Siyasi Tahmin Pazarları

Siyasi pazarlar, Polymarket'in en derin alanlarından biridir — ABD seçimleri (başkan, Kongre), İsrail, Birleşik Krallık, Almanya, Fransa ve Brezilya. Ayrıca hükümet krizleri, güvensizlik oylamaları, azil süreçleri ve kabine atamaları.

Anketler birçok girdiden sadece biridir — tahmin pazarları, anketleri, seçmen bilgilerini, sosyal verileri ve uzman tahminlerini tek bir fiyatta toplar. Genellikle tek bir anketten daha doğru sonuçlar verir.

150 aktif pazarlar
Temmuz Fed kararı?Temmuz Fed kararı?
No changeNo change71%EvetHayır
25 bps increase25 bps increase28%EvetHayır
$4.8M Hacim 6 gün kaldı
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%EvetHayır
Marco RubioMarco Rubio14%EvetHayır
$669.4M Hacim 07/11
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva61%EvetHayır
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro24%EvetHayır
$115.1M Hacim 04/10
Elon Musk'ın 17 Temmuz - 24 Temmuz, 2026 tweet sayısı?Elon Musk'ın 17 Temmuz - 24 Temmuz, 2026 tweet sayısı?
180-19958%EvetHayır
160-17920%EvetHayır
$786.5K Hacim 2 gün kaldı
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom20%EvetHayır
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%EvetHayır
$1.25B Hacim 07/11
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%EvetHayır
Marco RubioMarco Rubio28%EvetHayır
$678.1M Hacim 07/11
Iran leader end of 2026?Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei74%EvetHayır
No Head of State6%EvetHayır
$34M Hacim 31/12
Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 31 Temmuz tarihine kadar normale döner mi? Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 31 Temmuz tarihine kadar normale döner mi?
1%
şans
Evet Hayır
$512.8K Hacim 31/07
Trump out as President by July 31? Trump out as President by July 31?
1%
şans
Evet Hayır
$341.1K Hacim 31/07
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 3136%EvetHayır
September 3024%EvetHayır
$7.3M Hacim Bugün bitiyor
Eylül Fed kararı?Eylül Fed kararı?
25 bps increase25 bps increase49%EvetHayır
No changeNo change42%EvetHayır
$4.8M Hacim 16/09
Israel closes its airspace by...?Israel closes its airspace by...?
August 3145%EvetHayır
August 1540%EvetHayır
$23.9M Hacim Bugün bitiyor
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
30%
şans
Evet Hayır
$218.7K Hacim 31/12
Elon Musk'ın 21 Temmuz - 28 Temmuz, 2026 tweet sayısı?Elon Musk'ın 21 Temmuz - 28 Temmuz, 2026 tweet sayısı?
180-19920%EvetHayır
200-21920%EvetHayır
$786.5K Hacim 6 gün kaldı
Putin out as President of Russia by...?Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 202717%EvetHayır
December 31, 20269%EvetHayır
$133.9K Hacim 30/06
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen30%EvetHayır
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe27%EvetHayır
$115.7M Hacim 30/04
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
41%
şans
Evet Hayır
$2.4M Hacim 01/01
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot48%EvetHayır
Benjamin Netanyahu38%EvetHayır
$29M Hacim 31/12
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 1519%EvetHayır
July 319%EvetHayır
$7.9M Hacim 31/07
Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 31 Ağustos tarihine kadar normale döner mi? Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 31 Ağustos tarihine kadar normale döner mi?
14%
şans
Evet Hayır
$512.8K Hacim 31/08
Iran leadership change by...?Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202739%EvetHayır
December 3126%EvetHayır
$20.3M Hacim 31/12
İran rejimi 2027 öncesi düşer mi? İran rejimi 2027 öncesi düşer mi?
10%
şans
Evet Hayır
$123.1K Hacim 31/12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
August 3146%EvetHayır
August 1528%EvetHayır
$730.1K Hacim 31/08
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
7%
şans
Evet Hayır
$197.6K Hacim 31/12
Who will Trump meet with in July?Who will Trump meet with in July?
