This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Donald Brodie
$313 Volume
25%
Matt Gaetz
$1.5K Volume
23%
Stefan Brodie
$859 Volume
23%
Keonne Rodriguez
$14.4K Volume
19%
Ryan Salame
$22.8K Volume
16%
Steve Bannon
$7.8K Volume
14%
Daniel Penny
$320 Volume
19%
Roger Stone
$564 Volume
16%
Elizabeth Holmes
$2K Volume
11%
Eric Adams
$639 Volume
10%
Martin Shkreli
$29.2K Volume
12%
Bob Menendez
$195 Volume
9%
Julian Assange
$1.8K Volume
8%
Joe Exotic
$1.1K Volume
10%
Roger Ver
$713 Volume
8%
Himself
$9.1K Volume
6%
Andrew Tate
22%
Sam Bankman-Fried
$125.2K Volume
5%
Antoine Massey
$344 Volume
7%
Ghislaine Maxwell
$17.2K Volume
5%
Edward Snowden
$2K Volume
7%
Diddy
$21.3K Volume
4%
Nicolas Maduro
$8.6K Volume
5%
Elon Musk
$51.8K Volume
3%
Derek Chauvin
$19.1K Volume
6%
Young Thug
$4.3K Volume
4%
Do Kwon
$22.9K Volume
1%
Hunter Biden
$5.5K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
The field is wide open: Donald Brodie tops it at just 25%, with Matt Gaetz close behind at 23%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Right now the market's best guess is Donald Brodie at 25% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Who will Trump pardon before 2027 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (162 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
$371.5K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Who will Trump pardon before 2027 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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