Mga Pamilihan ng Prediksyon sa Politika

Ang mga pamilihan sa politika ay kabilang sa pinakamalalim ng Polymarket — mga halalan sa US (presidente, Kongreso), Israel, UK, Germany, France at Brazil. Kasama rin ang mga krisis sa gobyerno, mga boto ng kawalang tiwala, mga impeachment at mga pagtatalaga sa gabinete.

Ang mga poll ay isa sa maraming input — ang mga pamilihan ng prediksyon ay nag-aaggregate ng polling, kaalaman ng botante, datos sa lipunan at mga forecast ng eksperto sa isang presyo. Kadalasang mas tumpak kaysa sa anumang solong poll.

150 mga aktibong merkado
Desisyon ng Fed sa Hulyo?Desisyon ng Fed sa Hulyo?
No changeNo change74%OoHindi
25 bps increase25 bps increase25%OoHindi
$3.5M Dami 5 araw pa
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%OoHindi
Marco RubioMarco Rubio14%OoHindi
$669.6M Dami 07/11
Bilang ng tweets ni Elon Musk 17 Hulyo - 24 Hulyo, 2026?Bilang ng tweets ni Elon Musk 17 Hulyo - 24 Hulyo, 2026?
200-21955%OoHindi
180-19922%OoHindi
$1M Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva61%OoHindi
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro23%OoHindi
$115.3M Dami 04/10
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom20%OoHindi
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%OoHindi
$1.25B Dami 07/11
Iran leader end of 2026?Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei72%OoHindi
No Head of State6%OoHindi
$34.2M Dami 31/12
Babalik ba sa normal ang trapiko sa Kipot ng Hormuz bago ang 31 Hulyo? Babalik ba sa normal ang trapiko sa Kipot ng Hormuz bago ang 31 Hulyo?
1%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$800.1K Dami 7 araw pa
Israel closes its airspace by...?Israel closes its airspace by...?
August 3156%OoHindi
August 1549%OoHindi
$24.1M Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Trump out as President by July 31? Trump out as President by July 31?
1%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$317.4K Dami 31/07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
31%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$278.6K Dami 31/12
Desisyon ng Fed sa Setyembre?Desisyon ng Fed sa Setyembre?
25 bps increase25 bps increase52%OoHindi
No changeNo change42%OoHindi
$3.5M Dami 16/09
Bilang ng tweets ni Elon Musk 21 Hulyo - 28 Hulyo, 2026?Bilang ng tweets ni Elon Musk 21 Hulyo - 28 Hulyo, 2026?
220-23917%OoHindi
240-25916%OoHindi
$1M Dami 5 araw pa
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%OoHindi
Marco RubioMarco Rubio28%OoHindi
$678.2M Dami 07/11
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
40%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$699.7K Dami 03/01
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen31%OoHindi
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe27%OoHindi
$115.8M Dami 30/04
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 3134%OoHindi
September 3023%OoHindi
$7.4M Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Babalik ba sa normal ang trapiko sa Kipot ng Hormuz bago ang 31 Agosto? Babalik ba sa normal ang trapiko sa Kipot ng Hormuz bago ang 31 Agosto?
11%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$800.1K Dami 31/08
Babalik ba sa normal ang trapiko sa Kipot ng Hormuz bago ang 31 Disyembre? Babalik ba sa normal ang trapiko sa Kipot ng Hormuz bago ang 31 Disyembre?
53%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$800.1K Dami 31/12
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
32%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$2.5M Dami 01/01
Babagsak ba ang rehimeng Iranian bago ang 30 Setyembre? Babagsak ba ang rehimeng Iranian bago ang 30 Setyembre?
4%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$232.6K Dami 30/09
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 1519%OoHindi
July 3110%OoHindi
$8M Dami 31/07
Iran leadership change by...?Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202740%OoHindi
December 3128%OoHindi
$20.3M Dami 31/12
Babagsak ba ang rehimeng Iranian bago ang 2027? Babagsak ba ang rehimeng Iranian bago ang 2027?
11%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$232.6K Dami 31/12
Bilang ng tweets ni Elon Musk 23 Hulyo - 25 Hulyo, 2026?Bilang ng tweets ni Elon Musk 23 Hulyo - 25 Hulyo, 2026?
