A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Brazil Presidential Election
Brazil
Global Elections
World Elections
World
Politics
Yes Probability
1%
No Probability
99%
Trading Volume
$55.9M
Time Remaining
165 days left
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$4.6M Volume
38%
Flávio Bolsonaro
$4.3M Volume
39%
Romeu Zema
$1M Volume
7%
Renan Santos
$4.2M Volume
6%
Fernando Haddad
$3.7M Volume
4%
Camilo Santana
$1.4M Volume
2%
Ronaldo Caiado
$1.8M Volume
2%
Jair Bolsonaro
$2.8M Volume
1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$4.5M Volume
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$8.1M Volume
1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$7M Volume
1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$1.2M Volume
1%
Aldo Rebelo
$1.3M Volume
1%
Eduardo Leite
$3.5M Volume
1%
Ratinho Júnior
$6.5M Volume
1%
Person K
50%
Person L
50%
Person M
50%
Person N
50%
Person O
50%
Person P
50%
Person Q
50%
Person R
50%
Person S
50%
Person T
50%
Person U
50%
Person W
50%
Person Y
50%
Person V
50%
Person X
50%
Person Z
50%
Other
50%
About This Market
AI Analysis
The Brazil Presidential Election prediction market, with a current probability of 0.3% and a trading volume of $54.7 million, is focused on the upcoming election scheduled for October 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the candidate who ultimately wins, making it a critical tool for investors and analysts to gauge political sentiment and potential outcomes in Brazil's evolving political landscape. Understanding these probabilities can provide valuable insights into voter trends and candidate viability as the election date approaches.