Polymarket Brazil Prediction Markets

Polymarket markets on Brazil cover the main scenarios: presidential and Congressional elections, the government and its mandate, economic decisions such as the Selic rate and political developments. Prices form in real time from order-book depth.

These markets gain momentum around decisive dates - election nights, Congressional votes and government announcements. Traded volume reflects international interest in Brazilian politics.

26 active markets
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%YesNo
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro33%YesNo
$131.8M Volume 04/10
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro87%YesNo
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva6%YesNo
$5.2M Volume 04/10
Maranhão Governor Election WinnerMaranhão Governor Election Winner
Eduardo BraideEduardo Braide65%YesNo
Orleans BrandãoOrleans Brandão28%YesNo
$61.1K Volume 05/10
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election WinnerRio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
Eduardo PaesEduardo Paes96%YesNo
Douglas RuasDouglas Ruas3%YesNo
$390.4K Volume 05/10
Acre Senate Election: 2nd PlaceAcre Senate Election: 2nd Place
Mara RochaMara Rocha51%YesNo
Marcio BittarMarcio Bittar23%YesNo
$16.9K Volume 04/10
Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd PlaceMaranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
FufucaFufuca31%YesNo
Roseana SarneyRoseana Sarney26%YesNo
$14.6K Volume 04/10
Goiás Senate Election: 2nd PlaceGoiás Senate Election: 2nd Place
Gustavo GayerGustavo Gayer58%YesNo
Gracinha CaiadoGracinha Caiado28%YesNo
$20.5K Volume 04/10
Federal District Senate Election: 1st PlaceFederal District Senate Election: 1st Place
Michelle BolsonaroMichelle Bolsonaro56%YesNo
Leila do VôleiLeila do Vôlei28%YesNo
$9.1K Volume 04/10
Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd PlaceEspírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd Place
Sergio MeneguelliSergio Meneguelli50%YesNo
Fabiano ContaratoFabiano Contarato24%YesNo
$14.9K Volume 04/10
Paraná Senate Election: 1st PlaceParaná Senate Election: 1st Place
Alexandre CuriAlexandre Curi35%YesNo
Deltan DallagnolDeltan Dallagnol32%YesNo
$11.5K Volume 04/10
Federal District Senate Election: 2nd PlaceFederal District Senate Election: 2nd Place
Leila do VôleiLeila do Vôlei47%YesNo
Bia KicisBia Kicis24%YesNo
$22.4K Volume 04/10
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd PlaceMinas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place
Carlos VianaCarlos Viana51%YesNo
Marília CamposMarília Campos35%YesNo
$21.7K Volume 04/10
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Renan SantosRenan Santos56%YesNo
Ronaldo CaiadoRonaldo Caiado41%YesNo
$575.6K Volume 04/10
Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st PlacePernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place
Marília ArraesMarília Arraes69%YesNo
Humberto CostaHumberto Costa19%YesNo
$18.7K Volume 04/10
Paraná Senate Election: 2nd PlaceParaná Senate Election: 2nd Place
Filipe BarrosFilipe Barros40%YesNo
Deltan DallagnolDeltan Dallagnol30%YesNo
$12.7K Volume 04/10
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in RondôniaBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rondônia
Flavio BolsonaroFlavio Bolsonaro97%YesNo
Escritor Augusto CuryEscritor Augusto Cury1%YesNo
$13K Volume 04/10
Roraima Senate Election: 2nd PlaceRoraima Senate Election: 2nd Place
Helio BolsonaroHelio Bolsonaro37%YesNo
Teresa SuritaTeresa Surita31%YesNo
$16K Volume 04/10
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st PlaceMinas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
Carlos VianaCarlos Viana44%YesNo
Marília CamposMarília Campos35%YesNo
$14.4K Volume 04/10
Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd PlacePernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place
Humberto CostaHumberto Costa49%YesNo
Mendonça FilhoMendonça Filho34%YesNo
$14.9K Volume 04/10
Rondônia Senate Election: 2nd PlaceRondônia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Sílvia CristinaSílvia Cristina37%YesNo
Dr. Fernando MáximoDr. Fernando Máximo18%YesNo
$12.8K Volume 04/10
Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd PlaceRio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place
Benedita da SilvaBenedita da Silva20%YesNo
Carlos JordyCarlos Jordy17%YesNo
$23K Volume 04/10
Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st PlaceRio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place
Benedita da SilvaBenedita da Silva57%YesNo
Carlos JordyCarlos Jordy23%YesNo
$16.9K Volume 04/10
Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st PlaceRio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place
Styvenson ValentimStyvenson Valentim60%YesNo
Zenaide MaiaZenaide Maia15%YesNo
$11.9K Volume 04/10
Alagoas Senate Election: 2nd PlaceAlagoas Senate Election: 2nd Place
Arthur LiraArthur Lira46%YesNo
RenanRenan37%YesNo
$8.8K Volume 04/10
São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd PlaceSão Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place
Marina SilvaMarina Silva31%YesNo
Simone TebetSimone Tebet28%YesNo
$17.9K Volume 04/10
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in GoiásBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás
Flavio BolsonaroFlavio Bolsonaro62%YesNo
Ronaldo CaiadoRonaldo Caiado36%YesNo
$33.1K Volume 04/10
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Brazil Markets FAQ

Which Brazil markets exist on Polymarket?

Presidential and Congressional elections, government and mandate, economic decisions such as the Selic rate and political outcomes. Both binary and multi-outcome contracts.

What moves prices in Brazil markets?

Polls, political statements, votes and economic news. Prices react to major developments within minutes.

How are the odds set?

Prices come from real orders in the book, not a house line, so each price reflects the market's live consensus.

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