A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Farage <40%
$656 Volume
4%
Farage 40–50%
$669 Volume
5%
Farage 50–60%
$901 Volume
11%
Farage 60–70%
$740 Volume
22%
Farage 70–80%
$2.7K Volume
33%
Farage 80%+
$8K Volume
12%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %?
The field is wide open: Farage 70–80% tops it at just 33%, with Farage 60–70% close behind at 22%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %?
No strong consensus yet: Farage 70–80% tops the implied probabilities at just 33%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote % market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 30 Jun 2027 (356 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %?
$13.7K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote % on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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