Netanyahu out by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The prediction market regarding Benjamin Netanyahu's potential resignation as Prime Minister of Israel currently shows a 43.0% probability, reflecting significant speculation about his political future amidst ongoing challenges. With a trading volume of $117.7 million, this market highlights investor sentiment and the potential for political shifts in Israel leading up to the December 31, 2026 deadline. Understanding this market is crucial for analysts and stakeholders, as it indicates the likelihood of leadership changes that could impact Israeli policy and regional stability.