Elections Prediction Markets

Election markets are Polymarket's core — US presidential, party primaries, congressional races, and any major democracy's vote. The 2024 US election markets booked billions in volume.

Pricing blends polls, party finance data, economic indicators and reporting — all distilled into one price. Rich trading ground for both analysts and opinion-driven investors.

11 active markets

View Elections markets on Polymarket

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

Yes 24¢No 76¢

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Yes 9¢No 91¢

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Makerfield by-election Winner

Next French Presidential Election

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Yes 50¢No 50¢

Flávio Bolsonaro

Yes 27¢No 73¢

Colombia Presidential Election

Abelardo de la Espriella

Yes 89¢No 11¢

Iván Cepeda Castro

Yes 12¢No 88¢

California Governor Election Winner

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

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Elections Markets FAQ

Why are election markets accurate?

They require 'skin in the game' — people put money on their views, filtering out low-quality noise. The larger the volume, the more reliable the price.

Which election markets are live now?

US 2028, Israel (by date), UK and EU local elections, plus party primaries. Follow our page for updates.

How do I price risk in election markets?

Check liquidity (order-book depth), historical volatility, and decision date. Thin-liquidity markets are prone to inefficient pricing.

Elections Prediction Markets

Want to trade Elections markets?

Elections Markets FAQ