This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Awards
· Politics
· Geopolitics
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
$535.6K Volume
10%
Donald Trump
$3.6M Volume
8%
UNRWA
$2M Volume
7%
Yulia Navalnaya
$184.5K Volume
7%
Pope Leo XIV
$738.6K Volume
5%
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
$636.8K Volume
4%
Narendra Modi
$574.4K Volume
2%
International Court of Justice
$791.7K Volume
2%
Greta Thunberg
$1.3M Volume
2%
Ahmed al-Sharaa
$1.1M Volume
1%
Xi Jinping
$1.3M Volume
1%
António Guterres
$521.8K Volume
1%
Julian Assange
$662K Volume
1%
Charlie Kirk
$1.1M Volume
1%
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
$860.8K Volume
1%
Elon Musk
$898.9K Volume
1%
Khaled Mashal
$623.3K Volume
1%
Mohammed bin Salman
$975.1K Volume
1%
Vladimir Putin
$828.9K Volume
1%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$583.1K Volume
1%
Person A
50%
Person C
50%
Person E
50%
Person G
50%
Person I
50%
Person K
50%
Person M
50%
Person O
50%
Person Q
50%
Person S
50%
Person U
50%
Person W
50%
Person Y
50%
Person AA
50%
Person AC
50%
Person AE
50%
Person AG
50%
Person AI
50%
Person AK
50%
Person AM
50%
Person AO
50%
Person AQ
50%
Person AS
50%
Person AU
50%
Person AW
50%
Other
50%
Person B
50%
Person D
50%
Person F
50%
Person H
50%
Person J
50%
Person L
50%
Person N
50%
Person P
50%
Person R
50%
Person T
50%
Person V
50%
Person X
50%
Person Z
50%
Person AB
50%
Person AD
50%
Person AF
50%
Person AH
50%
Person AJ
50%
Person AL
50%
Person AN
50%
Person AP
50%
Person AR
50%
Person AT
50%
Person AV
50%
Person AX
50%
About This Market
AI Analysis
The prediction market for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize Winner currently shows a probability of 6.0%, reflecting the diverse opinions and speculation surrounding potential laureates. With a trading volume of $14.3 million, this market highlights significant investor interest in global peace initiatives and the impact of current geopolitical events. Understanding these dynamics is crucial, as the Nobel Prize often influences international relations and public awareness of key humanitarian issues.
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