Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Past
Inflation 20+ times
$283 Volume
86%
Balance Sheet
$49 Volume
83%
Central Bank
$1.1K Volume
82%
Productivity
$1.1K Volume
84%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$175 Volume
84%
Oil
$859 Volume
71%
North Star
$202 Volume
77%
Bet / Betting
$447 Volume
77%
Independence
$10 Volume
68%
Shock
$20 Volume
67%
Uncertainty
$96 Volume
67%
Restrictive
$20 Volume
64%
Supply shock
67%
President
$897 Volume
56%
Echo of History
$498 Volume
64%
Projection
$20 Volume
80%
Good day
$1.2K Volume
80%
Groupthink / Group think
$1K Volume
40%
Task Force 20+ times
$609 Volume
53%
Dollar
$25 Volume
38%
Anchor / Anchored
$43 Volume
36%
Inflation 40+ times
$106 Volume
80%
Recession
27%
Iran$508 Volume
22%
Tax
23%
Predecessor
25%
Dissent
$543 Volume
15%
Pandemic
$590 Volume
17%
Crypto / Cryptocurrency
16%
Consumer Confidence
$1K Volume
11%
Good Afternoon
$1.7K Volume
69%
Trump
$775 Volume
10%
Renovation
$470 Volume
7%
-No Qualifying Event-
$934 Volume
4%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Inflation 20+ times dominates the field at 86%; the nearest challenger, Balance Sheet, trades at just 82%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
With 86% implied for Inflation 20+ times, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference market resolve?
The market runs until 29 Jul 2026 (9 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
$15.3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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