🤖 Prediction Markets: AI

26 active markets

AI prediction markets — OpenAI, Claude, Gemini and more

Next Claude Opus released by...?Next Claude Opus released by...?
October 3199%YesNo
December 3199%YesNo
$154.6K Volume 31/12
Which company has best AI model end of July?Which company has best AI model end of July?
AnthropicAnthropic98%YesNo
GoogleGoogle1%YesNo
$91.1K Volume 31/07
Next Claude Opus released on...?Next Claude Opus released on...?
July 2360%YesNo
No release by July 3113%YesNo
$154.6K Volume 31/07
Best Chinese AI Company end of July?Best Chinese AI Company end of July?
AlibabaAlibaba79%YesNo
MoonshotMoonshot20%YesNo
$44.3K Volume 31/07
Which company has best AI model end of August?Which company has best AI model end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic92%YesNo
GoogleGoogle5%YesNo
$91.2K Volume 31/08
GPT-6 released by…?GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 202688%YesNo
September 30, 202675%YesNo
$657.8K Volume Ends today
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$900B73%YesNo
↓$800B65%YesNo
$9.3K Volume 01/01
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.25T85%YesNo
↑$1.5T68%YesNo
$8.8K Volume 01/01
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of August?Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic64%YesNo
GoogleGoogle30%YesNo
$15.6K Volume 31/08
GPU rental prices (H100) end of July?GPU rental prices (H100) end of July?
$2.60-$2.9041%YesNo
$2.90-$3.2028%YesNo
$7.6K Volume 31/07
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic60%YesNo
GoogleGoogle25%YesNo
$15.6K Volume 30/09
Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?
1470+81%YesNo
1480+69%YesNo
$29.5K Volume 31/12
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba62%YesNo
MoonshotMoonshot10%YesNo
$42.7K Volume 30/09
Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$180B95%YesNo
↑$170B92%YesNo
$8K Volume 01/01
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
DJIDJI51%YesNo
CXMTCXMT47%YesNo
$10K Volume 30/06
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of July?Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of July?
MoonshotMoonshot89%YesNo
AnthropicAnthropic8%YesNo
$5.2K Volume 31/07
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
August 3185%YesNo
August 763%YesNo
$262.9K Volume 31/07
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Glasses49%YesNo
Earbuds/Headphones29%YesNo
$381.9K Volume 31/12
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
#1099%YesNo
#552%YesNo
$44.2K Volume 31/12
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
AnthropicAnthropic64%YesNo
GoogleGoogle13%YesNo
$91.2K Volume 31/12
Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27? Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?
92%
chance
Yes No
$11.3K Volume 5 days left
GPU rental prices (H200) end of July?GPU rental prices (H200) end of July?
$4.00-$5.0042%YesNo
$5.00-$6.0041%YesNo
$3.6K Volume 31/07
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$5.00-$5.5022%YesNo
$6.00-$6.5021%YesNo
$5.1K Volume 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by July 3194%YesNo
July 282%YesNo
$2.6K Volume 31/07
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
10%
chance
Yes No
$89.7K Volume 31/12
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
September 3081%YesNo
August 3140%YesNo
$2.4K Volume 30/09
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