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu44%EvetHayır
Elon MuskElon Musk15%EvetHayır
$55.5K Hacim 31/07
Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 31 Aralık tarihine kadar normale döner mi? Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 31 Aralık tarihine kadar normale döner mi?
50%
şans
Evet Hayır
$512.8K Hacim 31/12
Elon Musk'ın 24 Temmuz - 31 Temmuz, 2026 tweet sayısı?Elon Musk'ın 24 Temmuz - 31 Temmuz, 2026 tweet sayısı?
180-19917%EvetHayır
140-15916%EvetHayır
$786.5K Hacim 31/07
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
August 3139%EvetHayır
July 316%EvetHayır
$43.9K Hacim 31/07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 316%EvetHayır
September 303%EvetHayır
$63.5M Hacim 31/12
İran rejimi 30 Eylül tarihine kadar düşer mi? İran rejimi 30 Eylül tarihine kadar düşer mi?
4%
şans
Evet Hayır
$123.1K Hacim 30/09
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 202689%EvetHayır
September 30, 202674%EvetHayır
$8.2M Hacim Bugün bitiyor
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
şans
Evet Hayır
$341.1K Hacim 31/12
Elon Musk'ın 23 Temmuz - 25 Temmuz, 2026 tweet sayısı?Elon Musk'ın 23 Temmuz - 25 Temmuz, 2026 tweet sayısı?
40-6447%EvetHayır
<4027%EvetHayır
$119K Hacim 3 gün kaldı
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3189%EvetHayır
September 3083%EvetHayır
$122.8K Hacim
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone73%EvetHayır
Ralph NormanRalph Norman20%EvetHayır
$333.9K Hacim 11/08
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)57%EvetHayır
New People (NL)New People (NL)37%EvetHayır
$15.9M Hacim 20/09
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro81%EvetHayır
Delcy Rodríguez12%EvetHayır
$94M Hacim 31/12
2026'de Temsilciler Meclisi'ni hangi parti kazanacak?2026'de Temsilciler Meclisi'ni hangi parti kazanacak?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%EvetHayır
Republican PartyRepublican Party15%EvetHayır
$26.4K Hacim 03/11
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20268%EvetHayır
September 30, 2026September 30, 20263%EvetHayır
$6.1M Hacim Bugün bitiyor
Berlin State Election WinnerBerlin State Election Winner
LinkeLinke35%EvetHayır
CDUCDU28%EvetHayır
$3.1M Hacim 20/09
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya11%EvetHayır
UNRWAUNRWA9%EvetHayır
$22.9M Hacim 10/10
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland25%EvetHayır
Suudi Arabistan18%EvetHayır
$23.1K Hacim 31/12
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?
July 3112%
August 3125%
$32.8K Hacim 31/08
Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 30 Eylül tarihine kadar normale döner mi? Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 30 Eylül tarihine kadar normale döner mi?
22%
şans
Evet Hayır
$504.5K Hacim 30/09
Andrew Tate released from custody by...?Andrew Tate released from custody by...?
July 313%
December 3130%
$77.1K Hacim 31/12
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 3026%EvetHayır
İsviçre23%EvetHayır
$20.3K Hacim 30/09
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%
şans
Evet Hayır
$33.3K Hacim 31/12
Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron DonaldsByron Donalds96%EvetHayır
James FishbackJames Fishback3%EvetHayır
$2.1M Hacim 18/08
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro71%EvetHayır
Renan SantosRenan Santos19%EvetHayır
$4.2M Hacim 04/10
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?
