🇺🇸 Trump Markets
15 active marketsTrump prediction markets — presidency, policy and legal matters

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
April 15
Yes 99¢No 1¢
June 30
Yes 99¢No 1¢

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
June 30
Yes 59¢No 41¢
May 31
Yes 37¢No 63¢

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?
April 22
Yes 28¢No 72¢

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
May 15
Yes 71¢No 29¢
May 5
Yes 60¢No 40¢

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin WarshYes 95¢No 5¢
Judy SheltonYes 1¢No 99¢

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by...?
April 30
Yes 99¢No 1¢

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
May 31
Yes 76¢No 24¢
April 30
Yes 28¢No 72¢

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
Yes 41¢No 59¢
June 30
Yes 33¢No 67¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
31%
chance
Yes
31¢
No
69¢
Trump out as President by April 30?
1%
chance
Yes
1¢
No
99¢

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
June 30
Yes 69¢No 31¢
May 31
Yes 52¢No 48¢

Will Trump visit China by...?
June 30
Yes 83¢No 17¢
May 31
Yes 76¢No 24¢

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31
Yes 28¢No 72¢
May 31
Yes 13¢No 87¢

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?
Unfreeze Iranian AssetsYes 21¢No 79¢
Oil Sanction ReliefYes 18¢No 82¢

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 31
Yes 13¢No 87¢
June 30
Yes 4¢No 96¢