Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
September 30
$31.6K Volume
5%
Resolved 1
July 31
$108.8K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by?
Yes is priced at 4% and No at 96%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by?
Traders currently imply a 4% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Oct 2026 (38 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by?
Total traded volume on this market is $140.4K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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