Tech Prediction Markets

Tech prediction markets let you trade the future of the industry - which AI model ships next, whether a company hits an earnings or launch target, who acquires whom, and how the AI race unfolds. Each Polymarket price is a live probability, like a 65% chance a product launches before year-end.

Tech moves on announcements - keynotes, releases and earnings calls. If you follow the space closely, your edge is knowing the real timelines better than the crowd.

37 active markets
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NVIDIANVIDIA83%YesNo
AppleApple17%YesNo
October 3199%YesNo
December 3199%YesNo
NVIDIANVIDIA62%YesNo
AppleApple20%YesNo
AlphabetAlphabet99%YesNo
AppleApple1%YesNo
August 3199%YesNo
July 3191%YesNo
AnthropicAnthropic98%YesNo
GoogleGoogle1%YesNo
July 2360%YesNo
No release by July 3113%YesNo
AlibabaAlibaba79%YesNo
MoonshotMoonshot20%YesNo
AnthropicAnthropic92%YesNo
GoogleGoogle5%YesNo
AppleApple87%YesNo
NVIDIANVIDIA13%YesNo
December 3123%YesNo
September 3010%YesNo
December 31, 202688%YesNo
September 30, 202675%YesNo
Bad BunnyBad Bunny13%YesNo
Erling HaalandErling Haaland11%YesNo
$0.70-$0.80T61%YesNo
<$0.70T23%YesNo
AnthropicAnthropic64%YesNo
GoogleGoogle30%YesNo
$2.60-$2.9041%YesNo
$2.90-$3.2028%YesNo
AnthropicAnthropic60%YesNo
GoogleGoogle25%YesNo
1470+81%YesNo
1480+69%YesNo
AlibabaAlibaba62%YesNo
MoonshotMoonshot10%YesNo
NVIDIANVIDIA77%YesNo
AppleApple18%YesNo
MoonshotMoonshot89%YesNo
AnthropicAnthropic8%YesNo
August 3185%YesNo
August 763%YesNo
Glasses49%YesNo
Earbuds/Headphones29%YesNo
AlphabetAlphabet88%YesNo
AppleApple8%YesNo
#1099%YesNo
#552%YesNo
Foundry98%YesNo
Quarter 10+ times98%YesNo
AnthropicAnthropic64%YesNo
GoogleGoogle13%YesNo
$4.00-$5.0042%YesNo
$5.00-$6.0041%YesNo
$5.00-$5.5022%YesNo
$6.00-$6.5021%YesNo
GlobalFoundries81%YesNo
Rigetti70%YesNo
Chase InfinitiChase Infiniti13%YesNo
Timothée ChalametTimothée Chalamet11%YesNo
No release by July 3194%YesNo
July 282%YesNo
September 3081%YesNo
August 3140%YesNo
Packaging98%YesNo
Infrastructure97%YesNo

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Tech Markets FAQ

What tech markets are on Polymarket?

AI model and product releases, big-tech earnings and milestones, IPOs and acquisitions, and the broader AI race (OpenAI, Google, Anthropic and more).

How do tech markets resolve?

Against a clear public event by a stated date - an official launch, an earnings report or a confirmed deal. Read the resolution rules for the exact trigger.

Where is the edge in tech markets?

Knowing real ship dates and launch patterns. Companies routinely miss self-imposed deadlines, so realistic timelines beat hype.

Are 5-minute or hype markets worth trading?

Short-term hype markets are dominated by fast traders and news swings. Beginners do better on longer milestone markets where research pays off.

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