This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Politics
· Trump
· Crypto
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Yes
$8.2K Volume
2%
About This Market
Similar Markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 31
Yes 68¢No 32¢
October 31
Yes 59¢No 41¢
Fed Decision in June?
No change
Yes 99¢No 1¢
25 bps increase
Yes 1¢No 99¢
Israel closes its airspace by...?
June 30
Yes 29¢No 71¢
June 14
Yes 21¢No 79¢
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomYes 24¢No 76¢
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezYes 9¢No 91¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
July 31Yes 65¢No 35¢
June 30Yes 40¢No 60¢
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Marco RubioYes 16¢No 84¢
JD VanceYes 15¢No 85¢
Iran closes its airspace by...?
June 15
Yes 99¢No 1¢
June 30
Yes 99¢No 1¢
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier BecerraYes 87¢No 13¢
Steve HiltonYes 8¢No 92¢
