Middle East Prediction Markets
Middle East prediction markets price the region's biggest questions — ceasefires, sanctions, nuclear talks, elections and conflict — as live probabilities that update with every headline.
On Polymarket these markets often carry deep liquidity around news events and run for weeks or months. Polymarkets tracks the real prices and odds for Israel, Iran, Gaza and Gulf markets, so you can read the crowd's view in real time, compare scenarios, and practice risk-free in training mode before trading on Polymarket.
26 active markets
Mojtaba Khamenei73%YesNo
No Head of State8%YesNo
August 1515%YesNo
July 319%YesNo
Gadi Eizenkot51%YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu38%YesNo
December 3133%YesNo
September 3014%YesNo
July 311%
August 316%
December 3142%YesNo
July 311%YesNo
December 3119%YesNo
September 3010%YesNo
Venezuela23%YesNo
Lebanon21%YesNo
August 3158%YesNo
August 1553%YesNo
August 3123%YesNo
July 317%YesNo
December 3122%YesNo
July 312%YesNo
December 317%YesNo
June 301%YesNo
Somaliland22%YesNo
Lebanon13%YesNo
December 315%YesNo
March 311%YesNo
December 315%YesNo
March 311%YesNo
December 3136%YesNo
August 3118%YesNo
July 3128%YesNo
July 2416%YesNo
December 3114%YesNo
October 317%YesNo
July 317%YesNo
July 246%YesNo
Middle East markets FAQ
What do Middle East markets cover?
Israel and Iran developments, Gaza and regional ceasefires, sanctions, nuclear-deal negotiations, elections and broader conflict outcomes — each as a yes/no or multi-outcome market with a live probability.
How do the odds work?
Each outcome trades between 1¢ and 99¢; the price is the market's implied probability. Prices move in real time as traders react to news, so they reflect the current consensus rather than a fixed line.
Can I follow or test these without risk?
Yes. Polymarkets's free training mode lets you paper-trade any market with live prices and $1,000 in practice money — no card, no risk — before going to Polymarket.
