Polymarket Brazil Prediction Markets

Polymarket markets on Brazil cover the main scenarios: presidential and Congressional elections, the government and its mandate, economic decisions such as the Selic rate and political developments. Prices form in real time from order-book depth.

These markets gain momentum around decisive dates - election nights, Congressional votes and government announcements. Traded volume reflects international interest in Brazilian politics.

8 active markets
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva62%YesNo
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro22%YesNo
$111.2M Volume 04/10
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro81%YesNo
Renan SantosRenan Santos11%YesNo
$4M Volume 04/10
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
8%
chance
Yes No
$89.8K Volume 04/10
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva96%YesNo
Flavio BolsonaroFlavio Bolsonaro81%YesNo
$415.4K Volume 04/10
Bank of Brazil decision in August?Bank of Brazil decision in August?
25 bps decrease72%YesNo
No Change28%YesNo
$2.8K Volume 04/08
São Paulo Governor Election WinnerSão Paulo Governor Election Winner
Tarcísio de FreitasTarcísio de Freitas93%YesNo
Fernando HaddadFernando Haddad3%YesNo
$215.1K Volume 04/10
Paraná Governor Election WinnerParaná Governor Election Winner
Sergio Moro84%YesNo
Requião Filho13%YesNo
$10.9K Volume 05/10
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Renan SantosRenan Santos69%YesNo
Ronaldo CaiadoRonaldo Caiado9%YesNo
$424.9K Volume 04/10
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Brazil Markets FAQ

Which Brazil markets exist on Polymarket?

Presidential and Congressional elections, government and mandate, economic decisions such as the Selic rate and political outcomes. Both binary and multi-outcome contracts.

What moves prices in Brazil markets?

Polls, political statements, votes and economic news. Prices react to major developments within minutes.

How are the odds set?

Prices come from real orders in the book, not a house line, so each price reflects the market's live consensus.

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