Prediction Markets — Simply Explained
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction markets platform. It allows traders to buy and sell contracts on the outcomes of future events — from political elections to economic decisions and sports results.
How Does It Work?
Each market on Polymarket represents a binary (Yes/No) or multiple-choice question. Prices range from $0 to $1 and represent probability:
- $0.70 for "Yes" = The market estimates a 70% chance the event will happen
- $0.30 for "No" = A 30% chance the event won't happen
If the outcome occurs, those holding "Yes" receive $1 per share. Those holding "No" lose their investment.
Why Do Prediction Markets Matter?
Academic research has shown that prediction markets provide more accurate forecasts than traditional polls and experts. The reason: when people put real money on their opinions, they tend to be more honest and do more thorough research.
Prediction markets are the most efficient way humanity has found to aggregate and disseminate information about future events
About This Site
Polymarket Israel (polymarkets.co.il) is an information portal about prediction markets and Polymarket. We provide guides, analysis, and news about active prediction markets.
Disclosure: This site is not affiliated with Polymarket Inc. and does not constitute investment advice. Trading in prediction markets involves risk of loss of capital.