Politics · houthi

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? (Resolved)

$6.9M Volume
30/06/2026 00:00
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September 30
$1.2M Volume
23%
July 31
$386.6K Volume
4%
August 31
$347.4K Volume
18%
December 31
$103.3K Volume
33%
Resolved 6
May 31
$1.3M Volume
No
June 30
$1.2M Volume
No
March 31
$330.3K Volume
No
April 30
$1.7M Volume
No
June 15
$221.1K Volume
No
June 22
$129.3K Volume
No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.

If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.

Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730
, including both the chart and downloadable files.

Odds & FAQ

When does the Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? (Resolved) market resolve?
Trading here has ended - the market resolved and was settled under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? (Resolved)?
Traders have put $6.9M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

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