Politics Markets
20 active markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomYes 27¢No 73¢
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezYes 8¢No 92¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
June 30
Yes 65¢No 35¢
May 31
Yes 57¢No 43¢
Fed decision in April?
No change
Yes 99¢No 1¢
25 bps decrease
Yes 1¢No 99¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
December 31
Yes 99¢No 1¢
June 30
Yes 99¢No 1¢
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceYes 40¢No 60¢
Marco RubioYes 20¢No 80¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
April 30
Yes 67¢No 33¢
April 24
Yes 61¢No 39¢
Elon Musk # tweets April 14 - April 21, 2026?
220-239
Yes 99¢No 1¢
200-219
Yes 1¢No 99¢
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceYes 19¢No 81¢
Gavin NewsomYes 18¢No 82¢
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan BardellaYes 23¢No 77¢
Édouard PhilippeYes 22¢No 78¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
June 30
Yes 79¢No 21¢
May 31
Yes 65¢No 35¢
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Keiko FujimoriYes 69¢No 31¢
Roberto Sánchez PalominoYes 25¢No 75¢
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Chong Won-ohYes 88¢No 12¢
Oh Se-hoonYes 8¢No 92¢
Elon Musk # tweets April 17 - April 24, 2026?
200-219
Yes 28¢No 72¢
220-239
Yes 27¢No 73¢
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin WarshYes 94¢No 6¢
Judy SheltonYes 1¢No 99¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
1%
chance
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Trump out as President by April 30?
1%
chance
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
Yes 46¢No 54¢
June 30
Yes 38¢No 62¢
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio BolsonaroYes 40¢No 60¢
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaYes 39¢No 61¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?
April 22
Yes 51¢No 49¢
April 21
Yes 21¢No 79¢
Starmer out by...?
December 31
Yes 68¢No 32¢
June 30
Yes 41¢No 59¢