Pasar Prediksi Politik

Pasar politik adalah salah satu yang terdalam di Polymarket — pemilihan AS (presiden, Kongres), Israel, Inggris, Jerman, Prancis, dan Brasil. Juga krisis pemerintahan, suara tidak percaya, pemakzulan, dan penunjukan kabinet.

Polling adalah salah satu input di antara banyak — pasar prediksi menggabungkan polling, pengetahuan pemilih, data sosial, dan ramalan ahli menjadi satu harga. Seringkali lebih akurat daripada polling tunggal mana pun.

150 pasar aktif
Keputusan Fed pada Juli?Keputusan Fed pada Juli?
No changeNo change74%YaTidak
25 bps increase25 bps increase25%YaTidak
$3.5M Volume 5 hari tersisa
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%YaTidak
Marco RubioMarco Rubio14%YaTidak
$669.6M Volume 07/11
Jumlah tweet Elon Musk 17 Juli - 24 Juli, 2026?Jumlah tweet Elon Musk 17 Juli - 24 Juli, 2026?
200-21955%YaTidak
180-19922%YaTidak
$1M Volume Berakhir hari ini
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva61%YaTidak
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro23%YaTidak
$115.3M Volume 04/10
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom20%YaTidak
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%YaTidak
$1.25B Volume 07/11
Iran leader end of 2026?Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei72%YaTidak
No Head of State6%YaTidak
$34.2M Volume 31/12
Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 31 Juli? Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 31 Juli?
1%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$800.1K Volume 7 hari tersisa
Israel closes its airspace by...?Israel closes its airspace by...?
August 3156%YaTidak
August 1549%YaTidak
$24.1M Volume Berakhir hari ini
Trump out as President by July 31? Trump out as President by July 31?
1%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$317.4K Volume 31/07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
31%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$278.6K Volume 31/12
Keputusan Fed pada September?Keputusan Fed pada September?
25 bps increase25 bps increase52%YaTidak
No changeNo change42%YaTidak
$3.5M Volume 16/09
Jumlah tweet Elon Musk 21 Juli - 28 Juli, 2026?Jumlah tweet Elon Musk 21 Juli - 28 Juli, 2026?
220-23917%YaTidak
240-25916%YaTidak
$1M Volume 5 hari tersisa
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%YaTidak
Marco RubioMarco Rubio28%YaTidak
$678.2M Volume 07/11
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
40%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$699.7K Volume 03/01
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen31%YaTidak
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe27%YaTidak
$115.8M Volume 30/04
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 3134%YaTidak
September 3023%YaTidak
$7.4M Volume Berakhir hari ini
Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 31 Agustus? Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 31 Agustus?
11%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$800.1K Volume 31/08
Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 31 Desember? Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 31 Desember?
53%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$800.1K Volume 31/12
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
32%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$2.5M Volume 01/01
Akankah rezim Iran jatuh sebelum 30 September? Akankah rezim Iran jatuh sebelum 30 September?
4%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$232.6K Volume 30/09
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 1519%YaTidak
July 3110%YaTidak
$8M Volume 31/07
Iran leadership change by...?Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202740%YaTidak
December 3128%YaTidak
$20.3M Volume 31/12
Akankah rezim Iran jatuh sebelum 2027? Akankah rezim Iran jatuh sebelum 2027?
11%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$232.6K Volume 31/12
Jumlah tweet Elon Musk 23 Juli - 25 Juli, 2026?Jumlah tweet Elon Musk 23 Juli - 25 Juli, 2026?
65-8948%YaTidak
90-11424%YaTidak
$117.7K Volume 2 hari tersisa
Putin out as President of Russia by...?Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 202717%YaTidak
December 31, 20269%YaTidak
$93.7K Volume 30/06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
August 3147%YaTidak
August 1529%YaTidak
$770.8K Volume 31/08
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?
August 3155%YaTidak
July 3128%YaTidak
$332.5K Volume Berakhir hari ini
Jumlah tweet Elon Musk 24 Juli - 31 Juli, 2026?Jumlah tweet Elon Musk 24 Juli - 31 Juli, 2026?
160-17916%YaTidak
180-19916%YaTidak
$1M Volume 31/07
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
Congress99%YaTidak
Illegal / Illegals99%YaTidak
$65.6K Volume 31/07
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
August 3133%YaTidak
July 317%YaTidak
$65.1K Volume 31/07
Berlin State Election WinnerBerlin State Election Winner
LinkeLinke34%YaTidak
CDUCDU27%YaTidak
$3.1M Volume 20/09
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot49%YaTidak
Benjamin Netanyahu38%YaTidak
$29.1M Volume 31/12
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
7%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$197.6K Volume 31/12
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)57%YaTidak
