Polymarket United States Prediction Markets
Polymarket United States markets cover the biggest storylines in American politics and policy: presidential and Congressional races, control of the House and Senate, Federal Reserve rate decisions, key economic data and major court rulings. Prices update in real time based on order-book depth.
These markets are most active around decision dates - election nights, Fed meetings, jobs and inflation reports. Trading volume reflects how closely the world watches US events.
JD Vance20%YesNo
Marco Rubio14%YesNo
J.D. Vance40%YesNoMarco Rubio26%YesNo
Gavin Newsom19%YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%YesNo
Democratic Party84%YesNo
Republican Party16%YesNo
Republican Party54%YesNoDemocratic Party47%YesNoUS Markets FAQ
Which US markets exist on Polymarket?
Presidential and midterm races, House and Senate control, Fed rate decisions, economic data prints and major legal or policy outcomes. Both binary (Yes/No) and multi-outcome contracts.
What moves prices in US markets?
Polls, debates, economic releases and breaking political news. Odds can shift within minutes of a major headline as traders reprice the order book.
How are the odds set?
There is no house line. Prices come from real buy and sell orders, so each contract's price reflects the market's live consensus probability.
