This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Nicolás Maduro
$2.1M Volume
82%
Delcy Rodríguez
$1.7M Volume
12%
María Corina Machado
$1.4M Volume
3%
No Head of State
$1.5M Volume
2%
Jorge Rodríguez
$1.1M Volume
1%
Edmundo González
$1.2M Volume
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$2.1M Volume
1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$777.3K Volume
1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2.9M Volume
1%
Donald Trump
$1M Volume
1%
Marco Rubio
$1.3M Volume
1%
Pete Hegseth
$9.1M Volume
1%
Evan Pettus
$5.6M Volume
1%
Frank Donovan
$25.7M Volume
1%
Dan Caine
$4.1M Volume
1%
Richard Grenell
$32.5M Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Venezuela leader end of 2026?
The money is on Nicolás Maduro at 81%; Delcy Rodríguez follows at 12%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for Venezuela leader end of 2026?
The market makes Nicolás Maduro the favorite at 81%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Venezuela leader end of 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (161 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Total turnover stands at $94.1M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Venezuela leader end of 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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