New People (NL)New People (NL)37%YaTidak
$15.9M Volume 20/09
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone71%YaTidak
Ralph NormanRalph Norman21%YaTidak
$364.9K Volume 11/08
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro81%YaTidak
Delcy Rodríguez11%YaTidak
$94.1M Volume 31/12
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage96%YaTidak
Count BinfaceCount Binface4%YaTidak
$2.8M Volume 30/06
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3188%YaTidak
September 3082%YaTidak
$134.7K Volume
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 3114%YaTidak
September 307%YaTidak
$28.7M Volume 31/12
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)96%YaTidak
New People (NL)New People (NL)2%YaTidak
$2.8M Volume 20/09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 3137%YaTidak
October 3123%YaTidak
$5.6M Volume 31/12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 316%YaTidak
September 303%YaTidak
$63.5M Volume 31/12
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland26%YaTidak
Syria13%YaTidak
$29.2K Volume 31/12
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 3126%YaTidak
July 317%YaTidak
$1.2M Volume 31/07
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro75%YaTidak
Renan SantosRenan Santos15%YaTidak
$4.2M Volume 04/10
California Governor Election WinnerCalifornia Governor Election Winner
Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra93%YaTidak
Steve HiltonSteve Hilton7%YaTidak
$40.4M Volume 03/11
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya11%YaTidak
UNRWAUNRWA8%YaTidak
$22.9M Volume 10/10
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20269%YaTidak
September 30, 2026September 30, 20263%YaTidak
$6.1M Volume Berakhir hari ini
Sweden Parliamentary Election WinnerSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)98%YaTidak
Sweden Democrats (SD)Sweden Democrats (SD)2%YaTidak
$1.3M Volume 13/09
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
8%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$317.4K Volume 31/12
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?
July 3112%
August 3138%
$35.7K Volume 31/08
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 202689%YaTidak
September 30, 202674%YaTidak
$8.2M Volume Berakhir hari ini
Jumlah tweet Elon Musk 25 Juli - 27 Juli, 2026?Jumlah tweet Elon Musk 25 Juli - 27 Juli, 2026?
40-6445%YaTidak
<4028%YaTidak
$117.7K Volume 4 hari tersisa
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 3027%YaTidak
Swiss23%YaTidak
$19.5K Volume 30/09
Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd PlaceKazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place
AuylAuyl51%YaTidak
RespublicaRespublica21%YaTidak
$29.2K Volume 23/08
Who will Trump meet with in July?Who will Trump meet with in July?
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu28%YaTidak
Elon MuskElon Musk12%YaTidak
$20.3K Volume 31/07
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed79%YaTidak
Haley StevensHaley Stevens21%YaTidak
$1.2M Volume 04/08
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface74%YaTidak
William CloustonWilliam Clouston10%YaTidak
$236.5K Volume 30/06
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
2%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$40.6K Volume 30/09
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
9%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$18.4K Volume 31/12
What will Trump say during the Dodgers White House visit?What will Trump say during the Dodgers White House visit?
World Cup99%YaTidak
Hundred / Thousand 10+ times54%YaTidak
$17.9K Volume Berakhir hari ini
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Balance Sheet85%YaTidak
Inflation 20+ times83%YaTidak
$17.6K Volume 6 hari tersisa
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$40.6K Volume 31/12
Partai mana yang akan memenangkan Dewan Perwakilan pada 2026?Partai mana yang akan memenangkan Dewan Perwakilan pada 2026?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%YaTidak
Republican PartyRepublican Party15%YaTidak
$16.3K Volume 03/11
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31December 3138%YaTidak
September 30September 3011%YaTidak
$955.5K Volume 31/12
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep44%YaTidak
R Senate, D House41%YaTidak
$8.8M Volume 03/11
Akankah Netanyahu lengser sebelum...?Akankah Netanyahu lengser sebelum...?
December 3145%YaTidak
July 311%YaTidak
$15.8K Volume 31/12
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026No Return to Normal Traffic in 202648%YaTidak
December18%YaTidak
$123.2K Volume 31/12
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
43%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$706.3K Volume 20/08
Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?
760-79926%YaTidak
720-75921%YaTidak
$14.2K Volume 01/08
Iowa Senate Election WinnerIowa Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican59%YaTidak
DemocratDemocrat42%YaTidak
$158.3K Volume 03/11
Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 30 September? Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 30 September?
22%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$800.1K Volume 30/09
