Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Amir Ohana
$1.6K Volume
33%
No Primary by Knesset Election
$26 Volume
32%
Tally Gotliv
$1.5K Volume
9%
Yariv Levin
$440 Volume
5%
Israel Katz
$347 Volume
5%
Nir Barkat
$1.1K Volume
4%
Moshe Saada
$26 Volume
19%
Eli Cohen
$26 Volume
15%
David Amsalem
$26 Volume
20%
Miki Zohar
$26 Volume
15%
Boaz Bismuth
$26 Volume
16%
Almog Cohen
$26 Volume
20%
Amichai Chikli
$26 Volume
20%
David Bitan
$26 Volume
10%
Shlomo Karhi
$26 Volume
5%
Miri Regev
$26 Volume
10%
Yoav Kisch
$26 Volume
15%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Likud Party Primary Winner?
No runaway leader here - Person B at 50% versus Person C at 50%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Likud Party Primary Winner?
At 50% implied for Person B, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Likud Party Primary Winner market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 26 Oct 2026 (97 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Likud Party Primary Winner?
Total turnover stands at $5.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Likud Party Primary Winner on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
Likud54%YesNo
Yashar46%YesNo
July 311%
September 3014%
25-2930%YesNo
20-2429%YesNo
