Cuba · Power

Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by...?

$6.8K Volume
31/12/2026 23:59
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July 31
$5.3K Volume
34%
August 31
$956 Volume
61%
December 31
$594 Volume
86%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare reports a Nationwide internet outage in Cuba, caused by a power outage, which begins any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying outage must be labeled by Cloudflare on its Cuba page (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu), under the Internet Outages section with Type “Nationwide” and Cause “Power Outage”. However, if Cloudflare changes its reporting terminology or organization, an entry with equivalent labels indicating a nationwide internet outage caused by a power outage will qualify.

A qualifying outage must begin, per Cloudflare's reported start time, by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. However, the qualifying label need not be published by then: if Cloudflare reports an outage or internet disruption which is ongoing or has ended within the previous 48 hours at 11:59 PM UTC on the listed date, this market will remain open until 11:59 PM UTC on the third calendar day following the specified date to allow for confirmation of whether the incident qualifies. If no potentially qualifying outage has been reported by Cloudflare by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No” at that time.

This market will resolve to 'Yes' as soon as Cloudflare reports a qualifying outage within the applicable resolution period, including an outage whose labels are revised to qualify within that period.

The resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu).

Note: this market does not require Cuba's internet traffic volume to fall below any specific threshold.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by?
The money is on December 31 at 79%; August 31 follows at 59%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by?
Traders lean toward December 31, pricing it at 79%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (163 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by?
Total turnover stands at $6.8K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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