Nebraska Senate Election Winner Nebraska Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican76%YaTidak
IndependentIndependent22%YaTidak
$180.7K Volume 03/11
Somaliland Parliamentary Election WinnerSomaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
No election before 2027No election before 202793%YaTidak
WaddaniWaddani6%YaTidak
$91.7K Volume Berakhir hari ini
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
July 2493%YaTidak
July 2689%YaTidak
$12.2K Volume 31/07
Zambia Presidential Election WinnerZambia Presidential Election Winner
Hakainde HichilemaHakainde Hichilema90%YaTidak
Brian MundubileBrian Mundubile12%YaTidak
$102.5K Volume 14/08
US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?
December 3147%YaTidak
October 3144%YaTidak
$18.3K Volume 31/12
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
June 30, 20261%
December 31, 20269%
$3.5M Volume 31/12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$11K Volume 31/12
Next Prime Minister of Romania?Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Alexandru NazareAlexandru Nazare35%YaTidak
Sorin GrindeanuSorin Grindeanu14%YaTidak
$3.2M Volume 31/12
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
15%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$3.2M Volume 31/12
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election WinnerGreater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Bev CraigBev Craig97%YaTidak
Sian AstleySian Astley2%YaTidak
$345.2K Volume 7 hari tersisa
What will Trump say during his Announcement on the Ratepayer Protection Pledge?What will Trump say during his Announcement on the Ratepayer Protection Pledge?
Oil 3+ times99%YaTidak
Friend of Mine99%YaTidak
$10.7K Volume Berakhir hari ini
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
DemocraticDemocratic59%YaTidak
RepublicanRepublican41%YaTidak
$1.9M Volume 07/11
White House # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?White House # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
180-19987%YaTidak
200+14%YaTidak
$12.2K Volume Berakhir hari ini
Andrew Tate released from custody by...?Andrew Tate released from custody by...?
July 313%
December 3127%
$79.2K Volume 31/12
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
27%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$9.1K Volume 31/12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 3114%YaTidak
October 317%YaTidak
$17.4M Volume 31/12
MN-02 House Election WinnerMN-02 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party90%YaTidak
Republican PartyRepublican Party9%YaTidak
$9.4K Volume 04/11
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%40%YaTidak
↑ 4.5%15%YaTidak
$1.7M Volume 31/12
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
120-13969%YaTidak
140-15913%YaTidak
$15.8K Volume Berakhir hari ini
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?
16%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$45.5K Volume 30/09
South Carolina Senate Election WinnerSouth Carolina Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican90%YaTidak
DemocratDemocrat11%YaTidak
$108.3K Volume 03/11
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
9%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$65.2K Volume 31/12
What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?
Fake News85%YaTidak
Sleepy54%YaTidak
$18.1K Volume Berakhir hari ini
Florida Governor Republican Primary Second PlaceFlorida Governor Republican Primary Second Place
Jay CollinsJay Collins59%YaTidak
James FishbackJames Fishback22%YaTidak
$11.5K Volume 18/08
Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionLos Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen BassKaren Bass64%YaTidak
Nithya RamanNithya Raman38%YaTidak
$13M Volume 31/12
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %
Binface <10%35%YaTidak
Binface 10–20%31%YaTidak
$122K Volume 30/06
Vancouver Mayoral Election WinnerVancouver Mayoral Election Winner
William AzaroffWilliam Azaroff31%YaTidak
Ken SimKen Sim24%YaTidak
$140.5K Volume 17/10
Texas Governor Election WinnerTexas Governor Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican95%YaTidak
DemocratDemocrat6%YaTidak
$26.2K Volume 03/11
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?
December 31, 202617%
December 31, 202734%
$7.6K Volume 31/12
Partai mana yang akan memenangkan Senat pada 2026?Partai mana yang akan memenangkan Senat pada 2026?
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%YaTidak
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%YaTidak
$3.3M Volume 03/11
WI-07 Republican Primary WinnerWI-07 Republican Primary Winner
Michael AlfonsoMichael Alfonso72%YaTidak
Jessi EbbenJessi Ebben12%YaTidak
$6.8K Volume 11/08
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Mohammed bin Salman2%YaTidak
Abbas Araghchi2%YaTidak
$2M Volume 01/08
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
1%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$6.2K Volume 31/07
Netanyahu arrested by…?Netanyahu arrested by…?
December 316%YaTidak
September 303%YaTidak
$14.5K Volume 31/12
NY-15 House Election WinnerNY-15 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%YaTidak
Republican Party3%YaTidak
$40.1K Volume 03/11
FL-02 Republican Primary WinnerFL-02 Republican Primary Winner
Keith GrossKeith Gross53%YaTidak
