This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 24 12:00 PM ET to July 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<20
$3.7K Volume
1%
20-39
$1.7K Volume
1%
40-59
$3.8K Volume
1%
60-79
$7.2K Volume
1%
80-99
$8.2K Volume
2%
100-119
$2.1K Volume
8%
120-139
$1.6K Volume
15%
140-159
$1.6K Volume
18%
160-179
$915 Volume
17%
180-199
$1.1K Volume
17%
200-219
$1.2K Volume
12%
220-239
$804 Volume
7%
240-259
$1.1K Volume
5%
260-279
$737 Volume
3%
280-299
$869 Volume
2%
300-319
$1.7K Volume
1%
320-339
$2K Volume
1%
340-359
$1.6K Volume
1%
360-379
$1.7K Volume
1%
380-399
$1.7K Volume
1%
400-419
$4K Volume
1%
420-439
$8.1K Volume
1%
440-459
$29K Volume
1%
460-479
$9K Volume
1%
480-499
$9K Volume
1%
500+
$41.7K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?
The field is wide open: 140-159 tops it at just 17%, with 180-199 close behind at 17%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?
No strong consensus yet: 140-159 tops the implied probabilities at just 17%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Jul 2026 (10 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?
Total turnover stands at $1.4M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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