putin · Geopolitics

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

$54.5K Volume
30/06/2027 18:30
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July 31, 2026
$157K Volume
1%
August 31, 2026
$81.8K Volume
2%
September 30, 2026
$238K Volume
4%
June 30, 2027
$127.5K Volume
16%
December 31, 2026
$17.5M Volume
9%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Putin out as President of Russia by?
The field is wide open: June 30, 2027 tops it at just 16%, with December 31, 2026 close behind at 9%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Putin out as President of Russia by?
No strong consensus yet: June 30, 2027 tops the implied probabilities at just 16%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Putin out as President of Russia by market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 30 Jun 2027 (344 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Putin out as President of Russia by?
$54.5K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Putin out as President of Russia by on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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