This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
The market prices Yes at only 3%, with No at 97%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 3% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (130 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
$1.4M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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