65-8948%OoHindi
90-11424%OoHindi
$117.7K Dami 2 araw pa
Putin out as President of Russia by...?Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 202717%OoHindi
December 31, 20269%OoHindi
$93.7K Dami 30/06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
August 3147%OoHindi
August 1529%OoHindi
$770.8K Dami 31/08
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?
August 3155%OoHindi
July 3128%OoHindi
$332.5K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Bilang ng tweets ni Elon Musk 24 Hulyo - 31 Hulyo, 2026?Bilang ng tweets ni Elon Musk 24 Hulyo - 31 Hulyo, 2026?
160-17916%OoHindi
180-19916%OoHindi
$1M Dami 31/07
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
Congress99%OoHindi
Illegal / Illegals99%OoHindi
$65.6K Dami 31/07
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
August 3133%OoHindi
July 317%OoHindi
$65.1K Dami 31/07
Berlin State Election WinnerBerlin State Election Winner
LinkeLinke34%OoHindi
CDUCDU27%OoHindi
$3.1M Dami 20/09
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot49%OoHindi
Benjamin Netanyahu38%OoHindi
$29.1M Dami 31/12
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
7%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$197.6K Dami 31/12
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)57%OoHindi
New People (NL)New People (NL)37%OoHindi
$15.9M Dami 20/09
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone71%OoHindi
Ralph NormanRalph Norman21%OoHindi
$364.9K Dami 11/08
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro81%OoHindi
Delcy Rodríguez11%OoHindi
$94.1M Dami 31/12
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage96%OoHindi
Count BinfaceCount Binface4%OoHindi
$2.8M Dami 30/06
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3188%OoHindi
September 3082%OoHindi
$134.7K Dami
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 3114%OoHindi
September 307%OoHindi
$28.7M Dami 31/12
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)96%OoHindi
New People (NL)New People (NL)2%OoHindi
$2.8M Dami 20/09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 3137%OoHindi
October 3123%OoHindi
$5.6M Dami 31/12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 316%OoHindi
September 303%OoHindi
$63.5M Dami 31/12
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland26%OoHindi
Syria13%OoHindi
$29.2K Dami 31/12
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 3126%OoHindi
July 317%OoHindi
$1.2M Dami 31/07
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro75%OoHindi
Renan SantosRenan Santos15%OoHindi
$4.2M Dami 04/10
California Governor Election WinnerCalifornia Governor Election Winner
Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra93%OoHindi
Steve HiltonSteve Hilton7%OoHindi
$40.4M Dami 03/11
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya11%OoHindi
UNRWAUNRWA8%OoHindi
$22.9M Dami 10/10
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20269%OoHindi
September 30, 2026September 30, 20263%OoHindi
$6.1M Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Sweden Parliamentary Election WinnerSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)98%OoHindi
Sweden Democrats (SD)Sweden Democrats (SD)2%OoHindi
$1.3M Dami 13/09
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
8%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$317.4K Dami 31/12
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?
July 3112%
August 3138%
$35.7K Dami 31/08
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 202689%OoHindi
September 30, 202674%OoHindi
$8.2M Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Bilang ng tweets ni Elon Musk 25 Hulyo - 27 Hulyo, 2026?Bilang ng tweets ni Elon Musk 25 Hulyo - 27 Hulyo, 2026?
40-6445%OoHindi
<4028%OoHindi
$117.7K Dami 4 araw pa
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 3027%OoHindi
Switzerland23%OoHindi
$19.5K Dami 30/09
Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd PlaceKazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place
AuylAuyl51%OoHindi
RespublicaRespublica21%OoHindi
$29.2K Dami 23/08
Who will Trump meet with in July?Who will Trump meet with in July?
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu28%OoHindi
Elon MuskElon Musk12%OoHindi
$20.3K Dami 31/07
