This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trump
· Peace Deal
· geopolitcs
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
JD Vance
$42.3K Volume
75%
Abbas Araghchi
$15.1K Volume
66%
Shehbaz Sharif
$9.2K Volume
43%
Donald Trump
$49K Volume
33%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$11.6K Volume
32%
Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
$7.2K Volume
27%
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi
$5.3K Volume
20%
Marco Rubio
$13K Volume
17%
Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan
$1.6K Volume
16%
King Abdullah II
$11.8K Volume
15%
Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah
$7.7K Volume
14%
Mohammed bin Salman
$5.4K Volume
12%
Steve Witkoff
$13.4K Volume
10%
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa
$12K Volume
8%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$30.4K Volume
7%
Recep Tayyip Erdogan
$6.3K Volume
7%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$11.5K Volume
6%
Pete Hegseth
$31.8K Volume
4%
Ali Larijani
$4K Volume
1%
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