Polymarket France Prediction Markets

Polymarket markets on France cover the main storylines in French politics: the presidential race, snap elections and dissolution, who is named Prime Minister, approval ratings and economic direction. Prices form in real time from order-book depth.

These markets pick up around key dates - election nights, confidence votes and government announcements. Traded volume reflects international interest in French politics.

31 active markets
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen40%YesNo
David LisnardDavid Lisnard15%YesNo
$164.8M Volume 19/04
French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceFrench Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon30%YesNo
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe28%YesNo
$41.7K Volume 18/04
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen90%YesNo
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon51%YesNo
$520.4K Volume 19/04
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon93%YesNo
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen90%YesNo
$636.9K Volume 01/07
French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceFrench Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon42%YesNo
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe23%YesNo
$86.3K Volume 18/04
EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?
30M+96%YesNo
32M+95%YesNo
$2K Volume Ends today
France declares state of emergency by...?France declares state of emergency by...?
December 317%YesNo
October 212%YesNo
$2.7M Volume 01/01
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?
6%
chance
Yes No
$34.9K Volume 01/12
French Presidential Election First Round WinnerFrench Presidential Election First Round Winner
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen85%YesNo
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon9%YesNo
$101.5K Volume 18/04
French election called by...?French election called by...?
September 1550%YesNo
October 31, 202550%YesNo
$1.1M Volume 01/01
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
51%
chance
Yes No
$23.6K Volume 31/12
EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?
30M+92%YesNo
32M+80%YesNo
$2K Volume 01/12
Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by...?Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by...?
November 30, 20269%YesNo
October 31, 20262%YesNo
$9.5K Volume 01/01
Lecornu out as French PM by...?Lecornu out as French PM by...?
December 31, 202550%YesNo
October 3150%YesNo
$370.4K Volume Ends today
Moody's or S&P downgrades France by...?Moody's or S&P downgrades France by...?
October 313%
November 3035%
$27.8K Volume 01/12
France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?
December 313%YesNo
November 151%YesNo
$319.9K Volume 01/01
French Presidential Election: Candidate with most signatures from elected officials?French Presidential Election: Candidate with most signatures from elected officials?
Bruno RetailleauBruno Retailleau37%YesNo
David LisnardDavid Lisnard25%YesNo
$7.3K Volume 13/03
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Dominique de Villepin69%YesNo
François Hollande18%YesNo
$122K Volume 18/04
Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?
December 31, 20267%
April 17, 202731%
$8.2K Volume 17/04
2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe58%YesNo
Gabriel AttalGabriel Attal21%YesNo
$10.6K Volume 18/04
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?
March 315%YesNo
December 314%YesNo
$47.7K Volume 01/04
European military action against Iran by...?European military action against Iran by...?
December 3111%YesNo
October 311%YesNo
$337.5K Volume 31/12
France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027? France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?
9%
chance
Yes No
$19.5K Volume 01/01
IEA asks France to release oil stocks by...?IEA asks France to release oil stocks by...?
October 311%
December 3126%
$8.4K Volume 01/01
Macron out by...?Macron out by...?
December 31, 2025December 31, 202550%YesNo
October 31, 2025October 31, 202550%YesNo
$2.3M Volume 01/01
EU emergency diesel stocks end of December 2026?EU emergency diesel stocks end of December 2026?
30M+77%YesNo
32M+68%YesNo
$2K Volume 01/01
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?
December 315%YesNo
October 311%YesNo
$16.6K Volume 31/12
Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round? Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round?
7%
chance
Yes No
$4.8K Volume 19/04
2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?
Knafo18%
Zemmour82%
$4.4K Volume 18/04
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election? Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?
10%
chance
Yes No
$3.4K Volume 18/04
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31? Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?
8%
chance
Yes No
$1.8K Volume 01/01
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France Markets FAQ

Which France markets exist on Polymarket?

Presidential race, snap elections and dissolution, next Prime Minister, approval ratings and economic decisions. Both binary and multi-outcome contracts.

What moves prices in France markets?

Polls, political statements, parliamentary votes and economic news. Prices react within minutes to major developments.

How are the odds set?

Prices come from real orders in the book, not a house line, so each price reflects the market's live consensus.

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