This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Yulia Navalnaya
$275.3K Volume
11%
UNRWA
$2M Volume
10%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
$757.7K Volume
7%
Donald Trump
$4.1M Volume
4%
Pope Leo XIV
$787.1K Volume
4%
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
$768.6K Volume
4%
International Court of Justice
$890.3K Volume
2%
Julian Assange
$842.6K Volume
2%
Narendra Modi
$663.2K Volume
2%
António Guterres
$613K Volume
2%
Greta Thunberg
$1.4M Volume
1%
Ahmed al-Sharaa
$1.3M Volume
1%
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
$1M Volume
1%
Khaled Mashal
$857.5K Volume
1%
Mohammed bin Salman
$1.2M Volume
1%
Xi Jinping
$1.4M Volume
1%
Charlie Kirk
$1.2M Volume
1%
Elon Musk
$1.1M Volume
1%
Vladimir Putin
$881.6K Volume
1%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$667.3K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026?
The field is wide open: Yulia Navalnaya tops it at just 11%, with UNRWA close behind at 9%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is Yulia Navalnaya at 11% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 10 Oct 2026 (80 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026?
Total turnover stands at $22.9M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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