The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Next French Presidential Election
Elections
Global Elections
World
France
Politics
Yes Probability
6%
No Probability
94%
Trading Volume
$48.4M
Time Remaining
373 days left
Jordan Bardella
$783.3K Volume
22%
Édouard Philippe
$547.3K Volume
21%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$388.3K Volume
8%
Dominique de Villepin
$1.1M Volume
6%
Marine Le Pen
$419.3K Volume
5%
François Hollande
$819.6K Volume
4%
David Lisnard
$957.1K Volume
4%
Gabriel Attal
$1.1M Volume
3%
Bruno Retailleau
$1.2M Volume
3%
Raphaël Glucksmann
$652.3K Volume
2%
Sarah Knafo
$1.1M Volume
2%
Jean Castex
$635.1K Volume
1%
Sébastien Lecornu
$790.8K Volume
1%
Gérald Darmanin
$544.5K Volume
1%
Fabien Roussel
$1.8M Volume
1%
Éric Zemmour
$868K Volume
1%
François Ruffin
$583K Volume
1%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$1.9M Volume
1%
Bernard Cazeneuve
$1.1M Volume
1%
François Asselineau
$2.5M Volume
1%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
$2.3M Volume
1%
Valérie Pécresse
$2M Volume
1%
Manuel Bompard
$1.7M Volume
1%
Juan Branco
$653.9K Volume
1%
Xavier Bertrand
$1.5M Volume
1%
Marine Tondelier
$1.1M Volume
1%
Ségolène Royal
$1.9M Volume
1%
Michel Barnier
$1.9M Volume
1%
Laurent Wauquiez
$1.1M Volume
1%
Élisabeth Borne
$2.2M Volume
1%
Carole Delga
$1.9M Volume
1%
Olivier Faure
$1.5M Volume
1%
Clémentine Autain
$2.3M Volume
1%
François Bayrou
$2.4M Volume
1%
Mathilde Panot
$2M Volume
1%
Clémence Guetté
$2.1M Volume
1%
Other
50%
Person F
50%
Person H
50%
Person J
50%
Person L
50%
Person N
50%
Person P
50%
Person R
50%
Person T
50%
Person V
50%
Person X
50%
Person Z
50%
Person AB
50%
Person AD
50%
Person AF
50%
Person AH
50%
Person AJ
50%
Person AL
50%
Person AN
50%
Person AP
50%
Person AR
50%
Person AT
50%
Person AV
50%
Person AX
50%
Person AZ
50%
Person BB
50%
Person BD
50%
Person BF
50%
Person BH
50%
Person BJ
50%
Person BL
50%
Person BN
50%
Person BP
50%
Person BR
50%
Person BT
50%
Person BV
50%
Person BX
50%
Person BZ
50%
Person CB
50%
Person CD
50%
Person CF
50%
Person CH
50%
Person CJ
50%
Person CL
50%
Person CN
50%
Person CP
50%
Person E
50%
Person G
50%
Person I
50%
Person K
50%
Person M
50%
Person O
50%
Person Q
50%
Person S
50%
Person U
50%
Person W
50%
Person Y
50%
Person AA
50%
Person AC
50%
Person AE
50%
Person AG
50%
Person AI
50%
Person AK
50%
Person AM
50%
Person AO
50%
Person AQ
50%
Person AS
50%
Person AU
50%
Person AW
50%
Person AY
50%
Person BA
50%
Person BC
50%
Person BE
50%
Person BG
50%
Person BI
50%
Person BK
50%
Person BM
50%
Person BO
50%
Person BQ
50%
Person BS
50%
Person BU
50%
Person BW
50%
Person BY
50%
Person CA
50%
Person CC
50%
Person CE
50%
Person CG
50%
Person CI
50%
Person CK
50%
Person CM
50%
Person CO
50%
Person CQ
50%
About This Market
AI Analysis
The prediction market for the next French presidential election, anticipated in April 2027, currently assigns a 5.0% probability to various candidates, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding the political landscape in France. With a trading volume of $46.1 million, this market serves as a valuable indicator of public sentiment and potential electoral outcomes, highlighting the significance of political trends and candidate viability as the election date approaches. Investors and analysts alike should monitor this market closely, as it can provide insights into shifting voter preferences and the overall political climate in France.