A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Brazil
· Global Elections
· World Elections
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$6.2M Volume
40%
Flávio Bolsonaro
$6.4M Volume
28%
Renan Santos
$6.6M Volume
17%
Camilo Santana
$3.2M Volume
4%
Romeu Zema
$3.5M Volume
3%
Fernando Haddad
$5.6M Volume
3%
Ronaldo Caiado
$3.9M Volume
2%
Jair Bolsonaro
$4.4M Volume
1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$7.2M Volume
1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$3.3M Volume
1%
Tereza Cristina
$1.6M Volume
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$12.4M Volume
1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$9.5M Volume
1%
Ratinho Júnior
$9.4M Volume
1%
Eduardo Leite
$7.3M Volume
1%
Aldo Rebelo
$4.3M Volume
1%
Helder Barbalho
$1.7M Volume
1%
Person M
50%
Person N
50%
Person O
50%
Person P
50%
Person Q
50%
Person R
50%
Person S
50%
Person T
50%
Person U
50%
Person W
50%
Person Y
50%
Person V
50%
Person X
50%
Person Z
50%
Other
50%
About This Market
AI Analysis
The Brazil Presidential Election prediction market, with a current probability of 0.3% and a trading volume of $54.7 million, is focused on the upcoming election scheduled for October 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the candidate who ultimately wins, making it a critical tool for investors and analysts to gauge political sentiment and potential outcomes in Brazil's evolving political landscape. Understanding these probabilities can provide valuable insights into voter trends and candidate viability as the election date approaches.
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