August 3181%EvetHayır
July 3146%EvetHayır
$267.1K Hacim 2 gün kaldı
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 3136%EvetHayır
October 3123%EvetHayır
$5.6M Hacim 31/12
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 3124%EvetHayır
July 318%EvetHayır
$1.1M Hacim 31/07
Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd PlaceKazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place
AuylAuyl51%EvetHayır
RespublicaRespublica21%EvetHayır
$27.7K Hacim 23/08
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage96%EvetHayır
Count BinfaceCount Binface4%EvetHayır
$2.7M Hacim 30/06
Sweden Parliamentary Election WinnerSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)97%EvetHayır
Sweden Democrats (SD)Sweden Democrats (SD)2%EvetHayır
$1.3M Hacim 13/09
Next Prime Minister of Romania?Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Alexandru NazareAlexandru Nazare35%EvetHayır
Sorin GrindeanuSorin Grindeanu14%EvetHayır
$3.2M Hacim 31/12
Maine Senate Election WinnerMaine Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat68%EvetHayır
RepublicanRepublican33%EvetHayır
$1.1M Hacim 03/11
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface71%EvetHayır
William CloustonWilliam Clouston11%EvetHayır
$222.6K Hacim 30/06
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
45%
şans
Evet Hayır
$694K Hacim 20/08
Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?
760-79925%EvetHayır
720-75922%EvetHayır
$14.6K Hacim 01/08
What will happen before GTA VI?What will happen before GTA VI?
New Rihanna Album53%EvetHayır
New Playboi Carti Album51%EvetHayır
$23.4M Hacim 31/07
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed79%EvetHayır
Haley StevensHaley Stevens22%EvetHayır
$1.1M Hacim 04/08
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
şans
Evet Hayır
$13.2K Hacim 31/12
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
24%
şans
Evet Hayır
$14.2K Hacim 31/12
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026No Return to Normal Traffic in 202651%EvetHayır
December16%EvetHayır
$117.9K Hacim 31/12
Zambia Presidential Election WinnerZambia Presidential Election Winner
Hakainde HichilemaHakainde Hichilema90%EvetHayır
Brian MundubileBrian Mundubile12%EvetHayır
$102.4K Hacim 14/08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 3114%EvetHayır
October 317%EvetHayır
$17.4M Hacim 31/12
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
June 30, 20261%
December 31, 20268%
$3.5M Hacim 31/12
US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?
October 3147%EvetHayır
December 3147%EvetHayır
$18.2K Hacim 31/12
Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionLos Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen BassKaren Bass63%EvetHayır
Nithya RamanNithya Raman38%EvetHayır
$13M Hacim 31/12
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
15%
şans
Evet Hayır
$3.2M Hacim 31/12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 3114%EvetHayır
September 307%EvetHayır
$28.6M Hacim 31/12
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
1%
şans
Evet Hayır
$33.4K Hacim 30/09
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Inflation 20+ times87%EvetHayır
Balance Sheet84%EvetHayır
$9.7K Hacim 7 gün kaldı
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31December 3139%EvetHayır
September 30September 3011%EvetHayır
$942.1K Hacim 31/12
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 3163%EvetHayır
September 3040%EvetHayır
$211.3K Hacim 31/12
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
December 3110%
June 301%
$3.5M Hacim 31/12
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf2%EvetHayır
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa2%EvetHayır
$2M Hacim 01/08
MN-02 House Election WinnerMN-02 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party90%EvetHayır
Republican PartyRepublican Party9%EvetHayır
$8.9K Hacim 04/11
California Governor Election WinnerCalifornia Governor Election Winner
Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra93%EvetHayır
Steve HiltonSteve Hilton6%EvetHayır
$40.4M Hacim 03/11
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%28%EvetHayır
↑ 4.5%13%EvetHayır
$1.7M Hacim 31/12
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Cori BushCori Bush57%EvetHayır
Wesley BellWesley Bell45%EvetHayır
$85.2K Hacim 04/08
What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?
Fake News84%EvetHayır
Nasty54%EvetHayır
$14.7K Hacim 2 gün kaldı
Netanyahu arrested by…?Netanyahu arrested by…?
