Tech Prediction Markets
Tech prediction markets let you trade the future of the industry - which AI model ships next, whether a company hits an earnings or launch target, who acquires whom, and how the AI race unfolds. Each Polymarket price is a live probability, like a 65% chance a product launches before year-end.
Tech moves on announcements - keynotes, releases and earnings calls. If you follow the space closely, your edge is knowing the real timelines better than the crowd.
Google56%YesNo
Anthropic39%YesNo
NVIDIA63%YesNo
Apple35%YesNo
Apple44%YesNoNVIDIA43%YesNoGoogle68%YesNo
Anthropic30%YesNo
Meta29%YesNoAnthropic24%YesNo
Meta32%YesNoGoogle21%YesNoAnthropic40%YesNoGoogle35%YesNo
Apple37%YesNoNVIDIA36%YesNoAnthropic31%YesNoGoogle31%YesNo
Microsoft87%YesNo
Alphabet8%YesNo
Google41%YesNoAnthropic37%YesNo
Alibaba40%YesNo
Xiaomi21%YesNo
OpenAI96%YesNo
Z.ai3%YesNo
Lindsay Clancy42%YesNo
Nicolás Maduro17%YesNoAlibaba30%YesNoZ.ai26%YesNo
Anthropic48%YesNoOpenAI19%YesNo
OpenAI39%YesNoAnthropic25%YesNoAnthropic54%YesNoOpenAI28%YesNo
Anthropic38%YesNoGoogle38%YesNo
DeepSeek97%YesNoGoogle3%YesNo
Saudi Arabia26%YesNo
China4%YesNo
Anthropic72%YesNoOpenAI19%YesNoMicrosoft66%YesNoAlphabet22%YesNo
Google79%YesNoAnthropic19%YesNo
Tech Markets FAQ
What tech markets are on Polymarket?
AI model and product releases, big-tech earnings and milestones, IPOs and acquisitions, and the broader AI race (OpenAI, Google, Anthropic and more).
How do tech markets resolve?
Against a clear public event by a stated date - an official launch, an earnings report or a confirmed deal. Read the resolution rules for the exact trigger.
Where is the edge in tech markets?
Knowing real ship dates and launch patterns. Companies routinely miss self-imposed deadlines, so realistic timelines beat hype.
Are 5-minute or hype markets worth trading?
Short-term hype markets are dominated by fast traders and news swings. Beginners do better on longer milestone markets where research pays off.
