PolymarketsCoil
Daily news, analyses and guides on Polymarket prediction markets - politics, economy, Bitcoin, the Middle East and sports. Includes a free training mode with $1,000 virtual to practice risk-free.
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World Cup Winner
Spain
16%
France
16%
England
11%
Portugal
10%
Spain
16%
France
16%
England
11%
Portugal
10%
+45 more options
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
July 31
65%
June 30
43%
June 15
17%
June 12
8%
July 31
65%
June 30
43%
June 15
17%
June 12
8%
📰 News & Analysis
Show All →
World Cup 2026 World Cup 2026 Golden Boot Odds: Mbappé Leads, Kane Chasing After a 61-Goal Season
2026-06-10
World Cup 2026 World Cup 2026 Dark Horses: Traders Give 32% That a First-Time Champion Lifts the Trophy
2026-06-10
World Cup 2026 Will Iran Play at the World Cup? The Market Says 97% - Despite the War, Pulled Tickets and a Visa Standoff
2026-06-10
World Cup 2026 Trump and America's World Cup: A 47% Coin-Flip on the USA Opener - and Mexico Outpricing the Hosts
2026-06-10
World Cup 2026 France or Spain? Inside the $1.8 Billion World Cup Winner Market
2026-06-10
Investigation From Fort Bragg to Tel Aviv: The Polymarket Insider-Trading Arrests That Are Now Reshaping Prediction Markets
2026-05-05
Investigation The Polymarket Ceasefire Resolutions That Both Sides Are Calling Scandals: $203M Iran NO, $20.9M Hezbollah YES
2026-05-03
All markets
Browse by topic
World Cup Winner
SpainYes 16¢No 84¢
FranceYes 16¢No 84¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 31
Yes 68¢No 32¢
October 31
Yes 59¢No 41¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
July 31Yes 66¢No 34¢
June 30Yes 43¢No 57¢
Fed Decision in June?
No change
Yes 99¢No 1¢
25 bps increase
Yes 1¢No 99¢
Where will Tyreek Hill play in 2026?
Los Angeles Chargers
Yes 34¢No 66¢
Kansas City Chiefs
Yes 33¢No 67¢
Israel closes its airspace by...?
June 30
Yes 24¢No 76¢
June 15
Yes 13¢No 87¢
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomYes 24¢No 76¢
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezYes 9¢No 91¢
Bitcoin above ___ on June 10?
56,000
Yes 99¢No 1¢
58,000
Yes 99¢No 1¢
Iran closes its airspace by...?
June 15
Yes 99¢No 1¢
June 30
Yes 99¢No 1¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
>$1T
Yes 99¢No 1¢
>$1.2T
Yes 97¢No 3¢
Spurs vs. Knicks
Spurs vs. Knicks
Yes 47¢No 53¢
IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner
VitalityYes 49¢No 51¢
Team SpiritYes 22¢No 78¢
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan BardellaYes 30¢No 70¢
Édouard PhilippeYes 18¢No 82¢
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier BecerraYes 87¢No 13¢
Steve HiltonYes 8¢No 92¢
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Marco RubioYes 16¢No 84¢
JD VanceYes 15¢No 85¢
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceYes 34¢No 66¢
Marco RubioYes 24¢No 76¢
World Cup: Golden Boot Winner
Kylian MbappeYes 16¢No 84¢
Harry KaneYes 13¢No 87¢
2026 NBA Champion
New York Knicks
Yes 62¢No 38¢
San Antonio Spurs
Yes 38¢No 62¢
What price will Bitcoin hit in June?
↑ 65,000
Yes 60¢No 40¢
↓ 57,500
Yes 54¢No 46¢
Elon Musk # tweets June 5 - June 12, 2026?
220-239
Yes 36¢No 64¢
200-219
Yes 35¢No 65¢
Bitcoin all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
Yes 8¢No 92¢
September 30, 2026
Yes 3¢No 97¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?
June 30
Yes 18¢No 82¢
June 15
Yes 10¢No 90¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
↓ $85
Yes 79¢No 21¢
↓ $80
Yes 41¢No 59¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31
Yes 14¢No 86¢
September 30
Yes 6¢No 94¢
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🇮🇱 Israel, Middle East & Geopolitics
Show All →US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 31
Yes 68¢No 32¢
October 31
Yes 59¢No 41¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
July 31Yes 66¢No 34¢
June 30Yes 43¢No 57¢
Israel closes its airspace by...?
June 30
Yes 24¢No 76¢
June 15
Yes 13¢No 87¢
Iran closes its airspace by...?
June 15
Yes 99¢No 1¢
June 30
Yes 99¢No 1¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?
June 30
Yes 18¢No 82¢
June 15
Yes 10¢No 90¢
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
July 31
Yes 58¢No 42¢
June 30
Yes 38¢No 62¢
📈 Active Markets
Updated every 5 minutesIsrael closes its airspace by...?
June 30
Yes 24¢No 76¢
June 15
Yes 13¢No 87¢
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomYes 24¢No 76¢
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezYes 9¢No 91¢
Bitcoin above ___ on June 10?
56,000
Yes 99¢No 1¢
58,000
Yes 99¢No 1¢
Iran closes its airspace by...?
June 15
Yes 99¢No 1¢
June 30
Yes 99¢No 1¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
>$1T
Yes 99¢No 1¢
>$1.2T
Yes 97¢No 3¢
Spurs vs. Knicks
Spurs vs. Knicks
Yes 47¢No 53¢
IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner
VitalityYes 49¢No 51¢
Team SpiritYes 22¢No 78¢
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan BardellaYes 30¢No 70¢
Édouard PhilippeYes 18¢No 82¢
💰 Economy & Markets
Show All →Fed Decision in June?