December 316%EvetHayır
September 303%EvetHayır
$13.6K Hacim 31/12
Latvian Parliamentary Election WinnerLatvian Parliamentary Election Winner
LPV39%EvetHayır
AS37%EvetHayır
$158.9K Hacim 03/10
WI-07 Republican Primary WinnerWI-07 Republican Primary Winner
Michael AlfonsoMichael Alfonso82%EvetHayır
Kevin HermeningKevin Hermening10%EvetHayır
$6.5K Hacim 11/08
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)98%EvetHayır
New People (NL)New People (NL)1%EvetHayır
$2.8M Hacim 20/09
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?
15%
şans
Evet Hayır
$40.8K Hacim 30/09
MI-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Callie BarrCallie Barr69%EvetHayır
Kyle BlomquistKyle Blomquist27%EvetHayır
$12.6K Hacim 04/08
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?
July 311%
September 3013%
$100.9K Hacim 30/09
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?
December 31, 202616%
December 31, 202743%
$6.1K Hacim 31/12
Florida Governor Republican Primary Second PlaceFlorida Governor Republican Primary Second Place
Jay CollinsJay Collins70%EvetHayır
James FishbackJames Fishback14%EvetHayır
$9.7K Hacim 18/08
Argentina Presidential Election WinnerArgentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier MileiJavier Milei49%EvetHayır
Axel KicillofAxel Kicillof47%EvetHayır
$364.6K Hacim 24/10
Ottawa Mayoral Election WinnerOttawa Mayoral Election Winner
Mark SutcliffeMark Sutcliffe53%EvetHayır
Alex LawsonAlex Lawson27%EvetHayır
$51.7K Hacim 26/10
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary WinnerWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Francesca Hong78%EvetHayır
David Crowley9%EvetHayır
$209.4K Hacim 11/08
AZ-01 Republican Primary Margin of VictoryAZ-01 Republican Primary Margin of Victory
Feely 10–15%97%EvetHayır
Feely 20–25%10%EvetHayır
$22.4K Hacim 04/08
FL-02 Republican Primary WinnerFL-02 Republican Primary Winner
Keith GrossKeith Gross53%EvetHayır
Evan PowerEvan Power26%EvetHayır
$5.9K Hacim 18/08
WI-07 Democratic Primary WinnerWI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Fred ClarkFred Clark85%EvetHayır
Ginger MurrayGinger Murray4%EvetHayır
$5.7K Hacim 11/08
White House # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?White House # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
180-19964%EvetHayır
200+27%EvetHayır
$8.4K Hacim 2 gün kaldı
CZ # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?CZ # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
20-3998%EvetHayır
40-591%EvetHayır
$8.9K Hacim 2 gün kaldı
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
PHPH62%EvetHayır
BNBN40%EvetHayır
$9.5K Hacim 01/08
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
July 2493%EvetHayır
July 3190%EvetHayır
$5.4K Hacim 31/07
WI-01 Democratic Primary WinnerWI-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Mitchell BermanMitchell Berman88%EvetHayır
Lorenzo SantosLorenzo Santos6%EvetHayır
$5.3K Hacim 11/08
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
90%
şans
Evet Hayır
$7K Hacim 31/12
What will Trump say this week? (July 20 - July 26)What will Trump say this week? (July 20 - July 26)
Bibi / Netanyahu86%EvetHayır
Champion79%EvetHayır
$5.2K Hacim 4 gün kaldı
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Renan SantosRenan Santos68%EvetHayır
Ronaldo CaiadoRonaldo Caiado16%EvetHayır
$469K Hacim 04/10
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
December 3129%EvetHayır
October 3117%EvetHayır
$201.5K Hacim 31/12
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats WonNext Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won
PLPL73%EvetHayır
MDBMDB20%EvetHayır
$289.6K Hacim 04/10
2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner
UBJP77%EvetHayır
BFP21%EvetHayır
$29.7K Hacim 14/09
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
8%
şans
Evet Hayır
$10.5M Hacim 31/12
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
11%
şans
Evet Hayır
$4.7K Hacim 31/12
Next Mayor of Johannesburg?Next Mayor of Johannesburg?
