政治预测市场

政治市场是 Polymarket 中最深入的市场之一 — 美国选举（总统、国会）、以色列、英国、德国、法国和巴西。还包括政府危机、不信任投票、弹劾和内阁任命。

民调是众多输入中的一种 — 预测市场将民调、选民知识、社交数据和专家预测汇聚成一个单一价格。通常比任何单一民调更准确。

150 活跃市场
7月美联储决议?7月美联储决议?
No changeNo change74%是否
25 bps increase25 bps increase26%是否
$3.9M 成交量 还剩 6 天
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%是否
Marco RubioMarco Rubio14%是否
$669.5M 成交量 07/11
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom20%是否
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%是否
$1.25B 成交量 07/11
Iran leader end of 2026?Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei74%是否
No Head of State6%是否
$34.2M 成交量 31/12
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva61%是否
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro24%是否
$115.2M 成交量 04/10
埃隆·马斯克在7月17日 - 7月24日, 2026的发推数量?埃隆·马斯克在7月17日 - 7月24日, 2026的发推数量?
180-19956%是否
160-17928%是否
$768.4K 成交量 今日截止
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%是否
Marco RubioMarco Rubio28%是否
$678.2M 成交量 07/11
7月31日前霍尔木兹海峡航运是否恢复正常? 7月31日前霍尔木兹海峡航运是否恢复正常?
1%
概率
是 否
$539.6K 成交量 31/07
Trump out as President by July 31? Trump out as President by July 31?
1%
概率
是 否
$318K 成交量 31/07
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 3136%是否
September 3024%是否
$7.3M 成交量 今日截止
9月美联储决议?9月美联储决议?
25 bps increase25 bps increase51%是否
No changeNo change42%是否
$3.9M 成交量 16/09
Israel closes its airspace by...?Israel closes its airspace by...?
August 3142%是否
August 1539%是否
$24M 成交量 今日截止
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
31%
概率
是 否
$218.3K 成交量 31/12
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen31%是否
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe27%是否
$115.7M 成交量 30/04
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
46%
概率
是 否
$669.7K 成交量 03/01
埃隆·马斯克在7月21日 - 7月28日, 2026的发推数量?埃隆·马斯克在7月21日 - 7月28日, 2026的发推数量?
180-19921%是否
200-21920%是否
$768.4K 成交量 还剩 5 天
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
37%
概率
是 否
$2.4M 成交量 01/01
8月31日前霍尔木兹海峡航运是否恢复正常? 8月31日前霍尔木兹海峡航运是否恢复正常?
13%
概率
是 否
$539.6K 成交量 31/08
Putin out as President of Russia by...?Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 202717%是否
December 31, 20269%是否
$102.9K 成交量 30/06
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot48%是否
Benjamin Netanyahu38%是否
$29M 成交量 31/12
Iran leadership change by...?Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202740%是否
December 3126%是否
$20.3M 成交量 31/12
Iran leadership change by...?Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202740%是否
December 3126%是否
$20.3M 成交量 31/12
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 1519%是否
July 319%是否
$7.9M 成交量 31/07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
August 3146%是否
August 1528%是否
$736.6K 成交量 31/08
埃隆·马斯克在7月24日 - 7月31日, 2026的发推数量?埃隆·马斯克在7月24日 - 7月31日, 2026的发推数量?
180-19917%是否
140-15916%是否
$768.4K 成交量 31/07
伊朗政权会在2027年前垮台吗? 伊朗政权会在2027年前垮台吗?
10%
概率
是 否
$104.6K 成交量 31/12
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
7%
概率
是 否
$197.6K 成交量 31/12
12月31日前霍尔木兹海峡航运是否恢复正常? 12月31日前霍尔木兹海峡航运是否恢复正常?
50%
概率
是 否
$539.6K 成交量 31/12
Who will Trump meet with in July?Who will Trump meet with in July?
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu51%是否
Elon MuskElon Musk15%是否
$56.4K 成交量 31/07
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
August 3139%是否
July 317%是否
$54K 成交量 31/07
伊朗政权会在9月30日前垮台吗? 伊朗政权会在9月30日前垮台吗?
4%
概率
是 否
$104.6K 成交量 30/09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 316%是否
September 303%是否
$63.5M 成交量 31/12
埃隆·马斯克在7月23日 - 7月25日, 2026的发推数量?埃隆·马斯克在7月23日 - 7月25日, 2026的发推数量?