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed79%OoHindi
Haley StevensHaley Stevens21%OoHindi
$1.2M Dami 04/08
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface74%OoHindi
William CloustonWilliam Clouston10%OoHindi
$236.5K Dami 30/06
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
2%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$40.6K Dami 30/09
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
9%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$18.4K Dami 31/12
What will Trump say during the Dodgers White House visit?What will Trump say during the Dodgers White House visit?
World Cup99%OoHindi
Hundred / Thousand 10+ times54%OoHindi
$17.9K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Balance Sheet85%OoHindi
Inflation 20+ times83%OoHindi
$17.6K Dami 6 araw pa
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$40.6K Dami 31/12
Aling partido ang mananalo sa Kapulungan ng mga Kinatawan sa 2026?Aling partido ang mananalo sa Kapulungan ng mga Kinatawan sa 2026?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%OoHindi
Republican PartyRepublican Party15%OoHindi
$16.3K Dami 03/11
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31December 3138%OoHindi
September 30September 3011%OoHindi
$955.5K Dami 31/12
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep44%OoHindi
R Senate, D House41%OoHindi
$8.8M Dami 03/11
Aalis ba sa puwesto si Netanyahu bago ang...?Aalis ba sa puwesto si Netanyahu bago ang...?
December 3145%OoHindi
July 311%OoHindi
$15.8K Dami 31/12
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026No Return to Normal Traffic in 202648%OoHindi
December18%OoHindi
$123.2K Dami 31/12
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
43%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$706.3K Dami 20/08
Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?
760-79926%OoHindi
720-75921%OoHindi
$14.2K Dami 01/08
Iowa Senate Election WinnerIowa Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican59%OoHindi
DemocratDemocrat42%OoHindi
$158.3K Dami 03/11
Babalik ba sa normal ang trapiko sa Kipot ng Hormuz bago ang 30 Setyembre? Babalik ba sa normal ang trapiko sa Kipot ng Hormuz bago ang 30 Setyembre?
22%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$800.1K Dami 30/09
Nebraska Senate Election Winner Nebraska Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican76%OoHindi
IndependentIndependent22%OoHindi
$180.7K Dami 03/11
Somaliland Parliamentary Election WinnerSomaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
No election before 2027No election before 202793%OoHindi
WaddaniWaddani6%OoHindi
$91.7K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
July 2493%OoHindi
July 2689%OoHindi
$12.2K Dami 31/07
Zambia Presidential Election WinnerZambia Presidential Election Winner
Hakainde HichilemaHakainde Hichilema90%OoHindi
Brian MundubileBrian Mundubile12%OoHindi
$102.5K Dami 14/08
US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?
December 3147%OoHindi
October 3144%OoHindi
$18.3K Dami 31/12
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
June 30, 20261%
December 31, 20269%
$3.5M Dami 31/12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$11K Dami 31/12
Next Prime Minister of Romania?Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Alexandru NazareAlexandru Nazare35%OoHindi
Sorin GrindeanuSorin Grindeanu14%OoHindi
$3.2M Dami 31/12
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
15%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$3.2M Dami 31/12
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election WinnerGreater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Bev CraigBev Craig97%OoHindi
Sian AstleySian Astley2%OoHindi
$345.2K Dami 7 araw pa
What will Trump say during his Announcement on the Ratepayer Protection Pledge?What will Trump say during his Announcement on the Ratepayer Protection Pledge?
Oil 3+ times99%OoHindi
Friend of Mine99%OoHindi
$10.7K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
DemocraticDemocratic59%OoHindi
RepublicanRepublican41%OoHindi
$1.9M Dami 07/11
White House # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?White House # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
180-19987%OoHindi
