UK · Labour

Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?

$30.4K Volume
31/12/2026 23:59
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Ed Miliband
$2.1K Volume
98%
Shabana Mahmood
$873 Volume
99%
Heidi Alexander
$597 Volume
96%
Yvette Cooper
$3K Volume
96%
Louise Haigh
$1.1K Volume
96%
Angela Rayner
$2.9K Volume
94%
Jonathan Reynolds
$135 Volume
88%
Wes Streeting
$2.6K Volume
86%
Lisa Nandy
$2.2K Volume
97%
Rachel Reeves
$5K Volume
72%
Bridget Phillipson
$85 Volume
49%
David Lammy
$309 Volume
78%
James Murray
$55 Volume
32%
John Healey
$583 Volume
87%
Darren Jones
$124 Volume
88%
Pat McFadden
$53 Volume
88%
Dan Jarvis
$250 Volume
31%
Catherine West
$5.6K Volume
19%
Alan Campbell
77%
Jo Stevens
79%
Liz Kendall
$53 Volume
87%
Jacqui Smith
$20 Volume
71%
Keir Starmer
$1.7K Volume
6%
Steve Reed
$125 Volume
87%
Ian Murray
$15 Volume
88%
Patrick Vallance
$244 Volume
8%
Peter Kyle
$143 Volume
81%
Jess Phillips
$554 Volume
4%
Hilary Benn
88%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify.

Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market.

To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution.

If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?
Shabana Mahmood dominates the field at 97%; the nearest challenger, Ed Miliband, trades at just 97%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?
With 97% implied for Shabana Mahmood, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Who will be in the Burnham cabinet market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (176 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?
$30.4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Who will be in the Burnham cabinet on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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