Polymarket United States Prediction Markets

Polymarket United States markets cover the biggest storylines in American politics and policy: presidential and Congressional races, control of the House and Senate, Federal Reserve rate decisions, key economic data and major court rulings. Prices update in real time based on order-book depth.

These markets are most active around decision dates - election nights, Fed meetings, jobs and inflation reports. Trading volume reflects how closely the world watches US events.

7 active markets
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance47%YesNo
Marco RubioMarco Rubio19%YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez21%YesNo
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff15%YesNo
JD VanceJD Vance23%YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%YesNo
Democrats Sweep49%YesNo
R Senate, D House38%YesNo
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party88%YesNo
Republican PartyRepublican Party13%YesNo
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party50%YesNo
Republican PartyRepublican Party50%YesNo

US Markets FAQ

Which US markets exist on Polymarket?

Presidential and midterm races, House and Senate control, Fed rate decisions, economic data prints and major legal or policy outcomes. Both binary (Yes/No) and multi-outcome contracts.

What moves prices in US markets?

Polls, debates, economic releases and breaking political news. Odds can shift within minutes of a major headline as traders reprice the order book.

How are the odds set?

There is no house line. Prices come from real buy and sell orders, so each contract's price reflects the market's live consensus probability.

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