Yes 38¢No 62¢
Elon Musk # tweets May 8 - May 15, 2026?
100-119
Yes 35¢No 65¢
120-139
Yes 25¢No 75¢
Starmer out by...?
December 31
Yes 86¢No 14¢
June 30
Yes 67¢No 33¢
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio BolsonaroYes 43¢No 57¢
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaYes 40¢No 60¢
Bitcoin above ___ on May 12?
72,000
Yes 99¢No 1¢
74,000
Yes 99¢No 1¢
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceYes 37¢No 63¢
Marco RubioYes 25¢No 75¢
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceYes 19¢No 81¢
Gavin NewsomYes 17¢No 83¢
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomYes 24¢No 76¢
Kamala HarrisYes 9¢No 91¢
Fed Decision in June?
No change
Yes 97¢No 3¢
25 bps decrease
Yes 2¢No 98¢
Will Trump visit China on...?
May 13
Yes 96¢No 4¢
May 14
Yes 2¢No 98¢
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Yes 91¢No 9¢
What price will Bitcoin hit in May?
↑ 85,000
Yes 57¢No 43¢
↓ 75,000
Yes 39¢No 61¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B
Match Winner
Yes 99¢No 1¢
Map 1 Winner
Yes 99¢No 1¢
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?
↑ $100
Yes 89¢No 11¢
↓ $95
Yes 89¢No 11¢
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan BardellaYes 25¢No 75¢
Édouard PhilippeYes 20¢No 80¢
🇮🇱 Israel, Middle East & Geopolitics
Show All →US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 31
Yes 69¢No 31¢
June 30
Yes 39¢No 61¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
June 30
Yes 64¢No 36¢
May 31
Yes 29¢No 71¢
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
June 30
Yes 59¢No 41¢
May 31
Yes 26¢No 74¢
Iran closes its airspace by...?
May 31
Yes 40¢No 60¢
May 15
Yes 9¢No 91¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
June 30
Yes 10¢No 90¢
May 31
Yes 6¢No 94¢
📈 Active Markets
Updated every 5 minutesWill Trump visit China by...?
June 30
Yes 99¢No 1¢
May 31
Yes 99¢No 1¢
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin WarshYes 99¢No 1¢
Judy SheltonYes 1¢No 99¢
2026 NBA Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
Yes 63¢No 37¢
San Antonio Spurs
Yes 18¢No 82¢
Elon Musk # tweets May 5 - May 12, 2026?
100-119
Yes 60¢No 40¢
120-139
Yes 38¢No 62¢
Elon Musk # tweets May 8 - May 15, 2026?
100-119
Yes 35¢No 65¢
120-139
Yes 25¢No 75¢
Starmer out by...?
December 31
Yes 86¢No 14¢
June 30
Yes 67¢No 33¢
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio BolsonaroYes 43¢No 57¢
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaYes 40¢No 60¢
Bitcoin above ___ on May 12?
72,000
Yes 99¢No 1¢
74,000
Yes 99¢No 1¢
💰 Economy & Markets
Show All →When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by December 31, 2026
Yes 10¢No 90¢
by June 30, 2026
Yes 1¢No 99¢
Will Trump visit China by...?
June 30
Yes 99¢No 1¢
May 31
Yes 99¢No 1¢
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin WarshYes 99¢No 1¢
Judy SheltonYes 1¢No 99¢
Bitcoin above ___ on May 12?
72,000
Yes 99¢No 1¢
74,000
Yes 99¢No 1¢
Fed Decision in June?
No change
Yes 97¢No 3¢
25 bps decrease
Yes 2¢No 98¢
Will Trump visit China on...?
May 13
Yes 96¢No 4¢
May 14
Yes 2¢No 98¢
News & Analysis
All News →
Investigation
From Fort Bragg to Tel Aviv: The Polymarket Insider-Trading Arrests That Are Now Reshaping Prediction Markets
A US Army soldier indicted over $409K in Maduro-capture bets. An Israeli Air Force major charged for trading the Iran-strike date. A wallet that hijacked a $7M Ukraine market through UMA. Three congressional candidates fined for betting on their own races. The seven authenticated cases that are forcing prediction markets - and governments - to reckon with insider trading.
Investigation
The Polymarket Ceasefire Resolutions That Both Sides Are Calling Scandals: $203M Iran NO, $20.9M Hezbollah YES
Two big April-2026 Polymarket markets settled in opposite directions despite both arguably violating their own rules: US-Iran extended-by-Apr-22 ($203M, 3 UMA disputes) settled NO; Israel-Hezbollah extended-by-Apr-26 ($20.9M, 2 UMA disputes) settled YES. We verified the gamma API ourselves and walk through every fact.
Learn
All Guides →
Start trading prediction markets
Concise guides - open an account, place your first trade, master strategy. Step-by-step.
01
What Is Polymarket? The Complete Beginner's Guide (2026)
Learn what Polymarket is, how prediction markets work, and whether it's right for you. Covers trading mechanics, fees, real examples, verified profitability stats.
02
How to Create a Polymarket Account (Step-by-Step Guide)
Step-by-step guide to creating your Polymarket account. Covers email, Google, and wallet sign-up methods, proxy wallet security, KYC requirements, 2FA setup.
03
How to Deposit Money on Polymarket (Cheapest Methods 2026)
The complete 2026 Polymarket deposit guide. Compare credit card (1-4.5%), crypto transfer (under $1), bank ACH, cross-chain bridging, and MoonPay side by side.
04
How to Withdraw from Polymarket to Your Bank or Wallet (2026)
Complete Polymarket withdrawal guide. Step-by-step: withdrawing USDC to exchanges, bank accounts (ACH/SEPA), and self-custody wallets. Fees, limits, processing.
05
Your First Trade on Polymarket - A Complete Walkthrough (2026)
A true step-by-step guide to your first Polymarket trade. Read a market page, approve USDC, choose market vs limit orders, size your position, monitor P&L.
06
Types of Markets on Polymarket - Complete Category & Structure Guide
Every Polymarket market structure and category explained: binary, multi-outcome, NegRisk, conditional, 5-minute crypto, perps. Where your edge lives in 2026.
Frequently Asked Questions
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What is Polymarket?Polymarket is a blockchain-based prediction market platform where you can trade on the outcomes of real-world events - from politics to crypto and sports. Prices reflect the collective probability of traders.
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Is Polymarket legal in my country?Polymarket operates as an international decentralized platform. Regulations vary by country. It's recommended to consult a tax advisor regarding reporting obligations.
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How much money do I need to start?You can start with just a few dollars. The minimum per trade depends on the asset price - you can buy shares for as little as 1 cent each.
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How do I deposit money?You can deposit using USDC (a stable digital currency), credit card, or bank transfer. The system also supports crypto wallets like MetaMask.
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What's the difference between prediction markets and gambling?Prediction markets are based on two-way trading (buying and selling) with continuous price discovery, while gambling is based on fixed odds set by the bookmaker. On Polymarket you can sell a position before the event ends.
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How do I sign up to Polymarket?Polymarket signup needs a crypto wallet (MetaMask/Coinbase Wallet) or an email account, basic identity verification, and a USDC deposit. Our step-by-step guides walk you through every screen - from wallet setup to your first trade.
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Is Polymarket available in my country?Polymarket is a global decentralised platform; some jurisdictions restrict access. Check the Polymarket terms for the current country list. Our guides explain deposits, withdrawals, taxes and risks for international traders.