Frank ChikaneFrank Chikane46%EvetHayır
Helen ZilleHelen Zille44%EvetHayır
$73.1K Hacim 05/11
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
August 3185%EvetHayır
August 1565%EvetHayır
$4.6K Hacim 31/08
Iran Nuke before 2027? Iran Nuke before 2027?
6%
şans
Evet Hayır
$4.4K Hacim 31/12
2026'de Senato'yu hangi parti kazanacak?2026'de Senato'yu hangi parti kazanacak?
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%EvetHayır
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%EvetHayır
$3.3M Hacim 03/11
Russia Parliamentary Election: TurnoutRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
53-56%29%EvetHayır
50-53%19%EvetHayır
$30.3K Hacim 20/09
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Washtenaw County (Ann Arbor) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Washtenaw County (Ann Arbor) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed94%EvetHayır
Haley StevensHaley Stevens5%EvetHayır
$6K Hacim 04/08
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Pete ButtigiegPete Buttigieg14%EvetHayır
Don LemonDon Lemon13%EvetHayır
$894.9K Hacim 31/12
Zelenskyy # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?Zelenskyy # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
80-9963%EvetHayır
60-7928%EvetHayır
$7.3K Hacim 2 gün kaldı
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
1%
şans
Evet Hayır
$4.2K Hacim 31/07
Next Prime Minister of SwedenNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson80%EvetHayır
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson17%EvetHayır
$3.3M Hacim 13/09
New Zealand Election: TurnoutNew Zealand Election: Turnout
76-78%76-78%34%EvetHayır
78-80%78-80%33%EvetHayır
$10.6K Hacim 07/11
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Dilution of Iran's UraniumDilution of Iran's Uranium31%EvetHayır
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)30%EvetHayır
$377.7K Hacim 31/12
Kansas Democratic Senate Primary WinnerKansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Adam HamiltonAdam Hamilton94%EvetHayır
Sandy Spidel NeumannSandy Spidel Neumann3%EvetHayır
$162.6K Hacim 04/08
Dharmendra Pradhan out as Minister of Education of India by...?Dharmendra Pradhan out as Minister of Education of India by...?
September 3053%EvetHayır
December 3153%EvetHayır
$5.7K Hacim 31/12
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %
Binface <10%35%EvetHayır
Binface 10–20%31%EvetHayır
$118.1K Hacim 30/06
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep44%EvetHayır
R Senate, D House41%EvetHayır
$8.8M Hacim 03/11
Hawaii Governor Republican Primary WinnerHawaii Governor Republican Primary Winner
Gary CorderyGary Cordery81%EvetHayır
Ken FujiyamaKen Fujiyama10%EvetHayır
$3.8K Hacim 08/08
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
38%
şans
Evet Hayır
$474.4K Hacim 03/01
FL-05 Republican Primary WinnerFL-05 Republican Primary Winner
John RutherfordJohn Rutherford93%EvetHayır
Mark KayeMark Kaye3%EvetHayır
$3.8K Hacim 18/08
Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %
Farage 60–70%42%EvetHayır
Farage 70–80%27%EvetHayır
$84K Hacim 30/06
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Siyasi Pazarlar SSS

Tahmin pazarları anketlerden daha mı doğru?

Sıklıkla — evet. Farklı bilgileri (anketler, iç bilgi, analiz) tek bir fiyatta toplar. Ancak mükemmel değildir; onları tek araç olarak değil, önemli bir araç olarak değerlendirin.

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Seçimleri akıllıca nasıl ticaret yapabilirim?

Standart anketleri takip edin ancak düşük likiditeye sahip piyasalardan kaçının. Tartışmalar veya büyük röportajlar etrafında korunma sağlamak, yoğun pozisyonlardaki riski azaltabilir.

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