Evan PowerEvan Power26%YaTidak
$6K Volume 18/08
What will happen before GTA VI?What will happen before GTA VI?
New Rihanna Album52%YaTidak
New Playboi Carti Album51%YaTidak
$23.4M Volume 31/07
WI-07 Democratic Primary WinnerWI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Fred ClarkFred Clark85%YaTidak
Chris ArmstrongChris Armstrong3%YaTidak
$5.8K Volume 11/08
Georgia Senate Election WinnerGeorgia Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat87%YaTidak
RepublicanRepublican14%YaTidak
$76.6K Volume 03/11
Pernambuco Governor Election WinnerPernambuco Governor Election Winner
João Campos61%YaTidak
Raquel Lyra31%YaTidak
$17K Volume 04/10
CZ # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?CZ # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
20-3999%YaTidak
40-591%YaTidak
$9.2K Volume Berakhir hari ini
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Renan SantosRenan Santos68%YaTidak
Ronaldo CaiadoRonaldo Caiado17%YaTidak
$470.1K Volume 04/10
WI-01 Democratic Primary WinnerWI-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Mitchell BermanMitchell Berman88%YaTidak
Lorenzo SantosLorenzo Santos6%YaTidak
$5.4K Volume 11/08
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
December 3129%YaTidak
October 3117%YaTidak
$201.8K Volume 31/12
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
89%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$6.8K Volume 31/12
Maine Senate Election WinnerMaine Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat68%YaTidak
RepublicanRepublican33%YaTidak
$1.1M Volume 03/11
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
PHPH64%YaTidak
BNBN36%YaTidak
$10K Volume 01/08
Akankah Kash Patel lengser sebelum...?Akankah Kash Patel lengser sebelum...?
December 3136%YaTidak
July 312%YaTidak
$1.6M Volume
Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?
June 301%
November 234%
$29.6K Volume 31/12
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?
120-13932%YaTidak
200+21%YaTidak
$15.8K Volume 5 hari tersisa
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
7%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$10.5M Volume 31/12
AZ-01 Republican Primary Margin of VictoryAZ-01 Republican Primary Margin of Victory
Feely 10–15%97%YaTidak
Feely <5%8%YaTidak
$22.6K Volume 04/08
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Cori BushCori Bush60%YaTidak
Wesley BellWesley Bell42%YaTidak
$88.4K Volume 04/08
Next Mayor of Johannesburg?Next Mayor of Johannesburg?
Helen ZilleHelen Zille44%YaTidak
Frank ChikaneFrank Chikane42%YaTidak
$73.3K Volume 05/11
Akankah Iran setuju menghentikan pengayaan uranium sebelum 31 Juli? Akankah Iran setuju menghentikan pengayaan uranium sebelum 31 Juli?
1%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$8.7K Volume 7 hari tersisa
NYC Mayor # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?NYC Mayor # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
40-5999%YaTidak
60-791%YaTidak
$7.5K Volume Berakhir hari ini
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Dilution of Iran's UraniumDilution of Iran's Uranium31%YaTidak
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)30%YaTidak
$378.4K Volume 31/12
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary WinnerWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Francesca HongFrancesca Hong78%YaTidak
David CrowleyDavid Crowley11%YaTidak
$211.8K Volume 11/08
Seberapa tinggi inflasi pada 2026?Seberapa tinggi inflasi pada 2026?
Above 4.5%24%YaTidak
Above 5%15%YaTidak
$1.3M Volume 31/12
Kansas Democratic Senate Primary WinnerKansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Adam HamiltonAdam Hamilton94%YaTidak
Sandy Spidel NeumannSandy Spidel Neumann3%YaTidak
$162.9K Volume 04/08
Akankah Iran setuju menghentikan pengayaan uranium sebelum 31 Desember? Akankah Iran setuju menghentikan pengayaan uranium sebelum 31 Desember?
23%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$8.7K Volume 31/12
Iran Nuke before 2027? Iran Nuke before 2027?
6%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$3.8K Volume 31/12
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of VictoryBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Lula da Silva 5-10%Lula da Silva 5-10%36%YaTidak
Lula da Silva 10-15%Lula da Silva 10-15%21%YaTidak
$291.8K Volume 04/10
New Zealand Election: TurnoutNew Zealand Election: Turnout
76-78%76-78%34%YaTidak
78-80%78-80%31%YaTidak
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FAQ Pasar Politik

Apakah pasar prediksi lebih akurat daripada polling?

Seringkali — ya. Mereka menggabungkan informasi yang beragam (polling, pengetahuan dalam, analisis) menjadi satu harga. Tidak sempurna; anggap mereka sebagai alat kunci, bukan satu-satunya.

Pemilihan apa yang dicakup di Polymarket?

Pemilihan presiden dan kongres AS, pemerintah Eropa dan Asia, perlombaan lokal kunci, pemilihan pendahuluan partai. Setiap demokrasi besar mendapatkan cakupan yang berarti.

Bagaimana cara berdagang pemilihan dengan cerdas?

Ikuti polling standar tetapi hindari pasar dengan likuiditas tipis. Melindungi posisi menjelang debat atau wawancara besar dapat mengurangi risiko pada posisi yang terkonsentrasi.

Mulai Pelatihan Polymarket Secara Gratis
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