40-6446%是否
<4031%是否
$48.9K 成交量 还剩 2 天
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 202689%是否
September 30, 202674%是否
$8.2M 成交量 今日截止
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone68%是否
Ralph NormanRalph Norman21%是否
$343.4K 成交量 11/08
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3190%是否
September 3083%是否
$127.6K 成交量
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)57%是否
New People (NL)New People (NL)37%是否
$15.9M 成交量 20/09
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro81%是否
Delcy Rodríguez12%是否
$94.1M 成交量 31/12
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?
August 3169%是否
July 3154%是否
$280.8K 成交量 还剩 2 天
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro71%是否
Renan SantosRenan Santos18%是否
$4.2M 成交量 04/10
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland24%是否
沙特阿拉伯16%是否
$27.3K 成交量 31/12
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20268%是否
September 30, 2026September 30, 20263%是否
$6.1M 成交量 今日截止
California Governor Election WinnerCalifornia Governor Election Winner
Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra93%是否
Steve HiltonSteve Hilton7%是否
$40.4M 成交量 03/11
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
Illegal / Illegals99%是否
Alien99%是否
$25.2K 成交量 31/07
Sweden Parliamentary Election WinnerSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)98%是否
Sweden Democrats (SD)Sweden Democrats (SD)2%是否
$1.3M 成交量 13/09
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?
July 3115%
August 3138%
$34K 成交量 31/08
Berlin State Election WinnerBerlin State Election Winner
LinkeLinke35%是否
CDUCDU28%是否
$3.1M 成交量 20/09
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya11%是否
UNRWAUNRWA9%是否
$22.9M 成交量 10/10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 3136%是否
October 3123%是否
$5.6M 成交量 31/12
2026年哪个党将赢得众议院?2026年哪个党将赢得众议院?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%是否
Republican PartyRepublican Party15%是否
$21.9K 成交量 03/11
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
48%
概率
是 否
$704.1K 成交量 20/08
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 3027%是否
瑞士23%是否
$20.5K 成交量 30/09
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
8%
概率
是 否
$318K 成交量 31/12
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 3124%是否
July 318%是否
$1.1M 成交量 31/07
Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd PlaceKazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place
AuylAuyl51%是否
Aq JolAq Jol23%是否
$28.8K 成交量 23/08
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
2%
概率
是 否
$40.2K 成交量 30/09
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface74%是否
William CloustonWilliam Clouston10%是否
$231.7K 成交量 30/06
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage96%是否
Count BinfaceCount Binface4%是否
$2.7M 成交量 30/06
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed79%是否
Haley StevensHaley Stevens21%是否
$1.2M 成交量 04/08
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%
概率
是 否
$40.2K 成交量 31/12
Next Prime Minister of Romania?Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Alexandru NazareAlexandru Nazare35%是否
Sorin GrindeanuSorin Grindeanu14%是否
$3.2M 成交量 31/12
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
10%
概率
是 否
$15.5K 成交量 31/12
Netanyahu会在...前下台吗?Netanyahu会在...前下台吗?
December 3144%是否
July 311%是否
$15.3K 成交量 31/12
Andrew Tate released from custody by...?Andrew Tate released from custody by...?
July 312%
December 3129%
$77.9K 成交量 31/12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
概率
是 否
$12.8K 成交量 31/12
What will happen before GTA VI?What will happen before GTA VI?
New Rihanna Album52%是否
New Playboi Carti Album51%是否
$23.4M 成交量 31/07
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
24%
概率
是 否
$13.8K 成交量 31/12
Zambia Presidential Election WinnerZambia Presidential Election Winner
Hakainde HichilemaHakainde Hichilema90%是否
Brian MundubileBrian Mundubile12%是否
$102.4K 成交量 14/08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 3114%是否
October 317%是否
$17.4M 成交量 31/12
Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionLos Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen BassKaren Bass63%是否
Nithya RamanNithya Raman38%是否
$13M 成交量 31/12
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
June 30, 20261%
December 31, 20268%
$3.5M 成交量 31/12
US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?
October 3147%是否
December 3146%是否
$18.2K 成交量 31/12
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Inflation 20+ times87%是否
Balance Sheet84%是否
$11.1K 成交量 还剩 7 天
Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?
760-79926%是否
720-75925%是否
$11.1K 成交量 01/08
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 3114%是否
September 307%是否
$28.6M 成交量 31/12
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
15%
概率
是 否
$3.2M 成交量 31/12
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026No Return to Normal Traffic in 202651%是否
December16%是否
$117.9K 成交量 31/12
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election WinnerGreater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Bev CraigBev Craig97%是否
Sian AstleySian Astley1%是否
$344.6K 成交量 30/07
9月30日前霍尔木兹海峡航运是否恢复正常? 9月30日前霍尔木兹海峡航运是否恢复正常?