No change
Yes 99¢No 1¢
25 bps increase
Yes 1¢No 99¢
Bitcoin above ___ on June 10?
56,000
Yes 99¢No 1¢
58,000
Yes 99¢No 1¢
What price will Bitcoin hit in June?
↑ 65,000
Yes 60¢No 40¢
↓ 57,500
Yes 54¢No 46¢
Bitcoin all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
Yes 8¢No 92¢
September 30, 2026
Yes 3¢No 97¢
Ethereum above ___ on June 10?
1,300
Yes 99¢No 1¢
1,400
Yes 99¢No 1¢
Fed Decision in July?
No change
Yes 93¢No 7¢
25 bps increase
Yes 6¢No 94¢
What price will Ethereum hit in June?
↓ 1,500
Yes 54¢No 46¢
↓ 1,400
Yes 30¢No 70¢
Bitcoin above ___ on June 11?
54,000
Yes 99¢No 1¢
56,000
Yes 98¢No 2¢
News & Analysis
All News →
World Cup 2026
World Cup 2026 Golden Boot Odds: Mbappé Leads, Kane Chasing After a 61-Goal Season
Live World Cup 2026 Golden Boot prediction-market odds: Mbappé 16%, Kane 12.5%, Oyarzabal 7.5%, Haaland 6%. Who wins top scorer? Full data, analysis and how to trade it.
World Cup 2026
World Cup 2026 Dark Horses: Traders Give 32% That a First-Time Champion Lifts the Trophy
Which World Cup 2026 underdog goes furthest? Prediction markets give a 32% chance a first-time champion wins. Norway, Morocco, Japan and Colombia - live odds and analysis.
World Cup 2026
Will Iran Play at the World Cup? The Market Says 97% - Despite the War, Pulled Tickets and a Visa Standoff
Iran's World Cup 2026 participation amid the Israel-Iran war: visa drama, pulled ticket allocations, Trump's posts - and why Polymarket still prices Iran playing at 96.9%.
World Cup 2026
Trump and America's World Cup: A 47% Coin-Flip on the USA Opener - and Mexico Outpricing the Hosts
Will Trump attend the USA's World Cup opener vs Paraguay at SoFi? Markets say 47.5%. Plus: why traders price Mexico (45%) over USA (32%) as the furthest-advancing host.
Learn
All Guides →
Start trading prediction markets
Concise guides - open an account, place your first trade, master strategy. Step-by-step.
01
What Is Polymarket? The Complete Beginner's Guide (2026)
Learn what Polymarket is, how prediction markets work, and whether it's right for you. Covers trading mechanics, fees, real examples, verified profitability stats.
02
How to Create a Polymarket Account (Step-by-Step Guide)
Step-by-step guide to creating your Polymarket account. Covers email, Google, and wallet sign-up methods, proxy wallet security, KYC requirements, 2FA setup.
03
How to Deposit Money on Polymarket (Cheapest Methods 2026)
The complete 2026 Polymarket deposit guide. Compare credit card (1-4.5%), crypto transfer (under $1), bank ACH, cross-chain bridging, and MoonPay side by side.
04
How to Withdraw from Polymarket to Your Bank or Wallet (2026)
Complete Polymarket withdrawal guide. Step-by-step: withdrawing USDC to exchanges, bank accounts (ACH/SEPA), and self-custody wallets. Fees, limits, processing.
05
Your First Trade on Polymarket - A Complete Walkthrough (2026)
A true step-by-step guide to your first Polymarket trade. Read a market page, approve USDC, choose market vs limit orders, size your position, monitor P&L.
06
Types of Markets on Polymarket - Complete Category & Structure Guide
Every Polymarket market structure and category explained: binary, multi-outcome, NegRisk, conditional, 5-minute crypto, perps. Where your edge lives in 2026.
Frequently Asked Questions
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What is Polymarket?Polymarket is a blockchain-based prediction market platform where you can trade on the outcomes of real-world events - from politics to crypto and sports. Prices reflect the collective probability of traders.
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Is Polymarket legal in my country?Polymarket operates as an international decentralized platform. Regulations vary by country. It's recommended to consult a tax advisor regarding reporting obligations.
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How much money do I need to start?You can start with just a few dollars. The minimum per trade depends on the asset price - you can buy shares for as little as 1 cent each.
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How do I deposit money?You can deposit using USDC (a stable digital currency), credit card, or bank transfer. The system also supports crypto wallets like MetaMask.
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What's the difference between prediction markets and gambling?Prediction markets are based on two-way trading (buying and selling) with continuous price discovery, while gambling is based on fixed odds set by the bookmaker. On Polymarket you can sell a position before the event ends.
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How do I sign up to Polymarket?Polymarket signup needs a crypto wallet (MetaMask/Coinbase Wallet) or an email account, basic identity verification, and a USDC deposit. Our step-by-step guides walk you through every screen - from wallet setup to your first trade.
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Is Polymarket available in my country?Polymarket is a global decentralised platform; some jurisdictions restrict access. Check the Polymarket terms for the current country list. Our guides explain deposits, withdrawals, taxes and risks for international traders.
PolymarketsCoil
Daily news, analyses and guides on Polymarket prediction markets - politics, economy, Bitcoin, the Middle East and sports. Includes a free training mode with $1,000 virtual to practice risk-free.
