Weather Prediction Markets
Weather prediction markets let you trade the daily forecast. Polymarket runs markets on the highest and lowest temperature in 40+ cities worldwide - New York, London, Tokyo, Paris, Tel Aviv, Moscow, Seoul and more - each settling against the official reading for that day. US cities trade in Fahrenheit, the rest in Celsius.
Beyond temperature you will find rain, snow (in inches) and monthly precipitation markets. Instead of a simple yes/no guess, every price is a probability - for example a 30% chance the high in New York lands in the 90-91°F bucket - and the markets resolve automatically against a trusted weather data source.
Weather Markets FAQ
What weather markets are on Polymarket?
Mainly the daily highest and lowest temperature for 40+ world cities, plus rain (whether it will rain in a given city), snow accumulation in inches, and monthly precipitation totals.
How do temperature markets work?
Each market splits the day's high (or low) into temperature buckets - for example "84-85°F" or "86-87°F". You buy the bucket you expect the real reading to land in. The winning bucket pays $1 per share; every other bucket pays $0.
Why do some cities show °F and others °C?
US cities (New York, Chicago, Miami and so on) use Fahrenheit, while cities outside the US (London, Tokyo, Tel Aviv and others) use Celsius. We keep each market in its original unit and never convert it.
Which cities are covered?
More than 40, including New York, London, Paris, Tokyo, Seoul, Hong Kong, Singapore, Shanghai, Moscow, Madrid, Istanbul, Tel Aviv, Toronto and Miami. Fresh daily markets open every day.
How are weather markets resolved?
Automatically, against the official daily reading for each city from a trusted weather data source. There is no manual claim to make - winning shares are paid out for you.