200+14%OoHindi
$12.2K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Andrew Tate released from custody by...?Andrew Tate released from custody by...?
July 313%
December 3127%
$79.2K Dami 31/12
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
27%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$9.1K Dami 31/12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 3114%OoHindi
October 317%OoHindi
$17.4M Dami 31/12
MN-02 House Election WinnerMN-02 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party90%OoHindi
Republican PartyRepublican Party9%OoHindi
$9.4K Dami 04/11
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%40%OoHindi
↑ 4.5%15%OoHindi
$1.7M Dami 31/12
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
120-13969%OoHindi
140-15913%OoHindi
$15.8K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?
16%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$45.5K Dami 30/09
South Carolina Senate Election WinnerSouth Carolina Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican90%OoHindi
DemocratDemocrat11%OoHindi
$108.3K Dami 03/11
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
9%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$65.2K Dami 31/12
What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?
Fake News85%OoHindi
Sleepy54%OoHindi
$18.1K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Florida Governor Republican Primary Second PlaceFlorida Governor Republican Primary Second Place
Jay CollinsJay Collins59%OoHindi
James FishbackJames Fishback22%OoHindi
$11.5K Dami 18/08
Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionLos Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen BassKaren Bass64%OoHindi
Nithya RamanNithya Raman38%OoHindi
$13M Dami 31/12
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %
Binface <10%35%OoHindi
Binface 10–20%31%OoHindi
$122K Dami 30/06
Vancouver Mayoral Election WinnerVancouver Mayoral Election Winner
William AzaroffWilliam Azaroff31%OoHindi
Ken SimKen Sim24%OoHindi
$140.5K Dami 17/10
Texas Governor Election WinnerTexas Governor Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican95%OoHindi
DemocratDemocrat6%OoHindi
$26.2K Dami 03/11
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?
December 31, 202617%
December 31, 202734%
$7.6K Dami 31/12
Aling partido ang mananalo sa Senado sa 2026?Aling partido ang mananalo sa Senado sa 2026?
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%OoHindi
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%OoHindi
$3.3M Dami 03/11
WI-07 Republican Primary WinnerWI-07 Republican Primary Winner
Michael AlfonsoMichael Alfonso72%OoHindi
Jessi EbbenJessi Ebben12%OoHindi
$6.8K Dami 11/08
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Mohammed bin Salman2%OoHindi
Abbas Araghchi2%OoHindi
$2M Dami 01/08
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
1%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$6.2K Dami 31/07
Netanyahu arrested by…?Netanyahu arrested by…?
December 316%OoHindi
September 303%OoHindi
$14.5K Dami 31/12
NY-15 House Election WinnerNY-15 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%OoHindi
Republican Party3%OoHindi
$40.1K Dami 03/11
FL-02 Republican Primary WinnerFL-02 Republican Primary Winner
Keith GrossKeith Gross53%OoHindi
Evan PowerEvan Power26%OoHindi
$6K Dami 18/08
What will happen before GTA VI?What will happen before GTA VI?
New Rihanna Album52%OoHindi
New Playboi Carti Album51%OoHindi
$23.4M Dami 31/07
WI-07 Democratic Primary WinnerWI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Fred ClarkFred Clark85%OoHindi
Chris ArmstrongChris Armstrong3%OoHindi
$5.8K Dami 11/08
Georgia Senate Election WinnerGeorgia Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat87%OoHindi
RepublicanRepublican14%OoHindi
$76.6K Dami 03/11
Pernambuco Governor Election WinnerPernambuco Governor Election Winner
João Campos61%OoHindi
Raquel Lyra31%OoHindi
$17K Dami 04/10
CZ # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?CZ # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
20-3999%OoHindi
40-591%OoHindi
$9.2K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Renan SantosRenan Santos68%OoHindi
Ronaldo CaiadoRonaldo Caiado17%OoHindi
$470.1K Dami 04/10
