📈 Business Markets
24 active marketsBusiness prediction markets — stocks, interest rates and inflation

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
Yes 37¢No 63¢
1 (25 bps)
Yes 30¢No 70¢

Largest Company end of April?
NVIDIAYes 99¢No 1¢
AlphabetYes 1¢No 99¢

Next CEO of Lululemon?
André Maestrini
Yes 1¢No 99¢
Marti Morfitt
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Largest Company end of June?
NVIDIAYes 91¢No 9¢
AlphabetYes 5¢No 95¢

2nd largest company end of April?
AlphabetYes 77¢No 23¢
AppleYes 23¢No 77¢

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
45%+Yes 15¢No 85¢
50%+Yes 9¢No 91¢

Largest Company end of May?
NVIDIAYes 95¢No 5¢
AppleYes 2¢No 98¢

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T-2.0T
Yes 36¢No 64¢
2.0T-2.5T
Yes 28¢No 72¢

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
CursorYes 83¢No 17¢
Caesars EntertainmentYes 68¢No 32¢

Yesway IPO Closing Market Cap
1.0B+
Yes 99¢No 1¢
<600M
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIAYes 70¢No 30¢
AlphabetYes 12¢No 88¢

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
OpenAIYes 39¢No 61¢
xAIYes 15¢No 85¢
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?
46%
chance
Yes
46¢
No
54¢

How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?
450k–475k
Yes 35¢No 65¢
375k–400k
Yes 25¢No 75¢

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
Yes 10¢No 90¢
June 30, 2026
Yes 3¢No 97¢

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
2.0–2.5%
Yes 28¢No 72¢
1.5–2.0%
Yes 20¢No 80¢
FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?
1%
chance
Yes
1¢
No
99¢

3rd largest company end of April?
AppleYes 75¢No 25¢
AlphabetYes 22¢No 78¢

IPOs before 2027?
SpaceXYes 94¢No 6¢
CerebrasYes 93¢No 7¢

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceXYes 90¢No 10¢
AnthropicYes 5¢No 95¢
FDA approves Sanofi's Dupixent?
93%
chance
Yes
93¢
No
7¢

X-Energy IPO Closing Market Cap
9B+
Yes 54¢No 46¢
8B–9B
Yes 42¢No 58¢

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
Morgan StanleyYes 25¢No 75¢
Goldman SachsYes 24¢No 76¢

Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
WorkhorseYes 53¢No 47¢
LucidYes 49¢No 51¢