22%
概率
是 否
$534.9K 成交量 30/09
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa2%是否
Mohammed bin Salman2%是否
$2M 成交量 01/08
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
21%
概率
是 否
$8.8K 成交量 31/12
MN-02 House Election WinnerMN-02 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party90%是否
Republican PartyRepublican Party9%是否
$8.9K 成交量 04/11
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)98%是否
New People (NL)New People (NL)1%是否
$2.8M 成交量 20/09
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
December 3110%
June 301%
$3.5M 成交量 31/12
Florida Governor Republican Primary Second PlaceFlorida Governor Republican Primary Second Place
Jay CollinsJay Collins63%是否
James FishbackJames Fishback23%是否
$11.3K 成交量 18/08
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%28%是否
↑ 4.5%16%是否
$1.7M 成交量 31/12
What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?
Fake News86%是否
Sleepy54%是否
$15.4K 成交量 还剩 2 天
Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron DonaldsByron Donalds96%是否
James FishbackJames Fishback3%是否
$2.1M 成交量 18/08
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31December 3139%是否
September 30September 3012%是否
$943.2K 成交量 31/12
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %
Binface <10%35%是否
Binface 10–20%31%是否
$121.6K 成交量 30/06
White House # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?White House # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
180-19972%是否
200+15%是否
$9.5K 成交量 今日截止
Latvian Parliamentary Election WinnerLatvian Parliamentary Election Winner
LPV39%是否
AS37%是否
$158.9K 成交量 03/10
MI-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Callie BarrCallie Barr70%是否
Kyle BlomquistKyle Blomquist28%是否
$12.9K 成交量 04/08
WI-07 Republican Primary WinnerWI-07 Republican Primary Winner
Michael AlfonsoMichael Alfonso82%是否
Kevin HermeningKevin Hermening9%是否
$6.5K 成交量 11/08
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?
July 311%
September 3013%
$100.9K 成交量 30/09
Netanyahu arrested by…?Netanyahu arrested by…?
December 316%是否
September 303%是否
$13.9K 成交量 31/12
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
July 2492%是否
July 2391%是否
$6.1K 成交量 31/07
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?
December 31, 202616%
December 31, 202743%
$6.1K 成交量 31/12
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?
16%
概率
是 否
$42.2K 成交量 30/09
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep44%是否
R Senate, D House41%是否
$8.8M 成交量 03/11
Argentina Presidential Election WinnerArgentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier MileiJavier Milei49%是否
Axel KicillofAxel Kicillof47%是否
$364.6K 成交量 24/10
FL-02 Republican Primary WinnerFL-02 Republican Primary Winner
Keith GrossKeith Gross53%是否
Evan PowerEvan Power26%是否
$6K 成交量 18/08
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Renan SantosRenan Santos71%是否
Ronaldo CaiadoRonaldo Caiado16%是否
$469.8K 成交量 04/10
WI-07 Democratic Primary WinnerWI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Fred ClarkFred Clark85%是否
Chris ArmstrongChris Armstrong3%是否
$5.8K 成交量 11/08
Georgia Senate Election WinnerGeorgia Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat87%是否
RepublicanRepublican14%是否
$76.5K 成交量 03/11
CZ # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?CZ # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
20-3999%是否
40-591%是否
$9.2K 成交量 今日截止
Pernambuco Governor Election WinnerPernambuco Governor Election Winner
João Campos58%是否
Raquel Lyra40%是否
$16.9K 成交量 04/10
NY-15 House Election WinnerNY-15 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%是否
Republican Party3%是否
$39.6K 成交量 03/11
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
PHPH63%是否
BNBN34%是否
$9.7K 成交量 01/08
WI-01 Democratic Primary WinnerWI-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Mitchell BermanMitchell Berman88%是否
Lorenzo SantosLorenzo Santos6%是否
$5.3K 成交量 11/08
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
December 3129%是否
October 3117%是否
$201.7K 成交量 31/12
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Cori BushCori Bush57%是否
Wesley BellWesley Bell45%是否
$86K 成交量 04/08
What will Trump say this week? (July 20 - July 26)What will Trump say this week? (July 20 - July 26)
Bibi / Netanyahu94%是否
Champion78%是否
$5.1K 成交量 还剩 4 天
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
90%
概率
是 否
$6.8K 成交量 31/12
Maine Senate Election WinnerMaine Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat68%是否
RepublicanRepublican33%是否
$1.1M 成交量 03/11
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
8%
概率
是 否
$10.5M 成交量 31/12
2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner
UBJP77%是否
BFP21%是否
$29.8K 成交量 14/09
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Pete ButtigiegPete Buttigieg14%是否
Don LemonDon Lemon13%是否
$895.3K 成交量 31/12
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary WinnerWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Francesca Hong78%是否
Mandela Barnes11%是否
$211.5K 成交量 11/08
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
120-13963%是否
140-15920%是否
$9.2K 成交量 今日截止
Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?