WI-01 Democratic Primary WinnerWI-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Mitchell BermanMitchell Berman88%OoHindi
Lorenzo SantosLorenzo Santos6%OoHindi
$5.4K Dami 11/08
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
December 3129%OoHindi
October 3117%OoHindi
$201.8K Dami 31/12
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
89%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$6.8K Dami 31/12
Maine Senate Election WinnerMaine Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat68%OoHindi
RepublicanRepublican33%OoHindi
$1.1M Dami 03/11
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
PHPH64%OoHindi
BNBN36%OoHindi
$10K Dami 01/08
Aalis ba sa puwesto si Kash Patel bago ang...?Aalis ba sa puwesto si Kash Patel bago ang...?
December 3136%OoHindi
July 312%OoHindi
$1.6M Dami
Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?
June 301%
November 234%
$29.6K Dami 31/12
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?
120-13932%OoHindi
200+21%OoHindi
$15.8K Dami 5 araw pa
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
7%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$10.5M Dami 31/12
AZ-01 Republican Primary Margin of VictoryAZ-01 Republican Primary Margin of Victory
Feely 10–15%97%OoHindi
Feely <5%8%OoHindi
$22.6K Dami 04/08
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Cori BushCori Bush60%OoHindi
Wesley BellWesley Bell42%OoHindi
$88.4K Dami 04/08
Next Mayor of Johannesburg?Next Mayor of Johannesburg?
Helen ZilleHelen Zille44%OoHindi
Frank ChikaneFrank Chikane42%OoHindi
$73.3K Dami 05/11
Papayag ba ang Iran na itigil ang enrichment ng uranium bago ang 31 Hulyo? Papayag ba ang Iran na itigil ang enrichment ng uranium bago ang 31 Hulyo?
1%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$8.7K Dami 7 araw pa
NYC Mayor # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?NYC Mayor # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
40-5999%OoHindi
60-791%OoHindi
$7.5K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Dilution of Iran's UraniumDilution of Iran's Uranium31%OoHindi
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)30%OoHindi
$378.4K Dami 31/12
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary WinnerWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Francesca HongFrancesca Hong78%OoHindi
David CrowleyDavid Crowley11%OoHindi
$211.8K Dami 11/08
Gaano kataas aabot ang implasyon sa 2026?Gaano kataas aabot ang implasyon sa 2026?
Above 4.5%24%OoHindi
Above 5%15%OoHindi
$1.3M Dami 31/12
Kansas Democratic Senate Primary WinnerKansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Adam HamiltonAdam Hamilton94%OoHindi
Sandy Spidel NeumannSandy Spidel Neumann3%OoHindi
$162.9K Dami 04/08
Papayag ba ang Iran na itigil ang enrichment ng uranium bago ang 31 Disyembre? Papayag ba ang Iran na itigil ang enrichment ng uranium bago ang 31 Disyembre?
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September 3053%OoHindi
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Karoline / Leavitt67%OoHindi
Rigged66%OoHindi
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Democratic Party12%OoHindi
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544%OoHindi
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September 3040%OoHindi
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FAQ ng mga Pamilihan sa Politika

Mas tumpak ba ang mga pamilihan ng prediksyon kaysa sa mga poll?

Kadalasan — oo. Sila ay nag-aaggregate ng iba't ibang impormasyon (mga poll, panloob na kaalaman, pagsusuri) sa isang presyo. Hindi perpekto; ituring silang isang pangunahing tool, hindi ang nag-iisa.

Aling mga halalan ang sakop sa Polymarket?

Mga halalan sa pampanguluhan at kongresyon ng US, mga gobyerno sa Europa at Asya, mga pangunahing lokal na laban, mga primaryang partido. Bawat pangunahing demokrasya ay nakakakuha ng makabuluhang saklaw.

Paano ako makikipagkalakalan sa mga halalan nang matalino?

Subaybayan ang mga karaniwang polling ngunit iwasan ang mga pamilihan na may manipis na likwididad. Ang pag-hedging sa paligid ng mga debate o pangunahing panayam ay maaaring magpababa ng panganib sa mga nakatuon na posisyon.

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