This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe.
If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Past
Friedrich Merz
$2.1K Volume
97%
Mark Carney
$1.2K Volume
94%
Emmanuel Macron
$4.6K Volume
57%
Elon Musk
$851 Volume
55%
Mohammed bin Salman
$1.9K Volume
35%
Ursula von der Leyen
$3.8K Volume
55%
Xi Jinping
$3.9K Volume
19%
Lula da Silva
$2.9K Volume
19%
Maria Corina Machado
$3.8K Volume
14%
Miguel Díaz-Canel
$160 Volume
12%
Pope Leo XIV
$1.2K Volume
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$2.5K Volume
8%
Kim Jong Un
$3.5K Volume
3%
Nicolás Maduro
$215 Volume
2%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$1.6K Volume
2%
Reza Pahlavi
$833 Volume
2%
Yoon Suk Yeol
$7.7K Volume
1%
Resolved 5
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
$18.6K Volume
Yes
Vladimir Putin
$16.5K Volume
Yes
Keir Starmer
$15.1K Volume
Yes
Ahmed al-Sharaa
$7.2K Volume
Yes
Mark Rutte
$3.9K Volume
Yes
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Who will Trump speak to in July?
Friedrich Merz dominates the field at 95%; the nearest challenger, Mark Carney, trades at just 92%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Who will Trump speak to in July?
With 95% implied for Friedrich Merz, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Who will Trump speak to in July market resolve?
Mark 31 Jul 2026 (23 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Who will Trump speak to in July?
Traders have put $10.5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Who will Trump speak to in July on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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