Middle East Markets
20 active markets
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
December 31
Yes 99¢No 1¢
June 30
Yes 99¢No 1¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
June 30
Yes 78¢No 22¢
May 31
Yes 65¢No 35¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
1%
chance
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
Yes 46¢No 54¢
June 30
Yes 38¢No 62¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?
April 22
Yes 45¢No 55¢
April 21
Yes 23¢No 77¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
37%
chance
Yes
37¢
No
63¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
4%
chance
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Netanyahu out by...?
December 31
Yes 44¢No 56¢
June 30
Yes 7¢No 93¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by...?
April 21
Yes 17¢No 83¢
Israel military action against Iran by...?
April 141%
April 213%
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
May 31
Yes 79¢No 21¢
April 30
Yes 56¢No 44¢
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei
Yes 63¢No 37¢
Reza Pahlavi
Yes 9¢No 91¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
9%
chance
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?
April 151%
April 3012%
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
26%
chance
Yes
26¢
No
74¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
21%
chance
Yes
21¢
No
79¢
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
United Kingdom
Yes 10¢No 90¢
France
Yes 8¢No 92¢
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
UAE
Yes 9¢No 91¢
Qatar
Yes 5¢No 95¢
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
December 31, 2026
Yes 14¢No 86¢
June 30, 2026
Yes 4¢No 96¢
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 31
Yes 7¢No 93¢
April 30
Yes 1¢No 99¢