June 301%
November 228%
$29.5K 成交量 31/12
Iran Nuke before 2027? Iran Nuke before 2027?
6%
概率
是 否
$4.4K 成交量 31/12
Zelenskyy # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?Zelenskyy # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
80-9982%是否
60-7910%是否
$7.5K 成交量 今日截止
2026年哪个党将赢得参议院?2026年哪个党将赢得参议院?
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%是否
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%是否
$3.3M 成交量 03/11
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 3161%是否
September 3040%是否
$211.7K 成交量 31/12
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Dilution of Iran's UraniumDilution of Iran's Uranium31%是否
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)29%是否
$378.2K 成交量 31/12
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
1%
概率
是 否
$4.3K 成交量 31/07
Next Mayor of Johannesburg?Next Mayor of Johannesburg?
Frank ChikaneFrank Chikane46%是否
Helen ZilleHelen Zille44%是否
$73.1K 成交量 05/11
AZ-01 Republican Primary Margin of VictoryAZ-01 Republican Primary Margin of Victory
Feely 10–15%97%是否
Feely 20–25%10%是否
$22.4K 成交量 04/08
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Washtenaw County (Ann Arbor) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Washtenaw County (Ann Arbor) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed94%是否
Haley StevensHaley Stevens4%是否
$6K 成交量 04/08
NYC Mayor # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?NYC Mayor # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
40-5989%是否
20-3912%是否
$6.3K 成交量 今日截止
Russia Parliamentary Election: TurnoutRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
53-56%29%是否
50-53%19%是否
$30.3K 成交量 20/09
2026年通胀会涨到多高?2026年通胀会涨到多高?
Above 4.5%24%是否
Above 5%15%是否
$1.3M 成交量 31/12
Next Prime Minister of SwedenNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson80%是否
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson17%是否
$3.3M 成交量 13/09
New Zealand Election: TurnoutNew Zealand Election: Turnout
76-78%76-78%33%是否
78-80%78-80%33%是否
$10.6K 成交量 07/11
Hawaii Governor Republican Primary WinnerHawaii Governor Republican Primary Winner
Gary CorderyGary Cordery81%是否
Ken FujiyamaKen Fujiyama10%是否
$3.8K 成交量 08/08
Kansas Democratic Senate Primary WinnerKansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Adam HamiltonAdam Hamilton94%是否
Sandy Spidel NeumannSandy Spidel Neumann3%是否
$162.6K 成交量 04/08
Dharmendra Pradhan out as Minister of Education of India by...?Dharmendra Pradhan out as Minister of Education of India by...?
December 3161%是否
September 3045%是否
$5.9K 成交量 31/12
FL-05 Republican Primary WinnerFL-05 Republican Primary Winner
John RutherfordJohn Rutherford93%是否
Mark KayeMark Kaye3%是否
$3.8K 成交量 18/08
Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %
Farage 60–70%38%是否
Farage 70–80%27%是否
$84K 成交量 30/06
伊朗是否在7月31日前同意停止铀浓缩? 伊朗是否在7月31日前同意停止铀浓缩?
1%
概率
是 否
$7.2K 成交量 31/07
埃隆·马斯克在7月25日 - 7月27日, 2026的发推数量?埃隆·马斯克在7月25日 - 7月27日, 2026的发推数量?
40-6446%是否
65-8925%是否
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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of VictoryBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Lula da Silva 5-10%Lula da Silva 5-10%37%是否
Lula da Silva 10-15%Lula da Silva 10-15%31%是否
$291.1K 成交量 04/10
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3172%是否
ChinaChina14%是否
$3.4K 成交量 31/12
Hawaii Governor Democratic Primary WinnerHawaii Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Josh GreenJosh Green97%是否
David BourgoinDavid Bourgoin1%是否
$3.8K 成交量 08/08
US charges Hormuz fees by...?US charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 318%是否
August 312%是否
$848.7K 成交量 31/12
Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…?Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…?
November 13, 202626%
March 13, 202737%
$3.2K 成交量 13/03
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
10%
概率
是 否
$40.2K 成交量 30/06
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
None before 202734%是否
Netanyahu - Israel PM32%是否
$3.2K 成交量 31/12
AZ-01 House Election WinnerAZ-01 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party66%是否
Republican PartyRepublican Party30%是否
$4.2K 成交量 04/11
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